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Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd ¥8.63, price ¥11.99, upside -28.0%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · CN · ISIN CNE000001JD9

YW Some data Sep 24, 2026

Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd

600995 · SHG

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value ¥8.63 · Overvalued (−28%)
!Quality 43/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +31.4 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 24.7% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·0.54% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Moderate moat 54/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 11 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥21.42 ¥6.48 Fair Value ¥8.63 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.48 – ¥21.42 · fair‑value band ¥5.71 – ¥11.89 · the ¥11.99 price screens above the ¥8.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co., Ltd. engages in the development, investment, construction, and operation of pumped storage, peak-shaving hydropower, and energy storage activities. The company was formerly known as Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co.,Ltd. China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co., Ltd.

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China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co., Ltd. engages in the development, investment, construction, and operation of pumped storage, peak-shaving hydropower, and energy storage activities. The company was formerly known as Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co.,Ltd. China Southern Power Grid Energy Storage Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is based in Guangzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995) currently trades at ¥11.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.63, implying the stock looks roughly 38.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥12.29 per share, and 2 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥11.99 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥3.33, and 12 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥5.71 (bear) to ¥11.89 (bull), the price of ¥11.99 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd reported revenue of 7.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 8.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.6%/yr. Reported net income was 1.7B CNY in FY2025, compounding +7.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 38.3B CNY (≈ $5.7B) · P/E ratio 21.8 · P/S ratio 4.99 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.5500 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 22.9% · Return on equity 7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −28%, 600995 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥5.71 Fair Value ¥8.63 Bull ¥11.89
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3548 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥5.72 ¥6.03 ¥6.50 74
EPV ¥2.14 ¥3.33 ¥4.35 72
ROIC Compounder ¥2.14 ¥3.33 ¥4.35 69
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.59 ¥22.36 ¥31.22 61
Lynch FV ¥6.43 ¥9.19 ¥11.94 59
PEG = 1.0 ¥6.43 ¥9.19 ¥11.94 55
EPV ¥2.14 ¥3.33 ¥4.35 72
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.13 ¥9.51 ¥11.89 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.33 ¥5.77 ¥7.21 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.74 ¥8.98 ¥11.23 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.33 ¥8.88 ¥12.44 64
EV/EBITDA ¥5.85 ¥9.58 ¥13.31 66
EV/Revenue n/a ¥0.4300 ¥2.16 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.54 ¥4.74 ¥7.08 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.72 ¥6.03 ¥6.50 74
ROIC Compounder ¥2.14 ¥3.33 ¥4.35 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.61 ¥12.29 ¥15.98 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 43
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.5%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.7%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.2% a year
Revenue growth 24 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−4.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5% vs 9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 41%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.6%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

600995 screens 39% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 158 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −28% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 30% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.96× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.69× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.68× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 10.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 33
PAST (return on equity)32 · sector 39
HEALTH (low debt)52 · sector 53
DIVIDEND (yield)11 · sector 69

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $79.26 $29.88 −62%
The Southern Company SO $85.15 $58.74 −31%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $116.31 $74.89 −36%
American Electric Power Company AEP $120.27 $100.09 −17%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $62.43 $37.67 −40%
Entergy Corporation ETR $101.16 $38.37 −62%
Xcel Energy Inc XEL $72.06 $54.92 −24%
Exelon Corporation EXC $41.80 $36.26 −13%
Consolidated Edison, Inc ED $103.84 $47.92 −54%
Public Service Enterprise Group PEG $69.12 $33.43 −52%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600995

Frequently asked questions

Is Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.63 versus a price of ¥11.99, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600995?
Our model-based fair value for Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd is ¥8.63 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥11.99.
What is the quality score of 600995?
Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥8.63 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.71, optimistic scenario ¥11.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥8.63, about −28% upside versus a price of ¥11.99 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.71, optimistic scenario ¥11.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995)?
Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.54% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd it is ¥8.63 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥11.99. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 600995 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥11.99, fair value ¥8.63, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600995?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥11.99); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8.63). For Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd the two are ¥3.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd worth?
The market values Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd at about 38.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥11.99; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8.63 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600995?
Our models span a range for Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥5.71, base ¥8.63, optimistic ¥11.89 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥11.99). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600995?
Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥8.63 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 4.7, EV/EBITDA 10.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.9%, debt of 0.96 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600995 from its 52-week high?
Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd trades at ¥11.99, about 27% below its 52-week high of ¥16.45 and 3% above the low of ¥11.69 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8.63 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥11.99, calculated fair value ¥8.63 (−28%), Quality Score 43/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600995 calculated?
We run Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥8.63, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥11.99. Our model-based fair value is ¥8.63, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd right now?
Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (¥5.71 to ¥11.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995) come from?
Earnings per share at Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd grew +6.7 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −6.8 %, EBIT margin +21.2 %, tax rate −0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995)?
The market capitalisation of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd is 38.3B CNY (≈ $5.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd is 4.99 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995)?
Earnings per share at Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd are ¥0.5500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995)?
The dividend yield of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd is 0.5% (payout 11.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995)?
The net margin of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd is 22.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd is 16.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995)?
The operating margin of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd is 36.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995)?
Revenue at Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd is growing +30.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995)?
Earnings per share at Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd are growing +66.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995) generate?
The free cash flow of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd is −4.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd (600995) carry?
The net debt of Yunnan Wenshan Electric Power Co Ltd is 17.9B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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