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Sichuan Swellfun Co (600779) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 14.4B CNY

Price¥29.66
Fair Value¥13.88
Upside-53.2%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range ¥9.72 – ¥18.05

Analysis

Sichuan Swellfun Co (600779) currently trades at ¥29.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.88 — implying the stock looks roughly 53.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Sichuan Swellfun Co.,Ltd produces and sells liquor and wine. The company offers products, such as First Fang, Shuijingfang Yuanmingqing, Shuijingfang Jingcui, Shuijingfang Diancang, Shuijingfang Jingtai, Shuijingfang Zhenniang No. 8, Shuijingfang Jingtai Zhencang, Shuijingfang Hongyun, Shuijingfang Meilan Zhuju, Xiaoshuijing, Tianhao Chen, and Shuijing Fu. It is also involved in manufacturing of refined tea. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Chengdu, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.