Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp ¥36.66, price ¥21.53, upside +70.3%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.01 – ¥37.30 · fair‑value band ¥19.17 – ¥49.14 · the ¥21.53 price screens below the ¥36.66 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sales of automotive parts and accessories in China, the United States, Japan, Germany, Mexico, Italy, Romania, Portugal, Poland, Brazil, India, and internationally.
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Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sales of automotive parts and accessories in China, the United States, Japan, Germany, Mexico, Italy, Romania, Portugal, Poland, Brazil, India, and internationally. The company offers seatbelts, airbags, smart steering wheels and integrated safety solutions related products. The Automotive Electronics Business segment provides automotive intelligence solutions, e-mobility and HMI, etc. It also provides intelligent cockpit services comprising cockpit human-machine interface, in-vehicle connected infotainment and navigation systems, cockpit domain controllers, and vehicle smart interiors; intelligent driving products consisting of LiDars and domain controllers, as well as software technologies, including navigation engines, positioning engines, and automatic parking engines, etc.; and e-mobility products, such as high-voltage booster, multi-functional DC/DC voltage converter, and on-board chargers, etc. Additionally, it provides automotive safety products for active safety, such as intelligent sensors, facial recognition technology, advanced driver assist systems, early mechatronic restraint preparedness, active body panels, fire suppression protection, and high voltage line cutters for electric cars, etc. In addition, the company offers satellite navigation and communication equipment; automotive information business products; manufactures auto parts and software development and technical services. The company was formerly known as Liaoyuan Joyson Electronic Corp. and changed its name to Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp. in January 2014. Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp. was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China.
Stock analysis
Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699) currently trades at ¥21.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥36.66, implying the stock looks roughly 41.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥46.02 per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥21.53 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥8.32, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥19.17 (bear) to ¥49.14 (bull), the price of ¥21.53 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp reported revenue of 61.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 45.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 33.4B CNY (≈ $5.0B) · P/E ratio 25.4 · P/S ratio 0.55 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.9700 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 2.2% · Return on equity 7.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 70%, 600699 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥19.17Fair Value ¥36.66Bull ¥49.14
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.5779 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.64/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +22.4% a year
Revenue growth 35 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+7.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.7% vs 7%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.1% a year for the price.
Compare Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 663 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+76% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.48× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Is Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥36.66 versus a price of ¥21.53, about +70% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600699?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp is ¥36.66 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥21.53.
What is the quality score of 600699?
Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥36.66 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥19.17, optimistic scenario ¥49.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥36.66, about +70% upside versus a price of ¥21.53 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥19.17, optimistic scenario ¥49.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 60.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp pay a dividend?
Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.84% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +19.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 600699 use?
Our models discount Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.68, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp that is +19.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp grew +5.0 % a year. The price currently implies +19.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (+19.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.26 %: that much free cash flow Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp it is ¥36.66 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥21.53. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600699 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥21.53, fair value ¥36.66, a gap of about +70% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600699?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥21.53); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥36.66). For Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp the two are ¥15.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp worth?
The market values Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp at about 33.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥21.53; our models calculate a fair value of ¥36.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600699?
Our models span a range for Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp: cautious scenario ¥19.17, base ¥36.66, optimistic ¥49.14 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥21.53). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600699?
Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥36.66 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 5.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.4%, debt of 0.48 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600699 from its 52-week high?
Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp trades at ¥21.53, about 42% below its 52-week high of ¥37.30 and 19% above the low of ¥18.02 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥36.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥21.53, calculated fair value ¥36.66 (+70%), Quality Score 38/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600699 calculated?
We run Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥36.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp currently trades 70 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥21.53. Our model-based fair value is ¥36.66, about +70% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. A fairly wide model range (¥19.17 to ¥49.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699) come from?
Earnings per share at Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp grew +4.7 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +19.3 %, EBIT margin −9.5 %, tax rate −2.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
The market capitalisation of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp is 33.4B CNY (≈ $5.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp is 0.55 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
Earnings per share at Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp are ¥0.9700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
The dividend yield of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp is 0.8% (payout 18.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
The net margin of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp is 2.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
The operating margin of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
Revenue at Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp is growing −5.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699)?
Earnings per share at Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp are growing +8.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp (600699) carry?
The net debt of Ningbo Joyson Electronic Corp is 4.8B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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