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Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 59.5B CNY

SY Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd 600292 · SHG
Price¥11.93
Fair Value¥2.06
Upside-82.8%
Quality29/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 6.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.48% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/14)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.50 – ¥2.08 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price −5.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 83% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥18.00 ¥4.26 Fair Value ¥2.06 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.26 – ¥18.00 · fair‑value band ¥1.50 – ¥2.08 · the ¥11.93 price screens above the ¥2.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292) currently trades at ¥11.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.06, implying the stock looks roughly 82.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd generated revenue of 11.6B CNY at a net margin of 6.7%. Revenue declined 18.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.0%. Net debt stands at 25.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.50 (bear case) to ¥2.08 (bull case); at ¥11.93, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -83%, 600292 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.8600 to ¥11.33). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.04 80
Residual Income ¥2.62 ¥2.59 ¥2.25 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.68 ¥5.29 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.81 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.82 ¥5.80 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.42 ¥11.33 ¥21.89 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.19 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.15 ¥5.51 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.66 ¥8.33 ¥19.71 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.43 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.7600 ¥4.20 ¥5.82 54
Lynch FV ¥1.17 ¥1.67 ¥2.17 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.17 ¥1.67 ¥2.17 46
EPV ¥0.3800 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.67 ¥3.46 ¥5.49 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.67 ¥2.92 ¥3.63 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.76 ¥2.35 ¥2.93 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.42 ¥1.90 ¥2.37 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.42 ¥1.90 ¥2.37 55
EV/EBIT ¥0.9200 ¥2.48 ¥4.03 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.38 ¥9.75 ¥13.12 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.8600 ¥2.24 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.79 ¥2.39 ¥3.57 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.04 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.68 ¥5.29 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.62 ¥2.59 ¥2.25 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.3800 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.70 ¥2.42 ¥3.15 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥2.92) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.67). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 11.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -18.5%
Net margin 6.7%
Return on equity 9.0%
Free cash flow 590M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 66.3
More key figures
Operating margin 28.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1800
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +200%
Net debt 25.3B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SPIC Hydropower Co., Ltd. provides energy- saving and environmental protection services in China and internationally. It operates through Franchise; Environmental Engineering and Services; Catalysts; Sewage Treatment; and Energy Saving and Others segments.

Full company description

SPIC Hydropower Co., Ltd. provides energy- saving and environmental protection services in China and internationally. It operates through Franchise; Environmental Engineering and Services; Catalysts; Sewage Treatment; and Energy Saving and Others segments. The company is involved in the desulfurization, denitrification, and dust removal general contracting; desulfurization and denitrification franchise; denitrification catalytic; and in water engineering businesses. It also provides waste gas, wastewater, and solid waste treatment services; and research and development, transfer, and consulting services of energy-saving and environmental protection technologies. In addition, the company manufactures and sells energy-saving and environmental protection products, as well as invests in energy conservation and emission reduction projects. Further, it engages in air and water pollution control; solid and hazardous waste treatment and disposal; mine and soil remediation; and energy businesses, such as new energy and integrated smart energy. The company was formerly known as Spic Yuanda Environmental-Protection Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to SPIC Hydropower Co., Ltd. in January 2026. SPIC Hydropower Co., Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is based in Chongqing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥12.2B in FY2025 versus ¥4.4B in FY2021, a compound +28.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥532M in FY2025, compounding +76.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
12.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+157.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+43.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.0%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.8%
Revenue +28.6%/yr
FY21 ¥4.4B
FY22 ¥4.1B
FY23 ¥4.3B
FY24 ¥4.7B
FY25 ¥12.2B
Net income +76.0%/yr
FY21 ¥55.5M
FY22 −¥28.1M
FY23 ¥54.0M
FY24 ¥36.0M
FY25 ¥532M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) −16.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.5 pp

of which total revenue +2.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.4 pp

EBIT margin −14.7 pp
Tax rate −5.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

600292 screens 83% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600292

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -19% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.09× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 66.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.50× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.14× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 15.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 2
FUTURE0 · sector 32
PAST36 · sector 38
HEALTH45 · sector 53
DIVIDEND10 · sector 64

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $85.78 $32.94 -62%
The Southern Company SO $92.52 $58.81 -36%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,886 ARS -27%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹339.45 ₹375.02 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 244.80 PLN 167.29 PLN -32%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹269.45 ₹252.77 -6%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.81 ¥6.73 -24%
CLP Holdings 0002 HK$78.50 HK$42.12 -46%
CK Infrastructure Holdings 1038 HK$61.00 HK$42.74 -30%
Enel Américas S.A ENELAM 87.00 CLP 118.88 CLP +37%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.06 versus a price of ¥11.93, about −83% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600292?
Our model-based fair value for Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd is ¥2.06 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥11.93.
What is the quality score of 600292?
Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600292?
The net profit margin of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd is about 6.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.46% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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