Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Zhonglu Co Ltd A is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.28 – ¥35.82 · fair‑value band ¥4.23 – ¥4.29 · the ¥8.09 price screens above the ¥4.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Zhonglu.Co.,Ltd manufactures and sells bicycles in China. The company offers bicycles and parts, power-assisted bicycles, baby carriages, manual wheelchairs, electric wheelchairs, and spare parts, electric tricycles, motorcycles and mopeds, other special vehicles, and other supporting products related to bicycles.
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Zhonglu.Co.,Ltd manufactures and sells bicycles in China. The company offers bicycles and parts, power-assisted bicycles, baby carriages, manual wheelchairs, electric wheelchairs, and spare parts, electric tricycles, motorcycles and mopeds, other special vehicles, and other supporting products related to bicycles. It also involved in import and export of goods; research, production, and sales of bowling equipment and related products; sales of polyurethane plastic related materials; rental of bicycles and power-assisted bicycles; and general cargo warehousing services. In addition, the company engages in energy technology research and technology development services; wind energy prime mover equipment manufacturing; and software wholesale, leasing of non-residential real estate, as well as post-investment management of equity investments. It also exports its products. Zhonglu.Co.,Ltd was founded in 1940 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Stock analysis
Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818) currently trades at ¥8.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.23, implying the stock looks roughly 91.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥19.86 per share, and 1 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥8.09 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.94, and 3 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥4.23 (bear) to ¥4.29 (bull), the price of ¥8.09 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Zhonglu Co Ltd A reported revenue of 1.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 722M CNY in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was −57.3M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.6B CNY (≈ $388M) · P/S ratio 1.82 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.2300 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −5.3% · Return on equity −15.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.0% · Operating margin −9.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −48%, 600818 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥4.23Fair Value ¥4.23Bull ¥4.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.30/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Revenue growth 32 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
15.9% (2020) → −2.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 192 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−28% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.68× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.35× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 15
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)5· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhonglu Co Ltd A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600818
Frequently asked questions
Is Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.23 versus a price of ¥8.09, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600818?
Our model-based fair value for Zhonglu Co Ltd A is ¥4.23 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥8.09.
What is the quality score of 600818?
Zhonglu Co Ltd A has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.23 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.23, optimistic scenario ¥4.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhonglu Co Ltd A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.23, about −48% upside versus a price of ¥8.09 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.23, optimistic scenario ¥4.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818)?
Zhonglu Co Ltd A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Zhonglu Co Ltd A pay a dividend?
Zhonglu Co Ltd A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.24% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhonglu Co Ltd A it is ¥4.23 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥8.09. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhonglu Co Ltd A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 600818 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥8.09, fair value ¥4.23, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600818?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥8.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.23). For Zhonglu Co Ltd A the two are ¥3.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhonglu Co Ltd A worth?
The market values Zhonglu Co Ltd A at about 2.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥8.09; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.23 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600818?
Our models span a range for Zhonglu Co Ltd A: cautious scenario ¥4.23, base ¥4.23, optimistic ¥4.29 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥8.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhonglu Co Ltd A (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −15.3%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600818 from its 52-week high?
Zhonglu Co Ltd A trades at ¥8.09, about 33% below its 52-week high of ¥12.14 and 47% above the low of ¥5.52 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.23 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhonglu Co Ltd A?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value ANTA Sports Products Limited, Pop Mart International Group, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhonglu Co Ltd A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥8.09, calculated fair value ¥4.23 (−48%), Quality Score 52/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600818 calculated?
We run Zhonglu Co Ltd A through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.23, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhonglu Co Ltd A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Zhonglu Co Ltd A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (¥4.23 to ¥4.29), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Zhonglu Co Ltd A
How large is the market capitalisation of Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818)?
The market capitalisation of Zhonglu Co Ltd A is 2.6B CNY (≈ $388M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhonglu Co Ltd A is 1.82 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818)?
Earnings per share at Zhonglu Co Ltd A are ¥−0.2300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818)?
The dividend yield of Zhonglu Co Ltd A is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818)?
The net margin of Zhonglu Co Ltd A is −5.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhonglu Co Ltd A is −15.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhonglu Co Ltd A is −1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818)?
The operating margin of Zhonglu Co Ltd A is −9.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818)?
Revenue at Zhonglu Co Ltd A is growing −27.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818)?
Earnings per share at Zhonglu Co Ltd A are growing −77.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhonglu Co Ltd A is −78.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Zhonglu Co Ltd A (600818) hold?
Zhonglu Co Ltd A holds more cash than debt, 196M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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