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Top Energy Company (600780) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 6.9B CNY

TE Top Energy Company 600780 · SHG
Price¥5.99
Fair Value¥10.18
Upside+70.0%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.00% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range ¥7.63 – ¥12.72 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +3.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 70% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥7.63). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥11.70 ¥3.17 Fair Value ¥10.18 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.17 – ¥11.70 · fair‑value band ¥7.63 – ¥12.72 · the ¥5.99 price screens below the ¥10.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Top Energy Company (600780) currently trades at ¥5.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.18, implying the stock looks roughly 70.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Top Energy Company generated revenue of 11.2B CNY at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue declined 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.63 (bear case) to ¥12.72 (bull case); at ¥5.99, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 70%, 600780 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥6.82 ¥10.47 ¥16.52 80
Residual Income ¥5.91 ¥6.24 ¥6.85 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.25 ¥11.49 ¥17.13 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥6.91 ¥11.05 ¥18.26 38
Owner Earnings ¥6.96 ¥11.14 ¥18.42 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥7.25 ¥11.64 ¥17.76 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.33 ¥16.06 ¥24.77 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥8.42 ¥14.12 ¥20.84 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥6.90 ¥11.03 ¥17.65 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.45 ¥14.25 ¥23.56 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥7.85 ¥12.84 ¥20.25 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.84 ¥19.67 ¥27.18 54
Lynch FV ¥5.36 ¥7.65 ¥9.95 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.36 ¥7.65 ¥9.95 46
EPV ¥6.10 ¥6.74 ¥7.30 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0800 ¥0.1600 ¥0.2500 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0800 ¥0.1400 ¥0.1700 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.63 ¥10.18 ¥12.72 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.21 ¥9.61 ¥12.01 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.21 ¥9.61 ¥12.01 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.71 ¥10.93 ¥13.14 53
EV/EBITDA ¥11.14 ¥14.17 ¥17.20 54
EV/Revenue ¥7.43 ¥9.74 ¥12.05 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.65 ¥4.90 ¥7.31 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥6.82 ¥10.47 ¥16.52 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.25 ¥11.49 ¥17.13 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.91 ¥6.24 ¥6.85 76
ROIC Compounder ¥6.10 ¥6.74 ¥7.30 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.48 ¥10.68 ¥13.89 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥11.64) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.1400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 11.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.3%
Net margin 5.8%
Return on equity 8.0%
Free cash flow 438M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 11.6
More key figures
Operating margin 5.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5700
Dividend yield 3.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +2.2%
Net cash 2.3B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Top Energy Company Ltd.Shanxi is mainly engaged in the thermal power generation, power transmission, and distribution business in China. The company operates through three segments: Thermal Power Generation, Power Grid Distribution, and Other segments. Top Energy Company Ltd.Shanxi was founded in 1992 and is based in Taiyuan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Top Energy Company reported revenue of ¥11.3B in FY2025 versus ¥7.8B in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥648M in FY2025, compounding +36.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
11.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+20.0%
Revenue +9.5%/yr
FY21 ¥7.8B
FY22 ¥11.1B
FY23 ¥10.9B
FY24 ¥10.8B
FY25 ¥11.3B
Net income +36.6%/yr
FY21 ¥186M
FY22 ¥855M
FY23 ¥680M
FY24 ¥513M
FY25 ¥648M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Top Energy Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600780

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +70% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.82× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.61× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 7
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 32 · sector 39
HEALTH 97 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 60 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $88.80 $32.94 -63%
The Southern Company SO $95.61 $61.06 -36%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $126.11 $97.11 -23%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,377 ARS -27%
American Electric Power Company AEP $132.50 $79.33 -40%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $70.08 $46.92 -33%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹341.85 ₹377.16 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 232.40 PLN 159.33 PLN -31%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹283.55 ₹252.77 -11%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.91 ¥7.69 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Top Energy Company (600780) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.18 versus a price of ¥5.99, about +70% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600780?
Our model-based fair value for Top Energy Company is ¥10.18 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.99.
What is the quality score of 600780?
Top Energy Company has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Top Energy Company (600780)?
Top Energy Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600780?
The net profit margin of Top Energy Company is about 5.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Top Energy Company pay a dividend?
Top Energy Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.00% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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