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Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co (600773) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CN · Market cap 10.7B CNY

TU Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co 600773 · SHG
Price¥11.24
Fair Value¥4.08
Upside-63.7%
Quality32/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -127.3% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥2.02 – ¥6.27 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥5.42 to ¥4.08 (−24.7%) since Jul 25, 2026. Share price −10.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 64% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (¥2.02 to ¥6.27). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥36.62 ¥7.65 Fair Value ¥4.08 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.65 – ¥36.62 · fair‑value band ¥2.02 – ¥6.27 · the ¥11.24 price screens above the ¥4.08 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co (600773) currently trades at ¥11.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.08, implying the stock looks roughly 63.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 449M CNY. Revenue declined 87.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.1%. Net debt stands at 2.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.02 (bear case) to ¥6.27 (bull case); at ¥11.24, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -64%, 600773 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥2.07 ¥4.31 ¥6.84 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.07 ¥3.63 ¥4.52 61
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.26 ¥3.02 ¥4.51 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.07 ¥4.31 ¥6.84 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.07 ¥3.63 ¥4.52 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.26 ¥3.02 ¥4.51 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥3.63) versus Asset-Based (¥3.02). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 449M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -87.8%
Net margin -127%
Return on equity -17.1%
Free cash flow −466M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -46.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.6000
EPS growth (YoY) -27.8%
Net debt 2.5B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co.,LTD, together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, manages, and sells real estate properties in China. The company is also involved in the mining investment business; leasing and financing activities; and management of outlets, as well as operates a hotel.

Full company description

Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co.,LTD, together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, manages, and sells real estate properties in China. The company is also involved in the mining investment business; leasing and financing activities; and management of outlets, as well as operates a hotel. In addition, it provides sales agencies, urban renewal, real estate brokerage, catering, guestrooms, and food and beverage services, as well as operates shopping mall. Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co.,LTD was formerly known as Tibet Jinzhu Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Lhasa, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co reported revenue of ¥919M in FY2025 versus ¥2.5B in FY2021, a compound −22.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥553M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
919M CNY
Latest YoY
−22.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−28.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+8.0%
Revenue −22.3%/yr
FY21 ¥2.5B
FY22 ¥2.5B
FY23 ¥2.4B
FY24 ¥1.2B
FY25 ¥919M
Net income
FY21 ¥118M
FY22 ¥117M
FY23 ¥62.0M
FY24 ¥12.5M
FY25 −¥553M

600773 screens 64% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600773

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −64% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -127% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -46% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -88% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.61× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.37× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.54× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 48
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 70 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co (600773) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.08 versus a price of ¥11.24, about −64% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600773?
Our model-based fair value for Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co is ¥4.08 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥11.24.
What is the quality score of 600773?
Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co (600773)?
Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 449M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600773?
The net profit margin of Tibet Urban Development and Investment Co is about -127.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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