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Shanxi Coal International Energy Group (600546) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CN · Market cap 25.8B CNY

SC Shanxi Coal International Energy Group 600546 · SHG
Price¥13.02
Fair Value¥12.36
Upside-5.1%
Quality58/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 6.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.69% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥9.27 – ¥15.44 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +5.0% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ¥9.27 (bear) to ¥15.44 (bull), base ¥12.36. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥20.28 ¥4.78 Fair Value ¥12.36 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.78 – ¥20.28 · fair‑value band ¥9.27 – ¥15.44 · the ¥13.02 price screens above the ¥12.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanxi Coal International Energy Group (600546) currently trades at ¥13.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.36, implying the stock looks roughly 5.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanxi Coal International Energy Group generated revenue of 21.6B CNY at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue grew 30.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥9.27 (bear case) to ¥15.44 (bull case); at ¥13.02, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -5%, 600546 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥12.37 ¥18.17 ¥26.43 80
Residual Income ¥6.65 ¥7.02 ¥7.61 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥12.31 ¥19.67 ¥28.03 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥12.14 ¥18.64 ¥28.46 38
Owner Earnings ¥8.70 ¥13.36 ¥20.39 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥12.31 ¥19.66 ¥28.98 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥18.71 ¥31.54 ¥46.46 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥9.61 ¥14.66 ¥19.86 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥11.74 ¥18.41 ¥27.25 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥16.20 ¥26.63 ¥40.49 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥10.42 ¥14.96 ¥20.34 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.00 ¥11.93 ¥15.80 54
Lynch FV ¥2.52 ¥3.60 ¥4.68 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.52 ¥3.60 ¥4.68 46
EPV ¥9.35 ¥10.91 ¥12.27 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥9.27 ¥12.36 ¥15.44 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.50 ¥10.00 ¥12.50 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.50 ¥10.00 ¥12.50 55
EV/EBIT ¥22.62 ¥30.15 ¥37.68 53
EV/EBITDA ¥25.09 ¥33.44 ¥41.80 54
EV/Revenue ¥13.04 ¥18.62 ¥24.19 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.08 ¥5.46 ¥8.15 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥12.37 ¥18.17 ¥26.43 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥12.31 ¥19.67 ¥28.03 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.65 ¥7.02 ¥7.61 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.63 ¥12.17 ¥15.31 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.55 ¥10.79 ¥14.02 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥18.41) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.60). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 21.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +30.0%
Net margin 6.2%
Return on equity 9.2%
Free cash flow 2.1B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 18.8
More key figures
Operating margin 21.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6800
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +69.2%
Net cash 1.2B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 59
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanxi Coal International Energy Group Co.,Ltd engages in the coal production business in China and internationally. The company offers raw coal and washed clean coal; and trades thermal, coking, anthracite, and semi-anthracite coal products.

Full company description

Shanxi Coal International Energy Group Co.,Ltd engages in the coal production business in China and internationally. The company offers raw coal and washed clean coal; and trades thermal, coking, anthracite, and semi-anthracite coal products. It also engages in the mining, washing, and sale of coal; waterway general cargo transportation; sale of metal and non-metallic materials products, as well as plastic and rubber products; sales of material handling equipment; information consulting services; and investment activities. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Taiyuan, China. Shanxi Coal International Energy Group Co.,Ltd operates as a subsidiary of Shanxi Coal Import & Export Group Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanxi Coal International Energy Group reported revenue of ¥20.5B in FY2025 versus ¥48.1B in FY2021, a compound −19.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.2B in FY2025, compounding −30.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
20.5B CNY
Latest YoY
−30.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−23.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+16.9%
Revenue −19.2%/yr
FY21 ¥48.1B
FY22 ¥46.4B
FY23 ¥37.4B
FY24 ¥29.6B
FY25 ¥20.5B
Net income −30.3%/yr
FY21 ¥4.9B
FY22 ¥6.9B
FY23 ¥4.3B
FY24 ¥2.3B
FY25 ¥1.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanxi Coal International Energy Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600546

Peer Group

Thermal Coal · 101 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −5% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 30% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.37× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.60× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.19× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 27 · sector 27
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 37 · sector 21
HEALTH 81 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 54 · sector 31

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanxi Coal International Energy Group (600546) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥12.36 versus a price of ¥13.02, about −5% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 600546?
Our model-based fair value for Shanxi Coal International Energy Group is ¥12.36 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥13.02.
What is the quality score of 600546?
Shanxi Coal International Energy Group has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanxi Coal International Energy Group (600546)?
Shanxi Coal International Energy Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 21.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600546?
The net profit margin of Shanxi Coal International Energy Group is about 6.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanxi Coal International Energy Group pay a dividend?
Shanxi Coal International Energy Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.69% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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