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Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd (600969) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 3.1B CNY

HC Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd 600969 · SHG
Price¥8.29
Fair Value¥3.51
Upside-57.7%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.8% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
1.53% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.78 – ¥4.64 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +12.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 58% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥12.32 ¥4.30 Fair Value ¥3.51 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.30 – ¥12.32 · fair‑value band ¥2.78 – ¥4.64 · the ¥8.29 price screens above the ¥3.51 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd (600969) currently trades at ¥8.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.51, implying the stock looks roughly 57.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd generated revenue of 4.2B CNY at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. Net debt stands at 4.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.78 (bear case) to ¥4.64 (bull case); at ¥8.29, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -58%, 600969 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥9.31 ¥20.43 ¥37.08 80
Residual Income ¥6.81 ¥6.43 ¥4.99 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.13 ¥8.36 ¥15.84 74
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥9.17 ¥20.63 ¥38.06 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.13 ¥8.20 ¥15.80 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.95 ¥17.46 ¥29.84 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥0.6400 ¥3.04 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.27 ¥10.46 ¥18.69 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.57 ¥16.85 ¥29.43 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.06 ¥5.26 ¥8.92 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.40 ¥4.97 ¥6.68 54
Lynch FV ¥1.16 ¥1.66 ¥2.16 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.16 ¥1.66 ¥2.16 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.78 ¥3.71 ¥4.64 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.63 ¥3.51 ¥4.38 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.63 ¥3.51 ¥4.38 55
EV/EBIT ¥0.7400 ¥4.42 ¥8.10 53
EV/EBITDA ¥7.58 ¥13.54 ¥19.50 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.46 ¥6.29 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.90 ¥6.57 ¥9.81 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥9.31 ¥20.43 ¥37.08 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.13 ¥8.36 ¥15.84 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.81 ¥6.43 ¥4.99 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.05 ¥2.92 ¥3.80 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥10.46) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.66). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.1%
Net margin 1.8%
Return on equity 3.3%
Free cash flow 645M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 39.5
More key figures
Operating margin 5.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2100
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +4.4%
Net debt 4.5B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd engages in the production and supply of power and heat in China and internationally. It is also involved in the hydropower development, new and comprehensive energy, wastewater and sewage treatment, water supply, industrial gases, and industry technological innovation businesses.

Full company description

Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd engages in the production and supply of power and heat in China and internationally. It is also involved in the hydropower development, new and comprehensive energy, wastewater and sewage treatment, water supply, industrial gases, and industry technological innovation businesses. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Chenzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd reported revenue of ¥4.1B in FY2025 versus ¥3.4B in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥76.3M in FY2025, compounding +13.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.1B CNY
Latest YoY
−3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+10.7%
Revenue +5.0%/yr
FY21 ¥3.4B
FY22 ¥4.0B
FY23 ¥3.9B
FY24 ¥4.3B
FY25 ¥4.1B
Net income +13.6%/yr
FY21 ¥45.9M
FY22 ¥50.2M
FY23 −¥61.7M
FY24 −¥36.3M
FY25 ¥76.3M

600969 screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600969

Peer Group

Utilities - Diversified · 51 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Above median
Fair Value upside −58% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.52× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 39.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.85× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.73× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 14
FUTURE 26 · sector 0
PAST 13 · sector 33
HEALTH 24 · sector 49
DIVIDEND 31 · sector 80

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €21.25 €9.34 -56%
Enel SpA ENEL €10.28 €5.83 -43%
Engie SA 1ENGI €26.59 €17.39 -35%
Sempra SRE $93.15 $47.77 -49%
E.ON SE EOAN €19.34 €11.71 -39%
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and 1RWE €56.52 €29.64 -48%
ACWA Power Company 2082 198.20 SAR 25.38 SAR -87%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN C$55.05 C$17.66 -68%
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €69.00 €21.11 -69%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.41 €3.81 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd (600969) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.51 versus a price of ¥8.29, about −58% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600969?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd is ¥3.51 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.29.
What is the quality score of 600969?
Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd (600969)?
Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600969?
The net profit margin of Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd is about 1.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd pay a dividend?
Hunan Chendian International Developmentco.,ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.32% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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