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Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company (600860) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.5B CNY

BJ Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company 600860 · SHG
Price¥8.26
Fair Value¥4.45
Upside-46.1%
Quality32/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -4.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥3.17 – ¥5.79 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥4.47 to ¥4.45 (−0.4%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +1.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 46% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥3.17 to ¥5.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥27.01 ¥4.28 Fair Value ¥4.45 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.28 – ¥27.01 · fair‑value band ¥3.17 – ¥5.79 · the ¥8.26 price screens above the ¥4.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company (600860) currently trades at ¥8.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.45, implying the stock looks roughly 46.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of -4.9%. Revenue declined 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.9%. Net debt stands at 66.6M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.17 (bear case) to ¥5.79 (bull case); at ¥8.26, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -46%, 600860 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥0.1700 ¥0.3500 ¥0.5300 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1700 ¥0.2700 ¥0.3600 61
EV/EBITDA ¥1.45 ¥1.65 ¥1.84 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.1700 ¥0.3500 ¥0.5300 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1700 ¥0.2700 ¥0.3600 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥1.45 ¥1.65 ¥1.84 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.7800 ¥1.05 ¥1.57 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥1.65) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.2700). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.3%
Net margin -4.9%
Return on equity -10.9%
Free cash flow −69.8M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -6.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.1400
EPS growth (YoY) +307%
Net debt 66.6M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 49
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company Limited manufactures and sells gas storage and transportation equipment in the People's Republic of China and internationally.

Full company description

Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company Limited manufactures and sells gas storage and transportation equipment in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It primarily offers liquefied natural gas (LNG) cylinders for vehicles, compressed natural gas (CNG) cylinders for vehicles, seamless steel gas cylinders, welded insulated cylinders, carbon fiber full wound composite cylinders, aluminum-lined carbon fiber fully wound composite cylinders for fuel cells, plastic-lined carbon fiber fully wound composite cylinders, and gas station equipment. The company also provides ground conveyor assembly systems, overhead conveyor systems, robot integration applications, and stamping connecting products, non-standard automated special-purpose machines, etc. In addition, it is involved in the production and sales of gas cylinders, pressure vessels and related equipment, etc.; import and export trade, consultancy, and other services; and robots and automated equipment. The company's products are used in automotive, chemical, fire protection, medical, petroleum, energy, urban construction, food, metallurgy, machinery, and electronics industries. The company was formerly known as Beiren Printing Machinery Holding Company Limited and changed its name to Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company Limited in December 2013. Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company reported revenue of ¥1.5B in FY2025 versus ¥1.2B in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥53.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 22/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.5B CNY
Latest YoY
−7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+4.2%
Revenue +6.5%/yr
FY21 ¥1.2B
FY22 ¥1.4B
FY23 ¥1.4B
FY24 ¥1.6B
FY25 ¥1.5B
Net income
FY21 −¥23.3M
FY22 ¥18.3M
FY23 −¥51.7M
FY24 ¥7.5M
FY25 −¥53.6M

600860 screens 46% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600860

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −46% · Below median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.78× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.44× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 91 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company (600860) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.45 versus a price of ¥8.26, about −46% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600860?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company is ¥4.45 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.26.
What is the quality score of 600860?
Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company (600860)?
Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600860?
The net profit margin of Beijing Jingcheng Machinery Electric Company is about -4.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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