Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd ¥4.69, price ¥8.88, upside -47.2%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.53 – ¥16.92 · fair‑value band ¥3.49 – ¥6.03 · the ¥8.88 price screens above the ¥4.69 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Leshan Electric Power Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transmission and distribution of electricity in China.
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Leshan Electric Power Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transmission and distribution of electricity in China. The company is also involved in gas supply and provision of installation services; producing and selling tap water; construction and operation of wastewater treatment facilities; sale of user-side, grid-side, and transformer-side energy storage; photovoltaic operation and maintenance; power construction and operation and maintenance; and provision of technology promotion services. In addition, the company engages in accommodation, catering, conference operation, training, inspection and testing, and cultural media businesses. Leshan Electric Power Co.,Ltd was founded in 1988 and is based in Leshan, China.
Stock analysis
Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644) currently trades at ¥8.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.69, 47.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥2.40 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥8.88 price.
Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at ¥0.6400, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥3.49 (bear) to ¥6.03 (bull), the price of ¥8.88 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was 23.4M CNY in FY2025, compounding −33.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 5.1B CNY (≈ $759M) · P/E ratio 222.0 · P/S ratio 1.53 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0400 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity 1.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −47%, 600644 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.4000 to ¥4.41). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥3.49Fair Value ¥4.69Bull ¥6.03
Price ¥8.88 · Upside -47.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0190 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.5% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−26.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−26.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−26.5% vs −18.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 1%
Compare Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 155 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside−47.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1.0% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)1.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)222.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.46× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.54× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA23.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)4· sector 39
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 52
DIVIDEND (yield)3· sector 65
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600644
Frequently asked questions
Is Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.69 versus a price of ¥8.88, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600644?
Our model-based fair value for Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd is ¥4.69 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥8.88.
What is the quality score of 600644?
Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.69 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.49, optimistic scenario ¥6.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.69, about −47% upside versus a price of ¥8.88 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.49, optimistic scenario ¥6.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644)?
Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.17% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd it is ¥4.69 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ¥8.88. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 600644 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥8.88, fair value ¥4.69, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600644?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥8.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.69). For Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd the two are ¥4.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd worth?
The market values Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd at about 5.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ¥8.88; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.69 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600644?
Our models span a range for Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.49, base ¥4.69, optimistic ¥6.03 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ¥8.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600644?
Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 222.0 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥4.69 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.5, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 23.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644)?
Balance-sheet figures for Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 1.0%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600644 from its 52-week high?
Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd trades at ¥8.88, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥13.67 and 16% above the low of ¥7.66 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.69 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ¥8.88, calculated fair value ¥4.69 (−47%), Quality Score 44/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600644 calculated?
We run Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.69, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥8.88. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.69, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644) come from?
Earnings per share at Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd grew −20.6 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.8 %, EBIT margin −20.4 %, tax rate −3.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644)?
The market capitalisation of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd is 5.1B CNY (≈ $759M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd is 1.53 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644)?
Earnings per share at Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd are ¥0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 222.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644)?
The dividend yield of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd is 0.2% (payout 37.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644)?
The net margin of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd is 0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd is 1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644)?
The operating margin of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644)?
Revenue at Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd is growing −2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644)?
Earnings per share at Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd are growing −10.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644) generate?
The free cash flow of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd is −10.1M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600644) carry?
The net debt of Leshan Electric Power Co Ltd is 79.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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