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Yutong Heavy Industries Co (600817) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.0B CNY

YH Yutong Heavy Industries Co 600817 · SHG
Price¥9.33
Fair Value¥7.56
Upside-19.0%
Quality61/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 8.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
5.40% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: High Range ¥5.32 – ¥9.45 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥7.53 to ¥7.56 (+0.4%) since Jul 25, 2026. Share price +2.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 19% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from ¥5.32 (bear) to ¥9.45 (bull), base ¥7.56. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥16.72 ¥6.73 Fair Value ¥7.56 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.73 – ¥16.72 · fair‑value band ¥5.32 – ¥9.45 · the ¥9.33 price screens above the ¥7.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Yutong Heavy Industries Co (600817) currently trades at ¥9.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.56, implying the stock looks roughly 19.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Yutong Heavy Industries Co generated revenue of 3.4B CNY at a net margin of 8.8%. Revenue declined 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.32 (bear case) to ¥9.45 (bull case); at ¥9.33, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -19%, 600817 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥4.42 ¥5.09 ¥8.67 76
Gordon GGM ¥3.38 ¥6.73 ¥10.19 70
P/E Multiple ¥5.67 ¥7.56 ¥9.45 63
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥10.23 ¥21.59 ¥44.54 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.95 ¥27.58 ¥38.70 54
Lynch FV ¥14.25 ¥20.35 ¥26.46 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥3.38 ¥6.73 ¥10.19 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥3.38 ¥5.81 ¥7.10 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.67 ¥7.56 ¥9.45 63
P/B Multiple ¥5.05 ¥6.73 ¥8.41 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.40 ¥3.22 ¥4.81 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.42 ¥5.09 ¥8.67 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥21.59) versus Asset-Based (¥3.22). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.0%
Net margin 8.8%
Return on equity 12.2%
Free cash flow −27.3M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 16.6
More key figures
Operating margin 6.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5800
Dividend yield 5.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -12.8%
Net cash 1.3B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yutong Heavy Industries Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells sanitation cleaning equipment, garbage collection, and transfer equipment in China.

Full company description

Yutong Heavy Industries Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells sanitation cleaning equipment, garbage collection, and transfer equipment in China. The company offers cleaning and maintenance vehicles and equipment, such as washing, sprinkling, sucking and sweeping of road pavement and facade facilities, including washing and sweeping vehicles, road sweepers, vacuum trucks, cleaning vehicles, sprinkler trucks, dust suppression vehicles, greening spraying vehicles, guardrail cleaning vehicles, road maintenance vehicles, road pollution removal vehicles, snow removal vehicles, etc. It also offers collection and transfer vehicles comprising garbage cleaning, collection and transfer vehicles and equipment, including compressed garbage trucks, food garbage trucks, self-loading and unloading garbage trucks, detachable garbage trucks, sealed barrel garbage trucks, box garbage trucks, and other products. In addition, the company engages in research and development, manufacturing, sales, and service of mining vehicles. Further, it offers environmental sanitation services, such as road cleaning and maintenance, garbage collection and transportation, landscaping maintenance, municipal facilities management, property services, garbage classification, public toilet management, and river water cleaning. Additionally, the company is involved in research and development, manufacture, sale, and service of construction machinery, such as rotary drilling rigs, dynamic compaction machines, electric port tire cranes, crawler cranes, bridge inspection vehicles, etc.; and develops and sells electric mining vehicles, unmanned mining vehicles, electric and extended-range electric rotary drilling rigs. The company was formerly known as Xi'an Hongsheng Technology Co., Ltd. Yutong Heavy Industries Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Zhengzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yutong Heavy Industries Co reported revenue of ¥3.5B in FY2025 versus ¥3.8B in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥309M in FY2025, compounding −5.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.5B CNY
Latest YoY
−8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+0.0%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+15.4%
Revenue −1.8%/yr
FY21 ¥3.8B
FY22 ¥3.6B
FY23 ¥2.9B
FY24 ¥3.8B
FY25 ¥3.5B
Net income −5.8%/yr
FY21 ¥393M
FY22 ¥386M
FY23 ¥218M
FY24 ¥227M
FY25 ¥309M

600817 screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yutong Heavy Industries Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600817

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −19% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.94× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.45× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 17.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 8 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 30
PAST 49 · sector 32
HEALTH 99 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 40

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CAT $952.41 $307.83 -68%
Deere & Company DE $597.24 $187.86 -69%
AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA kr 336.60 kr 288.08 -14%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $126.20 $94.80 -25%
Epiroc AB EPIA kr 251.90 kr 144.14 -43%
Exor N.V EXO €69.40 €219.41 +216%
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥18.65 ¥20.84 +12%
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥8.39 ¥11.79 +41%
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$41.00 HK$53.51 +31%
Yutong Bus Co 600066 ¥32.29 ¥42.00 +30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yutong Heavy Industries Co (600817) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.56 versus a price of ¥9.33, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600817?
Our model-based fair value for Yutong Heavy Industries Co is ¥7.56 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥9.33.
What is the quality score of 600817?
Yutong Heavy Industries Co has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yutong Heavy Industries Co (600817)?
Yutong Heavy Industries Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600817?
The net profit margin of Yutong Heavy Industries Co is about 8.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yutong Heavy Industries Co pay a dividend?
Yutong Heavy Industries Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.40% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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