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Beijing Jingneng Power Co (600578) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 40.0B CNY

BJ Beijing Jingneng Power Co 600578 · SHG
Price¥5.98
Fair Value¥8.96
Upside+49.8%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 10.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.90% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥5.76 – ¥11.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +6.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 50% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥5.76 to ¥11.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥9.70 ¥2.48 Fair Value ¥8.96 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.48 – ¥9.70 · fair‑value band ¥5.76 – ¥11.20 · the ¥5.98 price screens below the ¥8.96 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Beijing Jingneng Power Co (600578) currently trades at ¥5.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.96, implying the stock looks roughly 49.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Jingneng Power Co generated revenue of 35.6B CNY at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue grew 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. Net debt stands at 32.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.76 (bear case) to ¥11.20 (bull case); at ¥5.98, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 50%, 600578 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥9.14 ¥19.40 ¥37.56 80
Residual Income ¥3.99 ¥4.79 ¥10.21 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.22 ¥13.09 ¥22.39 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥9.37 ¥20.94 ¥42.46 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.62 ¥7.90 ¥17.63 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.22 ¥13.28 ¥23.03 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.72 ¥16.50 ¥27.80 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥5.45 ¥11.61 ¥18.80 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥6.88 ¥14.11 ¥25.62 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.17 ¥16.52 ¥29.78 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥6.63 ¥12.85 ¥21.92 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.59 ¥19.17 ¥26.55 54
Lynch FV ¥5.29 ¥7.56 ¥9.83 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.29 ¥7.56 ¥9.83 46
EPV ¥4.32 ¥5.54 ¥6.61 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.12 ¥9.49 ¥11.86 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.72 ¥8.96 ¥11.20 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.76 ¥7.68 ¥9.60 55
EV/EBIT ¥6.61 ¥9.80 ¥13.00 53
EV/EBITDA ¥7.62 ¥11.16 ¥14.70 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.77 ¥8.10 ¥11.42 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.13 ¥2.86 ¥4.27 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥9.14 ¥19.40 ¥37.56 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.22 ¥13.09 ¥22.39 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.99 ¥4.79 ¥10.21 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.36 ¥7.22 ¥9.97 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.23 ¥10.33 ¥13.43 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥13.28) versus Asset-Based (¥2.86). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 35.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.2%
Net margin 10.0%
Return on equity 12.4%
Free cash flow 6.0B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 11.7
More key figures
Operating margin 14.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5100
Dividend yield 2.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.7%
Net debt 32.8B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Beijing Jingneng Power Co., Ltd. produces and sells electric power and heat products in China. The company is involved in coal-fired power generation, heat supply, and new energy power generation businesses, such as wind power, photovoltaics, and energy storage. It also invests in power projects and coal mines.

Full company description

Beijing Jingneng Power Co., Ltd. produces and sells electric power and heat products in China. The company is involved in coal-fired power generation, heat supply, and new energy power generation businesses, such as wind power, photovoltaics, and energy storage. It also invests in power projects and coal mines. In addition, the company operates electric power equipment, testing, and repair of power generation equipment, as well as sells desulfurized gypsum related products. Beijing Jingneng Power Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Beijing Jingneng Power Co reported revenue of ¥35.4B in FY2025 versus ¥22.2B in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.5B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 91/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
35.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+0.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.0%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+13.8%
Revenue +12.3%/yr
FY21 ¥22.2B
FY22 ¥30.5B
FY23 ¥33.3B
FY24 ¥35.4B
FY25 ¥35.4B
Net income
FY21 −¥3.1B
FY22 ¥803M
FY23 ¥881M
FY24 ¥1.7B
FY25 ¥3.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Jingneng Power Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600578

Peer Group

Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 78 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +50% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.86× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.40× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.12× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 23
FUTURE 11 · sector 0
PAST 50 · sector 31
HEALTH 57 · sector 70
DIVIDEND 58 · sector 52

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Constellation Energy Corporation CEG $257.57 $89.08 -65%
Vistra Corp VST $158.86 $47.59 -70%
Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER ₹218.45 ₹75.57 -65%
CGN Power Co 003816 ¥3.88 ¥3.13 -19%
NRG Energy, Inc NRG $137.90 $56.02 -59%
Gulf Development Public Company GULF 67.50 THB 40.44 THB -40%
Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL ₹1,730 ₹342.02 -80%
Talen Energy Corporation TLN $372.37 $44.67 -88%
Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 ¥5.80 ¥4.95 -15%
Power Assets Holdings 0006 HK$58.45 HK$31.90 -45%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Jingneng Power Co (600578) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.96 versus a price of ¥5.98, about +50% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600578?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Jingneng Power Co is ¥8.96 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.98.
What is the quality score of 600578?
Beijing Jingneng Power Co has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Beijing Jingneng Power Co (600578)?
Beijing Jingneng Power Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 35.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600578?
The net profit margin of Beijing Jingneng Power Co is about 10.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Beijing Jingneng Power Co pay a dividend?
Beijing Jingneng Power Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.19% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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