Chongqing Gas Group (600917) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 7.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from ¥2.43 to ¥3.25 (+33.6%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +0.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 33% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥2.22 to ¥4.13) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.55 – ¥12.18 · fair‑value band ¥2.22 – ¥4.13 · the ¥4.82 price screens above the ¥3.25 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.
Analysis
Chongqing Gas Group (600917) currently trades at ¥4.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.25, implying the stock looks roughly 32.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Chongqing Gas Group generated revenue of 10.2B CNY at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue declined 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 707M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.22 (bear case) to ¥4.13 (bull case); at ¥4.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -33%, 600917 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥2.49) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.7700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chongqing Gas Group Corporation Ltd. engages in the supply, transmission, storage, distribution, and sale of natural gas in China and internationally.
Full company description
Chongqing Gas Group Corporation Ltd. engages in the supply, transmission, storage, distribution, and sale of natural gas in China and internationally. The company engages in the installation and maintenance of gas-fired appliances; food business; and design, manufacturing, installation, and maintenance of natural gas pipeline network facilities and equipment, as well as provision of natural gas connection services. Chongqing Gas Group Corporation Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is based in Chongqing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chongqing Gas Group reported revenue of ¥10.3B in FY2025 versus ¥7.8B in FY2021, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥211M in FY2025, compounding −17.6%/yr from FY2021.
600917 screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naturgy Energy Group NTGY | €28.84 | €35.80 | +24% |
| Atmos Energy Corporation ATO | $177.68 | $85.67 | -52% |
| NiSource Inc NI | $47.07 | $28.59 | -39% |
| Uniper SE UN0 | €42.80 | €49.13 | +15% |
| The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 | HK$7.03 | HK$5.08 | -28% |
| Italgas S.p.A IG | €9.98 | €8.11 | -19% |
| GAIL (India) Limited GAIL | ₹171.71 | ₹147.74 | -14% |
| Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL | ₹723.90 | ₹101.36 | -86% |
| ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 | ¥17.30 | ¥25.71 | +49% |
| UGI Corporation UGI | $35.84 | $27.13 | -24% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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