Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co Ltd (600416) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 13.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −2.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 73% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.40 – ¥27.19 · fair‑value band ¥1.65 – ¥2.90 · the ¥8.40 price screens above the ¥2.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co Ltd (600416) currently trades at ¥8.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.23, implying the stock looks roughly 73.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co Ltd generated revenue of 4.9B CNY at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at 129M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.65 (bear case) to ¥2.90 (bull case); at ¥8.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -73%, 600416 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.80) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.53). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co. Ltd. manufactures and sells electrical products in China and internationally. The company offers high voltage and low-voltage motor, AC/DC motors, water pumps, condensate pumps, feedwater pumps, mining truck, efficient permanent magnet, drive system, and green energy system.
Full company description
Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co. Ltd. manufactures and sells electrical products in China and internationally. The company offers high voltage and low-voltage motor, AC/DC motors, water pumps, condensate pumps, feedwater pumps, mining truck, efficient permanent magnet, drive system, and green energy system. It offers its products for thermal power, metallurgy, building materials, water conservancy, and mine industry. Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co. Ltd. was founded in 1936 and is based in Xiangtan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xiangtan Electric Manufacturing Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥4.9B in FY2025 versus ¥4.0B in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥225M in FY2025, compounding +29.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −6.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −6.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
600416 screens 73% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 815 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €899.80 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €275.55 | €91.93 | -67% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.75 | -28% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 202.30 | kr 112.59 | -44% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 358.60 | kr 193.01 | -46% |
| Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND | ₹5,315 | ₹1,355 | -75% |
| Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL | ₹425.20 | ₹78.13 | -82% |
| Siemens Limited SIEMENS | ₹4,019 | ₹746.83 | -81% |
| Airtac International Group 1590 | 1,470 TWD | 853.70 TWD | -42% |
| Suzlon Energy Limited SUZLON | ₹47.35 | ₹26.64 | -44% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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