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Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co (600650) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.9B CNY

SJ Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co 600650 · SHG
Price¥10.71
Fair Value¥5.93
Upside-44.7%
Quality56/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 9.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.99% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥4.31 – ¥6.74 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥4.74 to ¥5.93 (+25.0%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price +10.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 45% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥21.66 ¥6.56 Fair Value ¥5.93 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.56 – ¥21.66 · fair‑value band ¥4.31 – ¥6.74 · the ¥10.71 price screens above the ¥5.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co (600650) currently trades at ¥10.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.93, implying the stock looks roughly 44.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of 9.8%. Revenue declined 8.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.31 (bear case) to ¥6.74 (bull case); at ¥10.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -70% fair-value upside, at -45%, 600650 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.28 ¥6.14 ¥7.33 80
Residual Income ¥5.74 ¥5.56 ¥4.66 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.27 ¥4.56 ¥4.91 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.25 ¥6.23 ¥7.68 38
Owner Earnings ¥8.78 ¥11.64 ¥15.82 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.27 ¥4.53 ¥4.83 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.50 ¥8.71 ¥11.31 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥6.37 ¥8.47 ¥10.68 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.61 ¥4.93 ¥5.32 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.01 ¥7.78 ¥10.16 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.93 ¥7.61 ¥9.68 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.75 ¥5.51 ¥7.34 54
Lynch FV ¥1.21 ¥1.72 ¥2.24 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.21 ¥1.72 ¥2.24 46
EPV ¥3.57 ¥3.59 ¥3.62 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.05 ¥5.40 ¥6.76 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.28 ¥4.38 ¥5.47 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.28 ¥4.38 ¥5.47 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.87 ¥4.03 ¥4.19 53
EV/EBITDA ¥7.69 ¥9.11 ¥10.54 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.74 ¥3.88 ¥4.03 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.00 ¥5.36 ¥8.00 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.28 ¥6.14 ¥7.33 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.27 ¥4.56 ¥4.91 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.74 ¥5.56 ¥4.66 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.57 ¥3.59 ¥3.62 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.37 ¥4.81 ¥6.25 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.61) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.72). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.8%
Net margin 9.8%
Return on equity 3.8%
Free cash flow 94.5M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 39.5
More key figures
Operating margin -1.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2600
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.7%
Net cash 1.7B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co., Ltd. provides vehicle and logistics services in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co., Ltd. provides vehicle and logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company engages in warehousing, loading and unloading, processing, packaging, and distribution of general goods, and related information processing and consulting activities; provision of supply chain, transportation, inventory, and procurement order management services; and computer software development and technical service activities, as well as domestic and international cargo transportation agency business. In addition, the company offers tourism and business, hotels, property management, office space rental, real estate development and management, and food management services, as well as shopping mall venues. The company was formerly known as Shanghai JinJiang International Industrial Investment Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co., Ltd. in March 2021. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co reported revenue of ¥1.5B in FY2025 versus ¥2.7B in FY2021, a compound −13.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥142M in FY2025, compounding +2.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.5B CNY
Latest YoY
−17.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−10.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−10.8%
Avg. growth/yr (34Y)
+8.7%
Revenue −13.7%/yr
FY21 ¥2.7B
FY22 ¥2.1B
FY23 ¥1.9B
FY24 ¥1.8B
FY25 ¥1.5B
Net income +2.1%/yr
FY21 ¥131M
FY22 ¥523M
FY23 ¥151M
FY24 ¥197M
FY25 ¥142M

600650 screens 45% overvalued. Compare with Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600650

Peer Group

Trucking · 47 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −45% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Trucking median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 41.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.34× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.04× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 9.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 18.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.62× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 9
PAST 15 · sector 13
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 20 · sector 20

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Trucking stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc ODFL $225.23 $103.37 -54%
XPO, Inc XPO $219.29 $56.52 -74%
TFI International Inc TFII $155.83 $110.79 -29%
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings KNX $75.19 $8.58 -89%
Saia, Inc SAIA $438.29 $129.64 -70%
Schneider National, Inc SNDR $38.19 $12.37 -68%
RXO, Inc RXO $27.07 $3.48 -87%
ArcBest Corporation ARCB $147.13 $45.89 -69%
Werner Enterprises, Inc WERN $46.04 $8.24 -82%
Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co 600611 ¥4.55 ¥1.20 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co (600650) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.93 versus a price of ¥10.71, about −45% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600650?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co is ¥5.93 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥10.71.
What is the quality score of 600650?
Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co (600650)?
Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600650?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co is about 9.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co pay a dividend?
Shanghai Jin Jiang Online Network Service Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.09% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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