Shanxi Guoxin Energy Corporation (600617) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CN · Market cap 6.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥9.22 to ¥7.27 (−21.1%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +25.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 113% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥1.53 to ¥7.27). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.07 – ¥5.06 · fair‑value band ¥1.53 – ¥7.27 · the ¥3.41 price screens below the ¥7.27 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Shanxi Guoxin Energy Corporation (600617) currently trades at ¥3.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.27, implying the stock looks roughly 113.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanxi Guoxin Energy Corporation generated revenue of 14.7B CNY at a net margin of -1.9%. Revenue declined 12.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.9%. Net debt stands at 11.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.53 (bear case) to ¥7.27 (bull case); at ¥3.41, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 113%, 600617 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥6.08) versus Multiples (¥0.3000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanxi Guoxin Energy Corporation Limited engages natural gas development and utilization, and consulting services. It is also involved in the sale of pipeline transportation services of natural gas and ethanol; provision of gas storage facilities leasing services; development, construction, operation, management, and heating of central heating projects; …
Full company description
Shanxi Guoxin Energy Corporation Limited engages natural gas development and utilization, and consulting services. It is also involved in the sale of pipeline transportation services of natural gas and ethanol; provision of gas storage facilities leasing services; development, construction, operation, management, and heating of central heating projects; production, processing, and sales of natural gas stoves and instrumentation equipment; information technology development and consulting services; and import and export business, as well as operation, management, and related consultation activities of new energy enterprises. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Lianhua Synthetic Fiber Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shanxi Guoxin Energy Corporation Limited in July 2014. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Taiyuan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanxi Guoxin Energy Corporation reported revenue of ¥15.4B in FY2025 versus ¥12.6B in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥285M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enbridge Inc ENB | $56.46 | $47.20 | -16% |
| The Williams Companies, Inc WMB | $73.38 | $12.03 | -84% |
| Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD | $38.31 | $24.74 | -35% |
| TC Energy Corporation TRP | C$97.79 | C$42.00 | -57% |
| Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI | $32.54 | $11.12 | -66% |
| Energy Transfer LP, ET | $19.91 | $17.69 | -11% |
| ONEOK, Inc OKE | $93.52 | $64.05 | -32% |
| Targa Resources Corp TRGP | $273.35 | $79.61 | -71% |
| MPLX LP owns and MPLX | $57.17 | $37.05 | -35% |
| Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG | $255.83 | $211.18 | -17% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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