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Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd ¥3.08, price ¥10.02, upside -69.3%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · CN · ISIN CNE000000MT1

TU Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd

600773 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥3.08 · Strongly overvalued (−69%)
!Quality 32/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −13.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -127.3% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/11)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥36.62 ¥7.65 Fair Value ¥3.08 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.65 – ¥36.62 · fair‑value band ¥1.73 – ¥4.20 · the ¥10.02 price screens above the ¥3.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co.,LTD, together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, manages, and sells real estate properties in China. The company is also involved in the mining investment business; leasing and financing activities; and management of outlets, as well as operates a hotel.

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Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co.,LTD, together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, manages, and sells real estate properties in China. The company is also involved in the mining investment business; leasing and financing activities; and management of outlets, as well as operates a hotel. In addition, it provides sales agencies, urban renewal, real estate brokerage, catering, guestrooms, and food and beverage services, as well as operates shopping mall. Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co.,LTD was formerly known as Tibet Jinzhu Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Lhasa, China.

Stock analysis

Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773) currently trades at ¥10.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.08, implying the stock looks roughly 225.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥3.02 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the ¥10.02 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.89, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥1.73 (bear) to ¥4.20 (bull), the price of ¥10.02 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd reported revenue of 919M CNY in FY2025 versus 2.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −22.3%/yr. Reported net income was −553M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 10.7B CNY (≈ $1.6B) · P/S ratio 23.8 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.6000 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin −60.2% · Return on equity −17.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.4% · Operating margin −46.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at −69%, 600773 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.73 Fair Value ¥3.08 Bull ¥4.20
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥1.75 ¥3.16 ¥4.35 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.75 ¥2.89 ¥3.38 67
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.26 ¥3.02 ¥4.51 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.75 ¥3.16 ¥4.35 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.75 ¥2.89 ¥3.38 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.26 ¥3.02 ¥4.51 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−22.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−28.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.9% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
11.3% (2020) → −14.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

600773 screens 225% overvalued. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −127% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −46% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −88% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.61× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.37× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.56× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)70 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)40 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$109.10 HK$147.78 +35%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$29.62 HK$74.05 +150%
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 68,200 VND 112,796 VND +65%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$46.44 HK$71.69 +54%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.74 $1.52 −83%
DLF Limited DLF ₹675.00 ₹167.21 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.43 HK$22.35 +80%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,163 ₹275.95 −76%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 5,075 IDR 1,325 IDR −74%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.64 ¥14.10 +150%

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Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥3.08 −225%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600773

Frequently asked questions

Is Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.08 versus a price of ¥10.02, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600773?
Our model-based fair value for Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd is ¥3.08 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥10.02.
What is the quality score of 600773?
Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.08 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.73, optimistic scenario ¥4.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.08, about −69% upside versus a price of ¥10.02 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.73, optimistic scenario ¥4.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773)?
Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 449M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.01% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd it is ¥3.08 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥10.02. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600773 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥10.02, fair value ¥3.08, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600773?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥10.02); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.08). For Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd the two are ¥6.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd worth?
The market values Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd at about 10.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥10.02; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600773?
Our models span a range for Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.73, base ¥3.08, optimistic ¥4.20 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥10.02). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −17.1%, debt of 0.61 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600773 from its 52-week high?
Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd trades at ¥10.02, about 64% below its 52-week high of ¥28.10 and 1% above the low of ¥9.90 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥10.02, calculated fair value ¥3.08 (−69%), Quality Score 32/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600773 calculated?
We run Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.08, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥10.02. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.08, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥1.73 to ¥4.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773) come from?
Earnings per share at Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd grew −5.2 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.3 %, EBIT margin −8.8 %, tax rate −4.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773)?
The market capitalisation of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd is 10.7B CNY (≈ $1.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd is 23.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773)?
Earnings per share at Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd are ¥−0.6000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773)?
The dividend yield of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd is 2.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773)?
The net margin of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd is −60.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd is −17.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd is 0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773)?
The operating margin of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd is −46.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773)?
Revenue at Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd is growing −87.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −28.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773)?
Earnings per share at Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd are growing −27.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773) generate?
The free cash flow of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd is −466M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd (600773) carry?
The net debt of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Ltd is 2.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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