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Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co (600207) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.8B CNY

HA Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co 600207 · SHG
Price¥4.45
Fair Value¥1.20
Upside-73.0%
Quality24/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -30.9% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥0.5800 – ¥1.88 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 7, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 7, 2026, revised from ¥1.40 to ¥1.20 (−14.3%) since Jul 25, 2026. Share price −1.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 73% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.88). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (¥0.5800 to ¥1.88). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥9.26 ¥3.17 Fair Value ¥1.20 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.17 – ¥9.26 · fair‑value band ¥0.5800 – ¥1.88 · the ¥4.45 price screens above the ¥1.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co (600207) currently trades at ¥4.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.20, implying the stock looks roughly 73.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co generated revenue of 2.5B CNY at a net margin of -30.9%. Revenue declined 42.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -36.4%. Net debt stands at 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.5800 (bear case) to ¥1.88 (bull case); at ¥4.45, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -73%, 600207 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥0.5600 ¥1.12 ¥1.69 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.5600 ¥0.9000 ¥1.18 61
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.9300 ¥1.25 ¥1.86 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.5600 ¥1.12 ¥1.69 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.5600 ¥0.9000 ¥1.18 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.9300 ¥1.25 ¥1.86 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥1.25) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.9000). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -42.9%
Net margin -30.9%
Return on equity -36.4%
Free cash flow −379M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -18.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.7000
EPS growth (YoY) -43.0%
Net debt 1.2B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of photovoltaic module encapsulation glass products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of photovoltaic module encapsulation glass products in China and internationally. The company offers solar photovoltaic glass, including enameled tempered glass, photovoltaic rolled tempered coated glass, photovoltaic rolled tempered glass, photovoltaic rolled glass, and photovoltaic coated glass; and float glass products, such as ultra-clear, low-e hollow, low-e glass, low-e production line, insulating glass, tempered glass, triple-glazed double-cavity glass, low-e coating, laminated glass, curved tempered glass, and irregular shapes. It also provides pharmaceutical glass products. In addition, the company is involved in research and development, design, production, and sale of mold and machinery products comprising gear and gear 2 machining, embossing roller, film unloading machine, fully automatic film loading machine, and connection. Further, it engages in the operation of natural gas pipelines; electricity and heat production and supply; provision of technology promotion and application, professional technical, and technical development services; non-metallic mineral products manufacturing; nonferrous metal smelting; and non-coal mines and mineral resources activities. Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co.,Ltd was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Anyang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co reported revenue of ¥2.9B in FY2025 versus ¥3.4B in FY2021, a compound −3.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥727M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 17/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.9B CNY
Latest YoY
−32.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+4.6%
Revenue −3.5%/yr
FY21 ¥3.4B
FY22 ¥4.1B
FY23 ¥5.2B
FY24 ¥4.3B
FY25 ¥2.9B
Net income
FY21 ¥211M
FY22 ¥77.5M
FY23 −¥19.3M
FY24 −¥354M
FY25 −¥727M

600207 screens 73% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600207

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −73% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -31% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -19% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -43% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.67× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.35× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.29× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 21
FUTURE 0 · sector 16
PAST 0 · sector 20
HEALTH 66 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CITIC Limited 0267 HK$11.28 HK$22.56 +100%
SK Inc 034730 580,000 KRW 497,919 KRW -14%
PT Astra International Tbk, ASII 4,810 IDR 9,620 IDR +100%
The Siam Cement Public Company SCC 254.00 THB 199.40 THB -21%
SRF Limited SRF ₹2,875 ₹1,053 -63%
Empresas Copec S.A COPEC 6,330 CLP 10,879 CLP +72%
Posco International Corporation 047050 50,900 KRW 61,248 KRW +20%
Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA ₹2,940 ₹559.30 -81%
Doosan Corporation 000155 464,000 KRW 75,620 KRW -84%
Thermax Limited THERMAX ₹4,809 ₹1,087 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co (600207) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.20 versus a price of ¥4.45, about −73% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600207?
Our model-based fair value for Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co is ¥1.20 (as of Aug 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.45.
What is the quality score of 600207?
Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co (600207)?
Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600207?
The net profit margin of Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co is about -30.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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