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Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd ¥1.80, price ¥4.35, upside -58.6%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · CN · ISIN CNE000000VR6

WS Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd

600168 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥1.80 · Strongly overvalued (−59%)
!Quality 29/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +19.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.6% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·0.64% dividend yield
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 6 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 13 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥6.18 ¥3.58 Fair Value ¥1.80 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.58 – ¥6.18 · fair‑value band ¥1.26 – ¥2.35 · the ¥4.35 price screens above the ¥1.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co.,Ltd engages in the sewage treatment activity in China. The company is involved in the tap water distribution, drainage, tunnel construction and operation, and infrastructure construction businesses.

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Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co.,Ltd engages in the sewage treatment activity in China. The company is involved in the tap water distribution, drainage, tunnel construction and operation, and infrastructure construction businesses. It also engages in construction of municipal public works and professional contracting of pipeline engineering business, as well as mechanical and electrical equipment installation engineering, and other construction installation services, etc. In addition, the company offers roads, bridges, gas supply, electricity supply, communications, and other infrastructure services. Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co.,Ltd was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Wuhan, China.

Stock analysis

Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168) currently trades at ¥4.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.80, implying the stock looks roughly 141.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥13.00 per share, and 4 of the 13 models we run sit above the ¥4.35 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.4100, and 9 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥1.26 (bear) to ¥2.35 (bull), the price of ¥4.35 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of 4.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was 92.9M CNY in FY2025, compounding −32.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 4.3B CNY (≈ $645M) · P/E ratio 54.4 · P/S ratio 1.24 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0800 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 2.3% · Return on equity 1.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −59%, 600168 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.26 Fair Value ¥1.80 Bull ¥2.35
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0380 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥5.03 ¥4.66 ¥3.39 76
Owner Earnings ¥4.02 ¥13.00 ¥28.79 69
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2400 ¥0.4100 ¥0.5000 67
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥4.02 ¥13.00 ¥28.79 69
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.6400 ¥3.34 ¥4.62 63
Lynch FV ¥0.9200 ¥1.31 ¥1.70 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.9200 ¥1.31 ¥1.70 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2400 ¥0.4700 ¥0.7200 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2400 ¥0.4100 ¥0.5000 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.26 ¥1.68 ¥2.10 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.19 ¥1.59 ¥1.99 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.19 ¥1.59 ¥1.99 55
EV/EBIT n/a n/a ¥0.6700 61
EV/EBITDA ¥2.87 ¥5.90 ¥8.93 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.71 ¥4.97 ¥7.42 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.03 ¥4.66 ¥3.39 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.26 ¥1.80 ¥2.35 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.5%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.0% a year
Revenue growth 30 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−17.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−18% vs −12%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

600168 screens 142% overvalued. Compare with American Water Works Company →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Water · 66 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −59% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −13% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.99× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 54.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.58× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.10× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 28
PAST (return on equity)6 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)51 · sector 66
DIVIDEND (yield)13 · sector 48

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
American Water Works Company AWK $133.82 $65.80 −51%
SBS SBS $5.39 $7.68 +42%
Essential Utilities, Inc WTRG $40.38 $23.28 −42%
Grandblue Environment Co 600323 ¥28.81 ¥59.80 +108%
American States Water Company AWR $84.39 $38.40 −54%
Chengdu Xingrong Environment Co 000598 ¥7.06 ¥9.09 +29%
California Water Service Group CWT $47.29 $25.75 −46%
Chongqing Water Group 601158 ¥4.00 ¥1.76 −56%
H2O America, through its subsidiaries, HTO $62.92 $29.35 −53%
Zhongshan Public Utilities Group 000685 ¥10.94 ¥15.78 +44%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600168

Frequently asked questions

Is Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.80 versus a price of ¥4.35, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600168?
Our model-based fair value for Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is ¥1.80 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.35.
What is the quality score of 600168?
Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.80 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.26, optimistic scenario ¥2.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.80, about −59% upside versus a price of ¥4.35 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.26, optimistic scenario ¥2.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.64% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd it is ¥1.80 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥4.35. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 600168 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.35, fair value ¥1.80, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600168?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.80). For Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd the two are ¥2.55 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd worth?
The market values Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd at about 4.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.35; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600168?
Our models span a range for Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.26, base ¥1.80, optimistic ¥2.35 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥4.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600168?
Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 54.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥1.80 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 1.5%, debt of 0.99 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600168 from its 52-week high?
Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd trades at ¥4.35, about 30% below its 52-week high of ¥6.18 and 8% above the low of ¥4.04 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value American Water Works Company, SBS, Essential Utilities, Inc, Grandblue Environment Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥4.35, calculated fair value ¥1.80 (−59%), Quality Score 29/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600168 calculated?
We run Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.80, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥4.35. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.80, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥1.26 to ¥2.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168) come from?
Earnings per share at Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd grew −11.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.4 %, EBIT margin −9.4 %, tax rate −0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −12.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
The market capitalisation of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is 4.3B CNY (≈ $645M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is 1.24 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
Earnings per share at Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd are ¥0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 54.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
The dividend yield of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is 0.6% (payout 35.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
The net margin of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is 2.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
The operating margin of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is 12.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168)?
Revenue at Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is growing −12.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168) generate?
The free cash flow of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is −770M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd (600168) carry?
The net debt of Wuhan Sanzhen Industry Holding Co Ltd is 12.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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