Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd ¥7.56, price ¥9.51, upside -20.5%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.73 – ¥16.15 · fair‑value band ¥4.75 – ¥9.45 · the ¥9.51 price screens above the ¥7.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 5 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Yutong Heavy Industries Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells sanitation cleaning equipment, garbage collection, and transfer equipment in China.
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Yutong Heavy Industries Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells sanitation cleaning equipment, garbage collection, and transfer equipment in China. The company offers cleaning and maintenance vehicles and equipment, such as washing, sprinkling, sucking and sweeping of road pavement and facade facilities, including washing and sweeping vehicles, road sweepers, vacuum trucks, cleaning vehicles, sprinkler trucks, dust suppression vehicles, greening spraying vehicles, guardrail cleaning vehicles, road maintenance vehicles, road pollution removal vehicles, snow removal vehicles, etc. It also offers collection and transfer vehicles comprising garbage cleaning, collection and transfer vehicles and equipment, including compressed garbage trucks, food garbage trucks, self-loading and unloading garbage trucks, detachable garbage trucks, sealed barrel garbage trucks, box garbage trucks, and other products. In addition, the company engages in research and development, manufacturing, sales, and service of mining vehicles. Further, it offers environmental sanitation services, such as road cleaning and maintenance, garbage collection and transportation, landscaping maintenance, municipal facilities management, property services, garbage classification, public toilet management, and river water cleaning. Additionally, the company is involved in research and development, manufacture, sale, and service of construction machinery, such as rotary drilling rigs, dynamic compaction machines, electric port tire cranes, crawler cranes, bridge inspection vehicles, etc.; and develops and sells electric mining vehicles, unmanned mining vehicles, electric and extended-range electric rotary drilling rigs. The company was formerly known as Xi'an Hongsheng Technology Co., Ltd. Yutong Heavy Industries Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Zhengzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817) currently trades at ¥9.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.56, implying the stock looks roughly 25.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥20.35 per share, and 3 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥9.51 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.22, and 6 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥4.75 (bear) to ¥9.45 (bull), the price of ¥9.51 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was 309M CNY in FY2025, compounding −5.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 5.1B CNY (≈ $757M) · P/E ratio 16.4 · P/S ratio 1.45 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.5800 · Dividend yield 5.3% · Net margin 8.9% · Return on equity 12.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at −21%, 600817 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥4.75Fair Value ¥7.56Bull ¥9.45
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0585 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.24/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +76.3% a year
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2% vs 40%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 8%
Compare Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 154 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−21% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)5.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600817
Frequently asked questions
Is Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.56 versus a price of ¥9.51, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600817?
Our model-based fair value for Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd is ¥7.56 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥9.51.
What is the quality score of 600817?
Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.56 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.75, optimistic scenario ¥9.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.56, about −21% upside versus a price of ¥9.51 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.75, optimistic scenario ¥9.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817)?
Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.26% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd it is ¥7.56 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥9.51. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600817 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥9.51, fair value ¥7.56, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600817?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥9.51); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.56). For Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd the two are ¥1.95 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd worth?
The market values Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd at about 5.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥9.51; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.56 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600817?
Our models span a range for Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥4.75, base ¥7.56, optimistic ¥9.45 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥9.51). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600817?
Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥7.56 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 17.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.2%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600817 from its 52-week high?
Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd trades at ¥9.51, about 26% below its 52-week high of ¥12.77 and 8% above the low of ¥8.80 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.56 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥9.51, calculated fair value ¥7.56 (−21%), Quality Score 61/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600817 calculated?
We run Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥7.56, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥9.51. Our model-based fair value is ¥7.56, about −21% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥4.75 to ¥9.45) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817)?
The market capitalisation of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd is 5.1B CNY (≈ $757M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd is 1.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817)?
Earnings per share at Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd are ¥0.5800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817)?
The dividend yield of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd is 5.3% (payout 86.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817)?
The net margin of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd is 8.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd is 7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817)?
The operating margin of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817)?
Revenue at Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd is growing −8.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817)?
Earnings per share at Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd are growing −12.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817) generate?
The free cash flow of Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd is −27.3M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd (600817) hold?
Yutong Heavy Industries Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 1.3B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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