GZ Port (601228) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of GZ Port ¥2.15, price ¥3.03, upside -29.0%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.82 – ¥4.25 · fair‑value band ¥1.44 – ¥2.68 · the ¥3.03 price screens above the ¥2.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Guangzhou Port Company Limited engages in the water transportation industry in China.
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Guangzhou Port Company Limited engages in the water transportation industry in China. The company engages in the operation of hub port and container trunk port; Roll-on/roll-off vehicle, petrochemicals, coal, steel, grain, and automobiles, warehousing, domestic, and international freight forwarding and shipping agency, as well as tugboat services for domestic and international vessels entering and leaving the port, waterway cargo transportation, and logistics services. Its fleet comprises tugboats, a shuttle bus fleet, and a port railway connecting to the inland hinterland. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Guangzhou, China. Guangzhou Port Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Guangzhou Port Group Co.,Ltd.
Stock analysis
GZ Port (601228) currently trades at ¥3.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.15, implying the stock looks roughly 40.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥2.24 per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥3.03 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.7700, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.44 (bear) to ¥2.68 (bull), the price of ¥3.03 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
GZ Port reported revenue of 13.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 12.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was 822M CNY in FY2025, compounding −7.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 22.9B CNY (≈ $3.4B) · P/E ratio 27.5 · P/S ratio 1.63 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1100 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 5.9% · Return on equity 4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 60% fair-value upside, at −29%, 601228 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥1.44Fair Value ¥2.15Bull ¥2.68
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0563 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.6% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5% vs −1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 14%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 229 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−29% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)15% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−13% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.69× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)27.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.07× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.70× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA9.7× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 24
PAST (return on equity)17· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)65· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)22· sector 53
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GZ Port Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601228
Frequently asked questions
Is GZ Port (601228) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.15 versus a price of ¥3.03, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601228?
Our model-based fair value for GZ Port is ¥2.15 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.03.
What is the quality score of 601228?
GZ Port has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GZ Port (601228)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.15 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.44, optimistic scenario ¥2.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GZ Port stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.15, about −29% upside versus a price of ¥3.03 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.44, optimistic scenario ¥2.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GZ Port (601228)?
GZ Port reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 13.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does GZ Port pay a dividend?
GZ Port currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.09% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of GZ Port (601228)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GZ Port it is ¥2.15 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥3.03. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GZ Port stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 601228 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥3.03, fair value ¥2.15, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601228?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.03); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.15). For GZ Port the two are ¥0.8800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GZ Port worth?
The market values GZ Port at about 22.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.03; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.15 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601228?
Our models span a range for GZ Port: cautious scenario ¥1.44, base ¥2.15, optimistic ¥2.68 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥3.03). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 601228?
GZ Port trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥2.15 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 9.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of GZ Port (601228)?
Balance-sheet figures for GZ Port (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.2%, debt of 0.69 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601228 from its 52-week high?
GZ Port trades at ¥3.03, about 19% below its 52-week high of ¥3.75 and 7% above the low of ¥2.82 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.15 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GZ Port?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GZ Port stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥3.03, calculated fair value ¥2.15 (−29%), Quality Score 45/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601228 calculated?
We run GZ Port through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.15, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. GZ Port itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GZ Port (601228)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥3.03. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.15, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GZ Port right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥1.44 to ¥2.68) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of GZ Port (601228) come from?
Earnings per share at GZ Port grew −0.4 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.8 %, EBIT margin −4.0 %, tax rate −0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of GZ Port
How large is the market capitalisation of GZ Port (601228)?
The market capitalisation of GZ Port is 22.9B CNY (≈ $3.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GZ Port (601228)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GZ Port is 1.63 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GZ Port (601228)?
Earnings per share at GZ Port are ¥0.1100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of GZ Port (601228)?
The dividend yield of GZ Port is 1.1% (payout 30.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of GZ Port (601228)?
The net margin of GZ Port is 5.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GZ Port (601228)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GZ Port is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GZ Port (601228)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GZ Port is 3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GZ Port (601228)?
The operating margin of GZ Port is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GZ Port (601228)?
Revenue at GZ Port is growing −12.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at GZ Port (601228)?
Earnings per share at GZ Port are growing −11.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does GZ Port (601228) generate?
The free cash flow of GZ Port is −481M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does GZ Port (601228) carry?
The net debt of GZ Port is 11.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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