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Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co (600416) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 13.4B CNY

XE Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co 600416 · SHG
Price¥9.05
Fair Value¥2.23
Upside-75.4%
Quality37/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/14)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.65 – ¥2.90 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +0.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 75% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥27.19 ¥8.42 Fair Value ¥2.23 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.42 – ¥27.19 · fair‑value band ¥1.65 – ¥2.90 · the ¥9.05 price screens above the ¥2.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co (600416) currently trades at ¥9.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.23, implying the stock looks roughly 75.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co generated revenue of 4.9B CNY at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at 129M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.65 (bear case) to ¥2.90 (bull case); at ¥9.05, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -75%, 600416 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.64 ¥7.14 ¥9.20 80
Residual Income ¥4.66 ¥4.45 ¥3.58 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.99 ¥4.72 ¥5.55 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.54 ¥7.16 ¥9.50 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.16 ¥5.16 ¥6.59 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.99 ¥4.67 ¥5.47 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.05 ¥6.58 ¥8.27 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.62 ¥5.80 ¥6.96 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.50 ¥5.22 ¥6.06 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.20 ¥6.52 ¥8.12 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.93 ¥5.99 ¥7.16 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.04 ¥2.53 ¥3.28 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.4500 ¥0.6500 ¥0.8400 46
EPV ¥3.09 ¥3.28 ¥3.44 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.40 ¥3.20 ¥4.00 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.94 ¥2.59 ¥3.24 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.94 ¥2.59 ¥3.24 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.66 ¥4.21 ¥4.77 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.17 ¥6.23 ¥7.29 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.18 ¥3.69 ¥4.20 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.28 ¥4.40 ¥6.56 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.64 ¥7.14 ¥9.20 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.99 ¥4.72 ¥5.55 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.66 ¥4.45 ¥3.58 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.09 ¥3.28 ¥3.44 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.84 ¥2.62 ¥3.41 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.80) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.53). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.2%
Net margin 4.6%
Return on equity 2.5%
Free cash flow 487M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 65.1
More key figures
Operating margin 4.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1500
EPS growth (YoY) -15.0%
Net debt 129M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co. Ltd. manufactures and sells electrical products in China and internationally. The company offers high voltage and low-voltage motor, AC/DC motors, water pumps, condensate pumps, feedwater pumps, mining truck, efficient permanent magnet, drive system, and green energy system.

Full company description

Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co. Ltd. manufactures and sells electrical products in China and internationally. The company offers high voltage and low-voltage motor, AC/DC motors, water pumps, condensate pumps, feedwater pumps, mining truck, efficient permanent magnet, drive system, and green energy system. It offers its products for thermal power, metallurgy, building materials, water conservancy, and mine industry. Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co. Ltd. was founded in 1936 and is based in Xiangtan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co reported revenue of ¥4.9B in FY2025 versus ¥4.0B in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥225M in FY2025, compounding +29.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+10.2%
Revenue +5.0%/yr
FY21 ¥4.0B
FY22 ¥4.6B
FY23 ¥4.6B
FY24 ¥4.7B
FY25 ¥4.9B
Net income +29.7%/yr
FY21 ¥79.5M
FY22 ¥260M
FY23 ¥300M
FY24 ¥249M
FY25 ¥225M

600416 screens 75% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600416

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 60.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.38× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.73× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 4.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 32.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.99× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 6 · sector 23
PAST 10 · sector 28
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co (600416) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.23 versus a price of ¥9.05, about −75% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600416?
Our model-based fair value for Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co is ¥2.23 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥9.05.
What is the quality score of 600416?
Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co (600416)?
Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600416?
The net profit margin of Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co is about 4.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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