Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 22, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd stock ¥1.80, price ¥10.24, upside -82.4%, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.26 – ¥18.00 · fair‑value band ¥1.34 – ¥2.68 · the ¥10.24 price screens above the ¥1.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.
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SPIC Hydropower Co., Ltd. provides energy- saving and environmental protection services in China and internationally. It operates through Franchise; Environmental Engineering and Services; Catalysts; Sewage Treatment; and Energy Saving and Others segments.
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The company is involved in the desulfurization, denitrification, and dust removal general contracting; desulfurization and denitrification franchise; denitrification catalytic; and in water engineering businesses.
It also provides waste gas, wastewater, and solid waste treatment services; and research and development, transfer, and consulting services of energy-saving and environmental protection technologies.
In addition, the company manufactures and sells energy-saving and environmental protection products, as well as invests in energy conservation and emission reduction projects.
Further, it engages in air and water pollution control; solid and hazardous waste treatment and disposal; mine and soil remediation; and energy businesses, such as new energy and integrated smart energy.
The company was formerly known as Spic Yuanda Environmental-Protection Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to SPIC Hydropower Co., Ltd. in January 2026. SPIC Hydropower Co., Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is based in Chongqing, China.
Stock analysis
Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292) currently trades at ¥10.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.80, 82.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ¥2.58 per share, and 1 of the 22 models we run sit above the ¥10.24 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ¥1.35, and 21 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥1.34 (bear) to ¥2.68 (bull), the price of ¥10.24 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd reported revenue of 12.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +28.6%/yr. Reported net income was 532M CNY in FY2025, compounding +76.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 49.4B CNY (≈ $7.4B) Mid · P/E ratio 27.7 · P/S ratio 1.21 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.3700 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 4.4% · Return on equity 10.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −82%, 600292 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.4600 to ¥14.22). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥1.34Fair Value ¥1.80Bull¥2.68
Price ¥10.24 · Upside -82.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2506 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income¥2.61¥2.58¥2.6376
5Y EBITDA Exit¥2.12¥6.24¥11.7069
FCF DCF¥0.2300¥2.14¥6.1168
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF¥0.2300¥2.14¥6.1168
5Y Revenue Exitn/a¥1.40¥3.5168
5Y EBITDA Exit¥2.12¥6.24¥11.7069
5Y P/E Exitn/a¥1.39¥3.1767
10Y Revenue Exitn/a¥1.43¥3.8863
10Y EBITDA Exit¥1.49¥5.07¥11.0861
10Y P/E Exitn/a¥1.42¥3.5960
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥0.7600¥4.20¥5.8263
Lynch FV¥1.17¥1.67¥2.1761
PEG = 1.0¥1.17¥1.67¥2.1757
EPVn/an/a¥0.160067
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥0.8400¥1.74¥2.7366
DDM Multi-Stage¥0.8400¥1.48¥1.8367
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥1.76¥2.35¥2.9363
P/S Multiple¥1.42¥1.90¥2.3757
P/B Multiple¥10.67¥14.22¥17.7855
EV/EBITn/a¥0.4600¥1.2560
EV/EBITDA¥2.46¥4.18¥5.9165
EV/Revenuen/an/a¥0.340049
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥1.58¥2.12¥3.1653
Growth DCF
Growth DCF¥0.1800¥1.97¥5.1566
Rev-Margin DCFn/a¥1.35¥3.3368
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥2.61¥2.58¥2.6376
ROIC Compoundern/an/a¥0.160067
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥1.70¥2.42¥3.1567
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+157.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.1% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+21.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.11.0% vs −9.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 14%
2025 sits 100% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+42.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +40.4% a year for the price.
Compare Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 157 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−82.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.0% · Above median
Return on assets1.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)18.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)37.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)24.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.09× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)27.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.90× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)7.84× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow163.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA23.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)40· sector 39
HEALTH (low debt)45· sector 52
DIVIDEND (yield)12· sector 64
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600292
Frequently asked questions
Is Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.80 versus a price of ¥10.24, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600292?
Our model-based fair value for Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd is ¥1.80 (as of Oct 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥10.24.
What is the quality score of 600292?
Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.80 (as of Oct 22, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.34, optimistic scenario ¥2.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.80, about −82% upside versus a price of ¥10.24 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.34, optimistic scenario ¥2.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 22, 2026).
Does Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.60% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 22, 2026).
What growth is priced into Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +42.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +27.0 % per year. As of Oct 22, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 600292 use?
Our models discount Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.16, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd that is +42.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd grew +27.0 % a year. The price currently implies +42.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (+42.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.30 %: that much free cash flow Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd it is ¥1.80 per share (as of Oct 22, 2026), against a price of ¥10.24. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 22, 2026, 600292 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥10.24, fair value ¥1.80, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600292?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥10.24); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.80). For Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd the two are ¥8.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd worth?
The market values Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd at about 49.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 22, 2026). Per share that is ¥10.24; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600292?
Our models span a range for Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.34, base ¥1.80, optimistic ¥2.68 per share (as of Oct 22, 2026, price ¥10.24). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600292?
Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.7 (as of Oct 22, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥1.80 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.9, P/S 7.8, EV/EBITDA 23.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
Balance-sheet figures for Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (as of Oct 22, 2026): return on equity 10.0%, debt of 1.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600292 from its 52-week high?
Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd trades at ¥10.24, about 39% below its 52-week high of ¥16.86 and at the low of ¥10.24 (as of Oct 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 22, 2026: price ¥10.24, calculated fair value ¥1.80 (−82%), Quality Score 29/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600292 calculated?
We run Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.80, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
The closing price on Oct 22, 2026 was ¥10.24. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.80, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (¥1.34 to ¥2.68) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292) come from?
Earnings per share at Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd grew −16.5 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.5 %, EBIT margin −14.7 %, tax rate −5.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
The market capitalisation of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd is 49.4B CNY (≈ $7.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd is 1.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
Earnings per share at Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd are ¥0.3700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
The dividend yield of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd is 0.6% (payout 16.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
The net margin of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd is 4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
The operating margin of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd is 37.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
Revenue at Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd is growing +24.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +43.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
Earnings per share at Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd are growing +85.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292) carry?
The net debt of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd is 25.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 42.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 22, 2026