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KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of KraussMaffei Co Ltd ¥1.26, price ¥7.03, upside -82.1%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE000001C40

KC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

KraussMaffei Co Ltd

600579 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥1.26 · Strongly overvalued (−82.1%)
!Quality 42/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −30.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -8.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 7 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥13.42 ¥4.52 Fair Value ¥1.26 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.52 – ¥13.42 · fair‑value band ¥0.9700 – ¥1.83 · the ¥7.03 price screens above the ¥1.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

KraussMaffei Company Limited engages in the provision of plastics and rubber production and processing machinery and systems. It offers injection molding machinery, extrusion technology, reaction process machinery, digital services solutions, and industry and technology solutions.

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KraussMaffei Company Limited engages in the provision of plastics and rubber production and processing machinery and systems. It offers injection molding machinery, extrusion technology, reaction process machinery, digital services solutions, and industry and technology solutions. The company was formerly known as Qingdao Tianhua Institute Of Chemistry Engineering Company Limited. and changed its name to KraussMaffei Company Limited in September 2019. KraussMaffei Company Limited was founded in 1999 and is based in Beijing, China. KraussMaffei Company Limited is a subsidiary of China National Chemical Corporation.

Stock analysis

KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579) currently trades at ¥7.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.26, 82.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥2.11 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥7.03 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.3100, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥0.9700 (bear) to ¥1.83 (bull), the price of ¥7.03 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

KraussMaffei Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 9.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −36.7%/yr. Reported net income was −118M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.5B CNY (≈ $518M) · P/S ratio 2.32 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.2600 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin −7.5% · Return on equity −8.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −16.0% · Operating margin −5.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −82%, 600579 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.9700 Fair Value ¥1.26 Bull ¥1.83
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥0.9100 ¥1.08 ¥1.61 81
Growth DCF ¥0.8800 ¥1.14 ¥1.55 79
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.6800 ¥0.7400 ¥0.8500 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.9100 ¥1.08 ¥1.61 81
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.6800 ¥0.7400 ¥0.8500 74
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.46 ¥2.30 ¥3.96 73
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.7600 ¥0.9000 ¥0.9500 68
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.28 ¥2.42 ¥4.49 65
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥0.5600 ¥0.5700 ¥0.5700 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.1900 ¥0.3400 ¥0.4700 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1900 ¥0.3100 ¥0.3600 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥0.5900 ¥0.6100 ¥0.6300 66
EV/EBITDA ¥1.70 ¥2.09 ¥2.48 67
EV/Revenue ¥0.5700 ¥0.5900 ¥0.6100 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.57 ¥2.11 ¥3.15 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.8800 ¥1.14 ¥1.55 79
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥0.5600 ¥0.5700 ¥0.5700 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−83.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−46.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−30.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.7% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.4% (2020) → 0.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

600579 screens overvalued: fair value 82% below the price. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 789 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −82.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −0.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −8.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −5.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −16.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.33× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.34× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 297.0× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)7 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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SIE SIE €271.90 €150.42 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $433.27 $173.12 −60%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $970.37 $494.81 −49%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $155.10 $62.54 −60%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $257.28 $153.33 −40%
Cummins Inc CMI $516.57 $359.11 −30%
AMETEK, Inc AME $250.74 $125.77 −50%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $442.45 $139.31 −69%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 362.00 kr 193.59 −47%

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KraussMaffei Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥1.26 −82%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KraussMaffei Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600579

Frequently asked questions

Is KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.26 versus a price of ¥7.03, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600579?
Our model-based fair value for KraussMaffei Co Ltd is ¥1.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.03.
What is the quality score of 600579?
KraussMaffei Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.9700, optimistic scenario ¥1.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the KraussMaffei Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.26, about −82% upside versus a price of ¥7.03 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.9700, optimistic scenario ¥1.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579)?
KraussMaffei Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does KraussMaffei Co Ltd pay a dividend?
KraussMaffei Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.33% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For KraussMaffei Co Ltd it is ¥1.26 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥7.03. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is KraussMaffei Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600579 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥7.03, fair value ¥1.26, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600579?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.03); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.26). For KraussMaffei Co Ltd the two are ¥5.77 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is KraussMaffei Co Ltd worth?
The market values KraussMaffei Co Ltd at about 3.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.03; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600579?
Our models span a range for KraussMaffei Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.9700, base ¥1.26, optimistic ¥1.83 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥7.03). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579)?
Balance-sheet figures for KraussMaffei Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −8.1%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600579 from its 52-week high?
KraussMaffei Co Ltd trades at ¥7.03, about 28% below its 52-week high of ¥9.71 and 9% above the low of ¥6.45 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to KraussMaffei Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is KraussMaffei Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥7.03, calculated fair value ¥1.26 (−82%), Quality Score 42/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600579 calculated?
We run KraussMaffei Co Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. KraussMaffei Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥7.03. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.26, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with KraussMaffei Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥0.9700 to ¥1.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of KraussMaffei Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579)?
The market capitalisation of KraussMaffei Co Ltd is 3.5B CNY (≈ $518M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579)?
The price-to-sales ratio of KraussMaffei Co Ltd is 2.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579)?
Earnings per share at KraussMaffei Co Ltd are ¥−0.2600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579)?
The dividend yield of KraussMaffei Co Ltd is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579)?
The net margin of KraussMaffei Co Ltd is −7.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579)?
The return on equity (ROE) of KraussMaffei Co Ltd is −8.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of KraussMaffei Co Ltd is −16.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579)?
The operating margin of KraussMaffei Co Ltd is −5.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579)?
Revenue at KraussMaffei Co Ltd is growing −16.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −46.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579) generate?
The free cash flow of KraussMaffei Co Ltd is 1.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does KraussMaffei Co Ltd (600579) carry?
The net debt of KraussMaffei Co Ltd is 57.2M CNY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 32.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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