Wintime Energy Group (600157) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CN · Market cap 34.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from ¥0.4000 to ¥0.6984 (+74.6%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +3.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 56% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.9778). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥0.2444 to ¥0.9778). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.05 – ¥2.29 · fair‑value band ¥0.2444 – ¥0.9778 · the ¥1.60 price screens above the ¥0.6984 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Wintime Energy Group (600157) currently trades at ¥1.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.6984, implying the stock looks roughly 56.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Wintime Energy Group generated revenue of 23.7B CNY at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue declined 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.7%. Net debt stands at 14.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.2444 (bear case) to ¥0.9778 (bull case); at ¥1.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -56%, 600157 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.36) versus Multiples (¥0.1600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Wintime Energy Group Co.,Ltd., an energy company, engages in the electricity, coal, petrochemicals, and energy storage businesses in China. It mines and produces coking coal; generates power; and provides petrochemical products. The company has a total installed capacity of 9.18 million kilowatts.
Full company description
Wintime Energy Group Co.,Ltd., an energy company, engages in the electricity, coal, petrochemicals, and energy storage businesses in China. It mines and produces coking coal; generates power; and provides petrochemical products. The company has a total installed capacity of 9.18 million kilowatts. It is also involved in blending and processing of oil; warehousing and trading of petrochemical products; development of terminals; energy storage; import and export of crude oil and its products; freight forwarding; shipping agency; and operation and management activities. The company was formerly known as Wintime Energy Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Wintime Energy Group Co.,Ltd. in April 2023. Wintime Energy Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Taiyuan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wintime Energy Group reported revenue of ¥23.8B in FY2025 versus ¥27.2B in FY2021, a compound −3.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥209M in FY2025, compounding −34.4%/yr from FY2021.
600157 screens 56% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →
Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 101 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥42.65 | ¥34.97 | -18% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹3,157 | ₹901.17 | -71% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥24.30 | ¥23.90 | -2% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥20.23 | ¥13.24 | -35% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹427.65 | ₹464.01 | +9% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥12.54 | ¥13.97 | +11% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥25.13 | ¥21.99 | -12% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.26 | ¥7.20 | -56% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,490 IDR | 3,220 IDR | +29% |
| PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, CUAN | 630.00 IDR | 360.72 IDR | -43% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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