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Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Werner Enterprises Inc stock $16.48, price $26.95, that is 38.8% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 4 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

4 models, one by oneBear $16.48 to bull $26.36 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 46/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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Industrials US

Thin data Nov 5, 2026

Werner Enterprises Inc

WERN · US

Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 39% below what the stock costs today.

Generates free cash flow over the last twelve months

Positive coverage

Revenue last quarter +23% vs. a year ago.

Quality 46/100

Moderate debt

0.5% dividend yield · Token dividend

Insiders sold $40,987 (6M)

Fair value $16.48 · Strongly overvalued

Weak Growth (revenue 3y −3.3 %/yr in USD)

Loss-making · -0.6% net margin (TTM)

Trails peers (3/13)

Narrow moat 18/100 · thin data

Thin data

⟳ Cyclical

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $22.78 – $47.10 · fair‑value band $16.48 – $26.36 · the $26.95 price screens above the $16.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Werner Enterprises, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in transporting truckload shipments of general commodities in interstate and intrastate commerce in the United States, Mexico, Canada, and internationally.

Show moreShow less

The company operates a fleet of medium-to-long-haul vans that transport various consumer nondurable products and other commodities in truckload quantities using dry van trailers; the expedited fleet, which provides time-sensitive truckload services using driver teams; a regional short-haul fleet for truckload van service; and temperature-controlled fleet, which offers truckload services for temperature-sensitive products using temperature-controlled trailers to retail distribution center or manufacturing facility, utilizing either dry van or specialized trailers.

It also provides non-asset-based transportation and logistics services, comprising truckload logistics, which uses contracted carriers to complete shipments for brokerage customers and freight management customers, which it offers logistics management services and solutions; intermodal, which offers rail transportation through alliances with rail and drayage providers as an alternative to truck transportation; and werner final mile offers residential and commercial deliveries of large or heavy items using third-party agents and independent contractors.

In addition, the company sells used trucks and trailers; and trades used trucks to original equipment manufacturers. It transports retail store merchandise, consumer products, food and beverage products and manufactured products.

As of December 31, 2025, it had a fleet of 7,100 trucks, which included 6,785 that were company-operated, as well as 315 owned and operated by independent contractors; 28,780 trailers that comprised dry vans, flatbeds, and temperature-controlled, and other trailers; and 27 drayage company trucks and 170 Final Mile delivery trucks.

Werner Enterprises, Inc. was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.

Stock analysis

Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN) currently trades at $26.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.48, 39% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $13.29 per share, and 1 of the 4 models we run sit above the $26.95 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $8.24, and 3 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $16.48 (bear) to $26.36 (bull), the price of $26.95 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Werner Enterprises Inc reported revenue of $3.0B in FY2025 versus $2.7B in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$14.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.6B Small · P/S ratio 0.51 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3200 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin −0.6% · Return on equity −2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4% (5-year average) · Revenue (TTM) $3.3B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −39%, WERN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $16.48 Fair Value $16.48 Bull $26.36

Price $26.95 · Downside -38.8%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Best data coverage

EV/EBITDA $46.37 $65.67 $84.98 67

EV/EBIT $3.29 $8.24 $13.18 61

NCAV (Graham) $9.92 $13.29 $19.84 54

All 4 models by family

Multiples

EV/EBIT $3.29 $8.24 $13.18 61

EV/EBITDA $46.37 $65.67 $84.98 67

EV/Revenue n/a $3.58 $8.12 50

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $9.92 $13.29 $19.84 54

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 26

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 29

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 14

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 50

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 88

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 40

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 27

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 27

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 93

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director sold shares worth $40,987 and none bought.

SaleJim S SchelbleExec VP & Chief Admin Officer933 shares at $43.93$40,987Jun 12, 2026
SaleEric J DowningExec VP and COO2,846 shares at $34.89$99,298Feb 20, 2026

Plus 10 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 16/100

Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Revenue growth 1 year

−1.8%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−3.3%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+4.6%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.6% a year

Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+9.7%

’14

’15

’16

’17

’18

’19

’20

’21

’22

’23

’24

’25

Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

9.6% (2020) → 2.3% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

WERN screens overvalued: fair value 39% below the price. Compare with Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive

Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

Werner Enterprises (WERN) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth Yahoo Finance · Oct 20, 2026
Werner Enterprises issues Q3 profit warning Yahoo Finance · Oct 19, 2026
Werner® Reports Preliminary Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results Yahoo Finance · Oct 19, 2026

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Trucking · 44 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 46 · Below median

Fair Value upside −38.8% · Below median

Profitability

Return on assets −0.5% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (12 months) −0.6% · Below median

Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 23.2% · Top 25%

Dividend yield (12 months) 0.5% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.55× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Trucking median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.19× · Pricier than median

P/S (12 months) 0.50× · Cheaper than median

EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Cheaper than median

PEG 3.83× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 26

FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 45

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 13

HEALTH (low debt)72 · sector 91

DIVIDEND (yield)10 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Trucking stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings KNX	$58.41	$93.46	+60%	vs WERN
TFI International Inc TFII	$94.94	$112.09	+18%	vs WERN
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc ODFL	$164.92	$174.14	+6%	vs WERN
Marten Transport, Ltd MRTN	$11.74	$8.19	−30%	vs WERN
Mullen Group MTL	C$28.74	C$19.85	−31%	vs WERN
Schneider National, Inc SNDR	$27.81	$16.20	−42%	vs WERN
Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co 600611	¥3.98	¥1.96	−51%	vs WERN
ArcBest Corporation ARCB	$127.91	$52.83	−59%	vs WERN
XPO, Inc XPO	$176.95	$71.58	−60%	vs WERN
Saia, Inc SAIA	$331.90	$126.27	−62%	vs WERN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Werner Enterprises Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WERN

Frequently asked questions

Is Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.48 versus a price of $26.95, about 39% lower (overvalued).

What is the fair value of WERN?

Our model-based fair value for Werner Enterprises Inc is $16.48 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $26.95.

What is the quality score of WERN?

Werner Enterprises Inc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.48 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $16.48, optimistic scenario $26.36. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Werner Enterprises Inc stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $16.48, about 39% lower versus a price of $26.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $16.48, optimistic scenario $26.36. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN)?

Werner Enterprises Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.3B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).

Does Werner Enterprises Inc pay a dividend?

Werner Enterprises Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 0.52% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).

How much is the dividend of Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN) and when is the ex-dividend date?

Werner Enterprises Inc pays a dividend of $0.14 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.5%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 5, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1987. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.5% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.5% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.

What is the intrinsic value of Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Werner Enterprises Inc it is $16.48 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $26.95. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).

Is Werner Enterprises Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 5, 2026, WERN trades above its calculated fair value: price $26.95, fair value $16.48, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of WERN?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($26.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.48). For Werner Enterprises Inc the two are $10.47 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Werner Enterprises Inc worth?

The market values Werner Enterprises Inc at about $1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $26.95; our models calculate a fair value of $16.48 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WERN?

Our models span a range for Werner Enterprises Inc: cautious scenario $16.48, base $16.48, optimistic $26.36 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $26.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the PEG ratio of WERN?

The PEG ratio of Werner Enterprises Inc is 3.83 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.

How solid is the balance sheet of Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN)?

Balance-sheet figures for Werner Enterprises Inc (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −2.0%, debt of 0.55 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is WERN from its 52-week high?

Werner Enterprises Inc trades at $26.95, about 43% below its 52-week high of $47.10 and 18% above the low of $22.78 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.48 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Werner Enterprises Inc?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc, XPO, Inc, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings, Saia, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Werner Enterprises Inc stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $26.95, calculated fair value $16.48 (−39%), Quality Score 46/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of WERN calculated?

We run Werner Enterprises Inc through 4 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $16.48 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Werner Enterprises Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN)?

The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $26.95. Our model-based fair value is $16.48, about 39% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Werner Enterprises Inc right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($26.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (46/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Where does the earnings growth of Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN) come from?

Earnings per share at Werner Enterprises Inc grew −2.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.8 %, EBIT margin −8.0 %, tax rate +2.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Werner Enterprises Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN)?

The market capitalisation of Werner Enterprises Inc is $1.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Werner Enterprises Inc is 0.51 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN)?

Earnings per share at Werner Enterprises Inc are $−0.3200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN)?

The dividend yield of Werner Enterprises Inc is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN)?

The net margin of Werner Enterprises Inc is −0.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Werner Enterprises Inc is −2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Werner Enterprises Inc is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

How fast is revenue growing at Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN)?

Revenue at Werner Enterprises Inc is growing +23.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN)?

Earnings per share at Werner Enterprises Inc are growing −85.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN) generate?

The free cash flow of Werner Enterprises Inc is −$68.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Werner Enterprises Inc (WERN) carry?

The net debt of Werner Enterprises Inc is $692M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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