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Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE000001DW2

SE Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd

600481 · SHG

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value ¥10.75 · Strongly undervalued (+155%)
!Quality 43/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +29.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -19.8% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value

¥19.23 ¥3.50 Fair Value ¥10.75 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.50 – ¥19.23 · fair‑value band ¥6.42 – ¥16.69 · the ¥4.22 price screens below the ¥10.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co.,Ltd provides energy and water saving, and new energy equipment in China.

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Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co.,Ltd provides energy and water saving, and new energy equipment in China. The company offers lithium bromide absorption central air conditioning systems, gas turbine inlet cooling system, distributed energy systems, industrial waste heat utilization system, and multi-energy complementary clean heating systems; air-cooled condensing system, water-saving and anti-fogging industrial circulating water cooling system, and intelligent air-cooled system; heat exchanger, vaporizer, steam heater; magnetic levitation, centrifugal compression, and screw compressor series; and smart energy solutions. It also provides polysilicon reduction process complete equipment, single crystal silicon material, super high-efficiency photovoltaic modules, distributed photovoltaic, and alkaline water electrolysis hydrogen production systems. Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co.,Ltd was founded in 1982 and is based in Jiangyin, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481) currently trades at ¥4.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.75, implying the stock looks roughly 60.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥10.59 per share, and 8 of the 10 models we run sit above the ¥4.22 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.19, and 2 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥6.42 (bear) to ¥16.69 (bull), the price of ¥4.22 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd reported revenue of 7.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +18.6%/yr. Reported net income was −1.1B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 9.0B CNY (≈ $1.3B) · P/S ratio 1.32 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.7100 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin −14.7% · Return on equity −29.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% · Operating margin −24.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at 155%, 600481 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥6.42 Fair Value ¥10.75 Bull ¥16.69
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥9.32 ¥17.32 ¥31.93 74
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.87 ¥7.47 ¥10.64 73
Growth DCF ¥9.12 ¥16.19 ¥28.10 73
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥9.32 ¥17.32 ¥31.93 74
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.32 ¥10.59 ¥16.42 69
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.87 ¥7.47 ¥10.64 73
10Y Revenue Exit ¥7.09 ¥11.56 ¥18.55 63
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.30 ¥9.27 ¥13.61 66
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥2.94 ¥3.83 ¥4.72 67
EV/Revenue ¥4.89 ¥6.86 ¥8.84 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8900 ¥1.19 ¥1.77 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥9.12 ¥16.19 ¥28.10 73
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.32 ¥10.51 ¥16.20 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 16
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 70
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−42.0%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.5%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.6%
Revenue growth 25 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.7% (2020) → −7.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 828 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −24% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −37% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.97× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.37× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.20× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.9× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.7× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)51 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)57 · sector 25

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $957.27 $191.09 −80%
SIE SIE €264.65 €139.77 −47%
Eaton Corporation ETN $425.37 $168.65 −60%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $950.23 $398.69 −58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 202.80 kr 106.84 −47%
Cummins Inc CMI $556.75 $348.94 −37%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $268.16 $145.84 −46%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $152.19 $58.44 −62%
AMETEK, Inc AME $241.87 $124.66 −48%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $428.39 $125.56 −71%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600481

Frequently asked questions

Is Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.75 versus a price of ¥4.22, about +155% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600481?
Our model-based fair value for Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd is ¥10.75 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.22.
What is the quality score of 600481?
Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥10.75 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥6.42, optimistic scenario ¥16.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥10.75, about +155% upside versus a price of ¥4.22 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥6.42, optimistic scenario ¥16.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481)?
Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.84% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -3.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +29.6 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 600481 use?
Our models discount Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.38, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd that is -3.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd grew +29.6 % a year. The price currently implies -3.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (-3.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.18 %: that much free cash flow Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd it is ¥10.75 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥4.22. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 600481 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥4.22, fair value ¥10.75, a gap of about +155% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600481?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥10.75). For Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd the two are ¥6.53 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd at about 9.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.22; our models calculate a fair value of ¥10.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600481?
Our models span a range for Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥6.42, base ¥10.75, optimistic ¥16.69 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥4.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −29.9%, debt of 0.97 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600481 from its 52-week high?
Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd trades at ¥4.22, about 63% below its 52-week high of ¥11.56 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥10.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥4.22, calculated fair value ¥10.75 (+155%), Quality Score 43/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600481 calculated?
We run Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥10.75, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd currently trades 155 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥6.42). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥6.42 to ¥16.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481) come from?
Earnings per share at Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd grew +13.0 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +14.1 %, EBIT margin +2.0 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481)?
The market capitalisation of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd is 9.0B CNY (≈ $1.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd is 1.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481)?
Earnings per share at Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd are ¥−0.7100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481)?
The dividend yield of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd is 2.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481)?
The net margin of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd is −14.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd is −29.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481)?
The operating margin of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd is −24.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481)?
Revenue at Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd is growing −36.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −19.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481)?
Earnings per share at Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd are growing +58.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd (600481) carry?
The net debt of Shuangliang Eco-Energy Systems Co Ltd is 7.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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