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Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd stock ¥1.80, price ¥4.41, that is 59.2% below the price, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Utilities CN · ISIN CNE000000VR6

WS Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd

600168 · SHG
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 59% below what the stock costs today.

Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +19.8 %/yr in CNY)
Thin margins · 2.7% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt
0.6% dividend yield · Token dividend
Costs 63 times its yearly profit.
Fair value ¥1.80 · Strongly overvalued (−59.2%)
Quality 29/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 31/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥6.18 ¥3.58 Fair Value ¥1.80 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.58 – ¥6.18 · fair‑value band ¥1.26 – ¥2.35 · the ¥4.41 price screens above the ¥1.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co.,Ltd engages in the sewage treatment activity in China. The company is involved in the tap water distribution, drainage, tunnel construction and operation, and infrastructure construction businesses.

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It also engages in construction of municipal public works and professional contracting of pipeline engineering business, as well as mechanical and electrical equipment installation engineering, and other construction installation services, etc.

In addition, the company offers roads, bridges, gas supply, electricity supply, communications, and other infrastructure services. Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co.,Ltd was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Wuhan, China.

Stock analysis

Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168) currently trades at ¥4.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.80, 59% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ¥4.47 per share, and 2 of the 11 models we run sit above the ¥4.41 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.3900, and 9 of the 11 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥1.26 (bear) to ¥2.35 (bull), the price of ¥4.41 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of 4.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was 92.9M CNY in FY2025, compounding −32.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 4.4B CNY (≈ $657M) Small · P/E ratio 63.0 · P/S ratio 1.13 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0700 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 2.7% · Return on equity 1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −59%, 600168 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.26 Fair Value ¥1.80 Bull ¥2.35
Price ¥4.41 · Downside -59.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0359 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥4.29 ¥4.47 ¥4.88 76
Gordon GGM ¥0.2200 ¥0.4100 ¥0.5800 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2200 ¥0.3700 ¥0.4400 67
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.6400 ¥3.34 ¥4.62 63
Lynch FV ¥0.9200 ¥1.31 ¥1.70 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.9200 ¥1.31 ¥1.70 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2200 ¥0.4100 ¥0.5800 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2200 ¥0.3700 ¥0.4400 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.26 ¥1.68 ¥2.10 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.19 ¥1.59 ¥1.99 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.51 ¥10.02 ¥12.52 55
EV/EBITDA n/a n/a ¥2.31 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.78 ¥3.73 ¥5.57 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.29 ¥4.47 ¥4.88 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.26 ¥1.80 ¥2.35 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 13
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 14
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 45
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 92
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 25
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 13
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 79
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.0% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−17.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Per share before 2000divided by the spin-off factor 1.0552
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−18.3% vs −11.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 9%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

600168 screens overvalued: fair value 59% below the price. Compare with American Water Works Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Water · 64 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −59.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 1.4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 2.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 18.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −5.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.99× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 63.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.59× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.13× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 32
PAST (return on equity)6 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)51 · sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)13 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600168

Frequently asked questions

Is Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.80 versus a price of ¥4.41, about 59% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600168?
Our model-based fair value for Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is ¥1.80 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.41.
What is the quality score of 600168?
Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.80 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.26, optimistic scenario ¥2.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.80, about 59% lower versus a price of ¥4.41 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.26, optimistic scenario ¥2.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.63% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.028 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 26, 2026. The payout ratio is 40.0% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.6% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.6% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd it is ¥1.80 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ¥4.41. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 600168 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.41, fair value ¥1.80, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600168?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.41); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.80). For Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd the two are ¥2.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd worth?
The market values Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd at about 4.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.41; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600168?
Our models span a range for Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.26, base ¥1.80, optimistic ¥2.35 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ¥4.41). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600168?
Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 63.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥1.80 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 8.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 1.4%, debt of 0.99 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600168 from its 52-week high?
Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd trades at ¥4.41, about 21% below its 52-week high of ¥5.58 and 9% above the low of ¥4.04 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value American Water Works Company, Essential Utilities, Inc, Grandblue Environment Co, American States Water Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ¥4.41, calculated fair value ¥1.80 (−59%), Quality Score 29/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600168 calculated?
We run Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd through 12 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥1.80 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥4.41. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.80, about 59% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥1.26 to ¥2.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168) come from?
Earnings per share at Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd grew −11.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.4 %, EBIT margin −9.4 %, tax rate −0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −12.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
The market capitalisation of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is 4.4B CNY (≈ $657M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is 1.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
Earnings per share at Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd are ¥0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 63.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
The dividend yield of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is 0.6% (payout 40.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
The net margin of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is 2.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
The operating margin of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is 18.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
Revenue at Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is growing −5.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
Earnings per share at Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd are growing −16.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168) generate?
The free cash flow of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is −770M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168) carry?
The net debt of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is 12.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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