Gem-Year Industrial Co (601002) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 8, 2026, revised from ¥4.52 to ¥4.28 (−5.3%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +23.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥3.14 to ¥5.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.77 – ¥6.68 · fair‑value band ¥3.14 – ¥5.91 · the ¥5.35 price screens above the ¥4.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Gem-Year Industrial Co (601002) currently trades at ¥5.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.28, implying the stock looks roughly 20.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Gem-Year Industrial Co generated revenue of 2.3B CNY at a net margin of 11.1%. Revenue declined 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 184M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.14 (bear case) to ¥5.91 (bull case); at ¥5.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -20%, 601002 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥4.31) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.9700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gem-Year Industrial Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of fasteners and hardware tools in China, the United States, Japan, Europe, and internationally. The company offers fastener products, including general fasteners, as well as power, steel structure, home appliance, furniture, gypsum board, and car series.
Full company description
Gem-Year Industrial Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of fasteners and hardware tools in China, the United States, Japan, Europe, and internationally. The company offers fastener products, including general fasteners, as well as power, steel structure, home appliance, furniture, gypsum board, and car series. It also provides hardware tools, such as toolboxes, tool carts, and tool bags; sleeves and accessories; wrenches; electronic repair, mechanical elevator maintenance, and auto repair kits; and plier tools. In addition, the company offers bolts, nuts, screws, precision wires, and non-standard specialty fasteners; and tungsten carbide molds, railway fasteners, automated warehousing equipment, and rails. Further, it engages in warehousing and logistics; trading and distribution; and investment activities. The company's products are used in automobiles, high-speed rail, aviation, power, engineering machinery, bridges, construction, energy, and nuclear power applications. Gem-Year Industrial Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Jiaxing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gem-Year Industrial Co reported revenue of ¥2.3B in FY2025 versus ¥2.9B in FY2021, a compound −5.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥242M in FY2025, compounding +3.0%/yr from FY2021.
601002 screens 20% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →
Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$129.60 | HK$81.05 | -37% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $410.99 | $350.46 | -15% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $595.49 | $184.29 | -69% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $252.58 | $154.80 | -39% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $88.22 | $54.24 | -39% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 258.90 | kr 192.57 | -26% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $139.47 | $66.33 | -52% |
| The Toro Company TTC | $94.42 | $69.71 | -26% |
| SFS Group SFSN | CHF 140.00 | CHF 118.30 | -16% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥29.33 | ¥35.72 | +22% |
Compare Gem-Year Industrial Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Gem-Year Industrial Co (601002) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 601002?
What is the quality score of 601002?
What is the revenue of Gem-Year Industrial Co (601002)?
What is the net profit margin of 601002?
Does Gem-Year Industrial Co pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Gem-Year Industrial Co and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.