Yancoal Australia Ltd (YAL) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · AU · Market cap A$9.2B
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −18.9% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range A$5.00 – A$9.24 · fair‑value band A$5.01 – A$7.31 · the A$5.83 price screens below the A$6.16 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Yancoal Australia Ltd (YAL) currently trades at A$5.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$6.16 — implying the stock looks roughly 5.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Yancoal Australia Ltd generated revenue of A$6.0B at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue declined 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$2.0B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Yancoal Australia Ltd engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of metallurgical and thermal coal in Australia, China, Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, India, Europe, Israel, Chile, Indonesia, Cambodia, and Bangladesh. The company owns a 98.75% interest in the Moolarben coal mine located in the Western Coalfields of New South Wales; an 83.6% interest in the Mount Thorley and Warkworth mines located in the Hunter Valley region of New South Wales; and 51% interest in the Hunter Valley Operations located to the north-west of Singleton in the Hunter Valley region of New South Wales. It also holds 100% interests in the Yarrabee mine located to the northeast of Blackwater in Central Queensland's Bowen Basin; Donaldson located in the Hunter Valley; Ashton mine located in the Upper Hunter Valley region of New South Wales; and Stratford Duralie mine located within the New South Wales Gloucester Basin, the Stratford Duralie. In addition, the co…
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yancoal Australia Ltd reported revenue of A$5.9B in FY2025 versus A$5.5B in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$440M in FY2025, compounding −13.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
6 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥47.51 | ¥30.10 | -37% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹2,931 | ₹796.70 | -73% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥27.14 | ¥24.13 | -11% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥19.84 | ¥18.51 | -7% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥13.73 | ¥22.52 | +64% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.