Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd ¥3.39, price ¥3.33, upside +1.9%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.96 – ¥8.07 · fair‑value band ¥1.45 – ¥6.74 · the ¥3.33 price screens below the ¥3.39 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Beijing Capital Development Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate development company in China. It also engages in the property management and real estate finance activities; renewal and renovation of old urban areas; and operation and promotion of long-term rental apartments, office buildings, and other formats.
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Beijing Capital Development Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate development company in China. It also engages in the property management and real estate finance activities; renewal and renovation of old urban areas; and operation and promotion of long-term rental apartments, office buildings, and other formats. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Beijing, China. Beijing Capital Development Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Beijing Capital Development Holding (Group) Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376) currently trades at ¥3.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.39, implying the stock looks roughly 1.8% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥20.78 per share, and 6 of the 8 models we run sit above the ¥3.33 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.57, and 2 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.45 (bear) to ¥6.74 (bull), the price of ¥3.33 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd reported revenue of 30.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 67.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −18.4%/yr. Reported net income was −6.6B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 10.6B CNY (≈ $1.6B) · P/S ratio 0.34 · EPS (TTM) ¥−2.52 · Net margin −22.0% · Return on equity −15.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.7% · Operating margin −0.4% · Revenue (TTM) 31.1B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at 2%, 600376 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥1.45Fair Value ¥3.39Bull ¥6.74
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.29/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+24.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.5% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
15.1% (2020) → 3.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth27% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity7.55× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600376
Frequently asked questions
Is Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.39 versus a price of ¥3.33, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 600376?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd is ¥3.39 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.33.
What is the quality score of 600376?
Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.39 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.45, optimistic scenario ¥6.74. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.39, about +2% upside versus a price of ¥3.33 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥1.45, optimistic scenario ¥6.74. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376)?
Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 31.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd it is ¥3.39 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥3.33. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600376 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥3.33, fair value ¥3.39, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600376?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.39). For Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd the two are ¥0.0620 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd worth?
The market values Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd at about 10.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.33; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.39 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600376?
Our models span a range for Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.45, base ¥3.39, optimistic ¥6.74 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥3.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 600376?
The PEG ratio of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd is 2.92 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376)?
Balance-sheet figures for Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −15.3%, debt of 7.55 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600376 from its 52-week high?
Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd trades at ¥3.33, about 58% below its 52-week high of ¥7.91 and 8% above the low of ¥3.07 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.39 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥3.33, calculated fair value ¥3.39 (+2%), Quality Score 53/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600376 calculated?
We run Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.39, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd currently trades 2 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥3.33. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.39, about +2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (¥1.45 to ¥6.74). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376)?
The market capitalisation of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd is 10.6B CNY (≈ $1.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd is 0.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376)?
Earnings per share at Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd are ¥−2.52. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376)?
The net margin of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd is −22.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd is −15.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd is −0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376)?
The operating margin of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd is −0.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376)?
Revenue at Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd is growing +26.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376)?
Earnings per share at Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd are growing −8.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376) generate?
The free cash flow of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd is 7.6B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd (600376) carry?
The net debt of Beijing Capital Development Co Ltd is 59.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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