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Shan Xi Hua Yang Group (600348) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CN · Market cap 30.6B CNY

SX Shan Xi Hua Yang Group 600348 · SHG
Price¥8.48
Fair Value¥6.74
Upside-20.5%
Quality42/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.7% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
2.77% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥4.96 – ¥8.92 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +1.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 21% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Our model range runs from ¥4.96 (bear) to ¥8.92 (bull), base ¥6.74. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 42/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥13.75 ¥2.71 Fair Value ¥6.74 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.71 – ¥13.75 · fair‑value band ¥4.96 – ¥8.92 · the ¥8.48 price screens above the ¥6.74 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Shan Xi Hua Yang Group (600348) currently trades at ¥8.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.74, implying the stock looks roughly 20.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shan Xi Hua Yang Group generated revenue of 20.6B CNY at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue declined 15.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. Net debt stands at 13.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.96 (bear case) to ¥8.92 (bull case); at ¥8.48, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -21%, 600348 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥7.62 ¥7.66 ¥7.20 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.56 ¥5.77 ¥6.83 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.59 ¥5.13 ¥6.67 68
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.21 ¥5.93 ¥7.34 54
EPV ¥4.56 ¥5.77 ¥6.83 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.96 ¥6.61 ¥8.26 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.35 ¥7.13 ¥8.92 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.02 ¥8.03 ¥10.03 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.12 ¥7.73 ¥10.34 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.82 ¥7.33 ¥9.84 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.30 ¥4.44 ¥6.58 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.01 ¥6.71 ¥10.02 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.62 ¥7.66 ¥7.20 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.56 ¥5.77 ¥6.83 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.59 ¥5.13 ¥6.67 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥7.13) versus Growth Earnings (¥5.13). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 20.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.3%
Net margin 7.7%
Return on equity 5.3%
Free cash flow −3.0B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 21.7
More key figures
Operating margin 19.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3900
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -23.5%
Net debt 13.3B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shan Xi Hua Yang Group New Energy Co.,Ltd., a mining company, engages in the production, washing, processing, and sale of coal in China. The company was formerly known as Yangquan Coal Industry (Group) Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shan Xi Hua Yang Group New Energy Co.,Ltd. in January 2021.

Full company description

Shan Xi Hua Yang Group New Energy Co.,Ltd., a mining company, engages in the production, washing, processing, and sale of coal in China. The company was formerly known as Yangquan Coal Industry (Group) Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shan Xi Hua Yang Group New Energy Co.,Ltd. in January 2021. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Yangquan, China. Shan Xi Hua Yang Group New Energy Co.,Ltd. is a subsidiary of Huayang New Materials Group.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shan Xi Hua Yang Group reported revenue of ¥21.4B in FY2025 versus ¥38.0B in FY2021, a compound −13.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.7B in FY2025, compounding −16.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
21.4B CNY
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−13.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+15.4%
Revenue −13.3%/yr
FY21 ¥38.0B
FY22 ¥35.0B
FY23 ¥28.5B
FY24 ¥25.1B
FY25 ¥21.4B
Net income −16.7%/yr
FY21 ¥3.5B
FY22 ¥7.0B
FY23 ¥5.2B
FY24 ¥2.2B
FY25 ¥1.7B

600348 screens 21% overvalued. Compare with China Shenhua Energy Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shan Xi Hua Yang Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600348

Peer Group

Thermal Coal · 101 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside −21% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.60× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.85× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.49× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.16× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 6 · sector 27
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 21 · sector 21
HEALTH 70 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 55 · sector 31

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shan Xi Hua Yang Group (600348) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.74 versus a price of ¥8.48, about −21% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600348?
Our model-based fair value for Shan Xi Hua Yang Group is ¥6.74 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.48.
What is the quality score of 600348?
Shan Xi Hua Yang Group has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shan Xi Hua Yang Group (600348)?
Shan Xi Hua Yang Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 20.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600348?
The net profit margin of Shan Xi Hua Yang Group is about 7.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shan Xi Hua Yang Group pay a dividend?
Shan Xi Hua Yang Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.63% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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