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Ningbo Energy Group (600982) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 5.7B CNY

NE Ningbo Energy Group 600982 · SHG
Price¥5.10
Fair Value¥4.33
Upside-15.1%
Quality41/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.33% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥3.13 – ¥5.42 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +12.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 15% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Our model range runs from ¥3.13 (bear) to ¥5.42 (bull), base ¥4.33. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 41/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥7.38 ¥2.88 Fair Value ¥4.33 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.88 – ¥7.38 · fair‑value band ¥3.13 – ¥5.42 · the ¥5.10 price screens above the ¥4.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Ningbo Energy Group (600982) currently trades at ¥5.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.33, implying the stock looks roughly 15.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo Energy Group generated revenue of 3.8B CNY at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue declined 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.2%. Net debt stands at 5.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.13 (bear case) to ¥5.42 (bull case); at ¥5.10, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -15%, 600982 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥3.10 ¥3.24 ¥3.35 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.3400 ¥0.7000 72
Gordon GGM ¥2.60 ¥5.18 ¥7.84 70
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥0.4800 ¥3.51 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.97 ¥5.84 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.7100 ¥4.96 ¥10.78 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.34 ¥5.84 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.8100 ¥4.89 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.05 ¥9.27 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.08 ¥4.89 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.73 ¥10.41 ¥14.51 54
Lynch FV ¥2.97 ¥4.24 ¥5.51 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.97 ¥4.24 ¥5.51 46
EPV ¥0.3400 ¥0.7000 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.60 ¥5.18 ¥7.84 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.60 ¥4.48 ¥5.47 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.44 ¥4.59 ¥5.74 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.25 ¥4.33 ¥5.42 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.25 ¥4.33 ¥5.42 55
EV/EBIT ¥0.9600 ¥2.19 ¥3.42 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.50 ¥4.24 ¥5.98 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.2600 ¥1.54 ¥2.81 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.94 ¥2.60 ¥3.88 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.10 ¥3.24 ¥3.35 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.3400 ¥0.7000 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.03 ¥5.75 ¥7.48 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥5.75) versus Economic Profit (¥0.3400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.8%
Net margin 9.7%
Return on equity 7.5%
Free cash flow 1.0M CNY FY2024
P/E ratio 15.9
More key figures
Operating margin 11.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3200
Dividend yield 3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +59.9%
Net debt 5.0B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ningbo Energy Group Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the power generation activities in China. It operates coal-fired power plants, coal-fired gas-fired thermal power plants, hydroelectric, and renewable energy power plants.

Full company description

Ningbo Energy Group Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the power generation activities in China. It operates coal-fired power plants, coal-fired gas-fired thermal power plants, hydroelectric, and renewable energy power plants. The company is also involved in the cogeneration of heat and power, biomass power generation, pumped storage power generation, bulk commodity trading, and energy storage management; provision of bulk commodities, such as steam and electricity, coal, refined oil, and asphalt; heat supply activities; financial leasing; waste disposal; waterway transportation; provision of technical, energy management, and warehouse logistics services; technology research and development; fuel sales; and construction and operation of urban energy infrastructure. The company was formerly known as NINGBO THERMAL POWER CO.,LTD. and changed its name to Ningbo Energy Group Co.,Ltd. in December 2020. Ningbo Energy Group Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is based in Ningbo, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Ningbo Energy Group reported revenue of ¥4.2B in FY2024 versus ¥5.4B in FY2020, a compound −5.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥285M in FY2024, compounding +2.3%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
4.2B CNY
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+15.6%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+19.7%
Revenue −5.9%/yr
FY20 ¥5.4B
FY21 ¥6.9B
FY22 ¥8.3B
FY23 ¥5.4B
FY24 ¥4.2B
Net income +2.3%/yr
FY20 ¥260M
FY21 ¥474M
FY22 ¥343M
FY23 ¥407M
FY24 ¥285M

600982 screens 15% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo Energy Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600982

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −15% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Below median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.90× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.31× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.47× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 841.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 13 · sector 7
FUTURE 49 · sector 32
PAST 30 · sector 39
HEALTH 55 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 67 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $88.80 $32.94 -63%
The Southern Company SO $95.61 $61.06 -36%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $126.11 $97.11 -23%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,377 ARS -27%
American Electric Power Company AEP $132.50 $79.33 -40%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $70.08 $46.92 -33%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹341.85 ₹377.16 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 232.40 PLN 159.33 PLN -31%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹283.55 ₹252.77 -11%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.91 ¥7.69 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ningbo Energy Group (600982) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.33 versus a price of ¥5.10, about −15% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600982?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo Energy Group is ¥4.33 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.10.
What is the quality score of 600982?
Ningbo Energy Group has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ningbo Energy Group (600982)?
Ningbo Energy Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600982?
The net profit margin of Ningbo Energy Group is about 9.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ningbo Energy Group pay a dividend?
Ningbo Energy Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.06% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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