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Jinling Hotel Corporation (601007) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.5B CNY

JH Jinling Hotel Corporation 601007 · SHG
Price¥6.72
Fair Value¥3.58
Upside-46.7%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.06% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.68 – ¥4.47 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +7.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥12.18 ¥5.16 Fair Value ¥3.58 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.16 – ¥12.18 · fair‑value band ¥2.68 – ¥4.47 · the ¥6.72 price screens above the ¥3.58 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Jinling Hotel Corporation (601007) currently trades at ¥6.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.58, implying the stock looks roughly 46.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jinling Hotel Corporation generated revenue of 1.8B CNY at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue declined 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 56.9M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.68 (bear case) to ¥4.47 (bull case); at ¥6.72, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -47%, 601007 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥4.69 ¥6.97 ¥10.47 80
Residual Income ¥3.03 ¥3.00 ¥2.67 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.41 ¥6.67 ¥9.44 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.69 ¥7.10 ¥10.90 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.89 ¥7.44 ¥11.46 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.41 ¥6.69 ¥9.69 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.54 ¥8.92 ¥13.03 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.86 ¥5.61 ¥7.51 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.37 ¥6.50 ¥9.55 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥5.19 ¥8.05 ¥12.18 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.13 ¥5.74 ¥7.84 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.11 ¥4.37 ¥5.94 54
Lynch FV ¥1.08 ¥1.55 ¥2.01 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.08 ¥1.55 ¥2.01 46
EPV ¥3.57 ¥3.98 ¥4.33 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.7300 ¥1.46 ¥2.21 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.7300 ¥1.26 ¥1.54 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.68 ¥3.58 ¥4.47 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.07 ¥2.76 ¥3.46 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.07 ¥2.76 ¥3.46 55
EV/EBIT ¥6.00 ¥7.66 ¥9.33 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.52 ¥8.35 ¥10.19 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.37 ¥5.81 ¥7.26 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.06 ¥2.76 ¥4.12 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.69 ¥6.97 ¥10.47 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.41 ¥6.67 ¥9.44 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.03 ¥3.00 ¥2.67 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.57 ¥3.98 ¥4.62 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.97 ¥2.82 ¥3.66 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.69) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.26). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.8B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.6%
Net margin 3.7%
Return on equity 4.1%
Free cash flow 124M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 39.5
More key figures
Operating margin 3.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1700
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +23.5%
Net cash 56.9M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jinling Hotel Corporation, Ltd. operates hotels in China. The company offers accommodation, catering, and office building leasing services. It also engages in hotel management; liquor distribution; hotel supplies management; research, development, and distribution of food; and management, rental, and sale of properties; and tourism resource development.

Full company description

Jinling Hotel Corporation, Ltd. operates hotels in China. The company offers accommodation, catering, and office building leasing services. It also engages in hotel management; liquor distribution; hotel supplies management; research, development, and distribution of food; and management, rental, and sale of properties; and tourism resource development. The company was founded in 1983 and is based in Nanjing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jinling Hotel Corporation reported revenue of ¥1.8B in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥63.4M in FY2025, compounding +22.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.8B CNY
Latest YoY
−2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.8%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
Revenue +7.3%/yr
FY21 ¥1.4B
FY22 ¥1.4B
FY23 ¥1.8B
FY24 ¥1.9B
FY25 ¥1.8B
Net income +22.6%/yr
FY21 ¥28.0M
FY22 ¥41.7M
FY23 ¥61.3M
FY24 ¥33.3M
FY25 ¥63.4M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) −2.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +11.6 pp

of which total revenue +11.6 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −1.3 pp
Tax rate −4.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −8.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

601007 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jinling Hotel Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601007

Peer Group

Lodging · 168 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −47% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 38.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.58× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.42× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 1
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 16 · sector 11
HEALTH 99 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 41 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $369.05 $135.64 -63%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $328.48 $123.67 -62%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $159.87 $85.18 -47%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $191.00 $47.69 -75%
H World Group HTHT $42.67 $47.55 +11%
Accor SA AC €47.25 €39.26 -17%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹743.20 ₹260.68 -65%
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $78.54 $24.02 -69%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 113,500 KRW 36,890 KRW -67%
Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 16.00 SAR 11.64 SAR -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jinling Hotel Corporation (601007) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.58 versus a price of ¥6.72, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601007?
Our model-based fair value for Jinling Hotel Corporation is ¥3.58 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.72.
What is the quality score of 601007?
Jinling Hotel Corporation has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jinling Hotel Corporation (601007)?
Jinling Hotel Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601007?
The net profit margin of Jinling Hotel Corporation is about 3.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Jinling Hotel Corporation pay a dividend?
Jinling Hotel Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.06% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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