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China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co (600995) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 40.2B CNY

CS China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co 600995 · SHG
Price¥12.64
Fair Value¥8.98
Upside-29.0%
Quality43/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 24.7% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
0.51% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥5.58 – ¥11.89 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +7.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 29% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥5.58 to ¥11.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥21.42 ¥6.48 Fair Value ¥8.98 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.48 – ¥21.42 · fair‑value band ¥5.58 – ¥11.89 · the ¥12.64 price screens above the ¥8.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co (600995) currently trades at ¥12.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.98, implying the stock looks roughly 29.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co generated revenue of 7.7B CNY at a net margin of 23.1%. Revenue grew 18.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at 17.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.58 (bear case) to ¥11.89 (bull case); at ¥12.64, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -29%, 600995 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥5.81 ¥6.17 ¥6.77 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.50 ¥3.81 ¥4.95 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.61 ¥12.29 ¥15.98 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.59 ¥22.36 ¥31.22 54
Lynch FV ¥6.43 ¥9.19 ¥11.94 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥6.43 ¥9.19 ¥11.94 46
EPV ¥2.50 ¥3.81 ¥4.95 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.13 ¥9.51 ¥11.89 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.33 ¥5.77 ¥7.21 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.74 ¥8.98 ¥11.23 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.33 ¥8.88 ¥12.44 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.85 ¥9.58 ¥13.31 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.4300 ¥2.16 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.54 ¥4.74 ¥7.08 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.81 ¥6.17 ¥6.77 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.50 ¥3.81 ¥4.95 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.61 ¥12.29 ¥15.98 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥12.29) versus Economic Profit (¥3.81). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.8%
Net margin 23.1%
Return on equity 7.9%
Free cash flow −4.0B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 24.5
More key figures
Operating margin 43.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5500
Dividend yield 0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +16.7%
Net debt 17.9B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 43
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co., Ltd. engages in the development, investment, construction, and operation of pumped storage, peak-shaving hydropower, and energy storage activities. The company was formerly known as Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co.,Ltd. China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co., Ltd.

Full company description

China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co., Ltd. engages in the development, investment, construction, and operation of pumped storage, peak-shaving hydropower, and energy storage activities. The company was formerly known as Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co.,Ltd. China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is based in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co reported revenue of ¥7.4B in FY2025 versus ¥8.2B in FY2021, a compound −2.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.7B in FY2025, compounding +7.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+19.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+31.4%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+16.7%
Revenue −2.6%/yr
FY21 ¥8.2B
FY22 ¥8.3B
FY23 ¥5.6B
FY24 ¥6.2B
FY25 ¥7.4B
Net income +7.9%/yr
FY21 ¥1.2B
FY22 ¥1.7B
FY23 ¥1.0B
FY24 ¥1.1B
FY25 ¥1.7B

600995 screens 29% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600995

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −29% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 30% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.96× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.78× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.91× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 7
FUTURE 100 · sector 32
PAST 32 · sector 39
HEALTH 52 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 10 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $88.80 $32.94 -63%
The Southern Company SO $95.61 $61.06 -36%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $126.11 $97.11 -23%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,377 ARS -27%
American Electric Power Company AEP $132.50 $79.33 -40%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $70.08 $46.92 -33%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹341.85 ₹377.16 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 232.40 PLN 159.33 PLN -31%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹283.55 ₹252.77 -11%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.91 ¥7.69 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co (600995) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.98 versus a price of ¥12.64, about −29% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600995?
Our model-based fair value for China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co is ¥8.98 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥12.64.
What is the quality score of 600995?
China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co (600995)?
China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600995?
The net profit margin of China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co is about 23.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co pay a dividend?
China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.87% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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