Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co (601077) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CN · Market cap 79.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 33 days ago
Share price +1.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 95% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥9.49). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.22 – ¥7.74 · fair‑value band ¥9.49 – ¥15.82 · the ¥6.48 price screens below the ¥12.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.
Analysis
Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co (601077) currently trades at ¥6.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.66, implying the stock looks roughly 95.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co generated revenue of 23.6B CNY at a net margin of 52.2%. Revenue grew 7.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.0%. Net debt stands at 410B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥9.49 (bear case) to ¥15.82 (bull case); at ¥6.48, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 95%, 601077 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥23.07) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.23). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and related financial services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Corporate Banking, Personal Banking, and Financial Market Operations segments.
Full company description
Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and related financial services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Corporate Banking, Personal Banking, and Financial Market Operations segments. The Corporate Banking segment offers current accounts, deposits, overdrafts, loans, and trade-related products, as well as engages in foreign currency and other credit services for corporations, government agencies, and financial institutions. Its Personal Banking segment provides personal loans, deposit products, cards, personal wealth management services, and other types of personal intermediary services to individual customers. The Financial Market Operations segment engages in money market or repurchase transaction services. It also provides financial leasing; personal, corporate, and micro finance; investment; and e-banking services. The company provides its services through its head office and business departments, branches, first-class sub-branches, second-class sub-branches, branch offices, off-site branches, and village and township banks, as well as smart integrated counters, automatic teller machines, and rural convenience financial self-service outlets. The company was formerly known as Chongqing Rural Credit Cooperative and changed its name to Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd., in June 2008. Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Chongqing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co reported revenue of ¥28.6B in FY2025 versus ¥56.5B in FY2021, a compound −15.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥12.4B in FY2025, compounding +6.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1082 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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