Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd ¥2.77, price ¥2.83, upside -2.1%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.67 – ¥7.30 · fair‑value band ¥1.94 – ¥3.60 · the ¥2.83 price screens above the ¥2.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group Corporation Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the construction engineering business in China and internationally.
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Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group Corporation Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the construction engineering business in China and internationally. It engages in the infrastructure activity of buildings, bridge buildings, hotels and commercial buildings, and cultural and sports buildings; public transportation engineering; underground space development; landscaping engineering; industrial construction; and environmental protection engineering and other fields. The company is also involved the foundation engineering, structure, roofing engineering, and decoration engineering construction; investment in land and real estate development; real estate management and acquisition; and architectural design business, as well as business of logistics, financial, prefabricated building, and new building material industries. The company was founded in 1950 and is based in Xi'an, China. Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group Corporation Limited is a subsidiary of Shaanxi Construction Engineering Group Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248) currently trades at ¥2.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.77, implying the stock looks roughly 2.2% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of ¥10.94 per share, and 10 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥2.83 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥1.27, and 6 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.94 (bear) to ¥3.60 (bull), the price of ¥2.83 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd reported revenue of 128B CNY in FY2025 versus 168B CNY in FY2021, a compound −6.5%/yr. Reported net income was 225M CNY in FY2025, compounding −50.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 10.6B CNY (≈ $1.6B) · P/S ratio 0.09 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 0.2% · Return on equity 0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8% · Operating margin 4.3% · Revenue (TTM) 125B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −2%, 600248 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥1.94Fair Value ¥2.77Bull ¥3.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−47.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−48.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−49% vs −23%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 8.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 844 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−11% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.84× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600248
Frequently asked questions
Is Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.77 versus a price of ¥2.83, about −2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 600248?
Our model-based fair value for Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd is ¥2.77 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥2.83.
What is the quality score of 600248?
Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.77 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.94, optimistic scenario ¥3.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.77, about −2% upside versus a price of ¥2.83 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥1.94, optimistic scenario ¥3.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248)?
Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 125B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd it is ¥2.77 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥2.83. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600248 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥2.83, fair value ¥2.77, a gap of about −2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600248?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥2.83); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.77). For Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd the two are ¥0.0600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd at about 10.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥2.83; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.77 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600248?
Our models span a range for Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.94, base ¥2.77, optimistic ¥3.60 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥2.83). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.5%, debt of 0.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600248 from its 52-week high?
Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd trades at ¥2.83, about 29% below its 52-week high of ¥3.98 and 6% above the low of ¥2.67 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.77 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥2.83, calculated fair value ¥2.77 (−2%), Quality Score 37/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600248 calculated?
We run Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.77, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥2.83. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.77, about −2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (¥1.94 to ¥3.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248) come from?
Earnings per share at Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd grew +4.7 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −8.5 %, EBIT margin +13.0 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248)?
The market capitalisation of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd is 10.6B CNY (≈ $1.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd is 0.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248)?
The dividend yield of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248)?
The net margin of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd is 0.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd is 0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248)?
The operating margin of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248)?
Revenue at Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd is growing −10.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248)?
Earnings per share at Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd are growing −56.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248) generate?
The free cash flow of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd is −2.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd (600248) carry?
The net debt of Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Chemical Engineering Co Ltd is 16.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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