Guangzhou Port Company (601228) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 22.9B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 29% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.86). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.82 – ¥4.25 · fair‑value band ¥1.72 – ¥2.86 · the ¥3.03 price screens above the ¥2.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Guangzhou Port Company (601228) currently trades at ¥3.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.16, implying the stock looks roughly 28.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangzhou Port Company generated revenue of 13.5B CNY at a net margin of 5.9%. Revenue declined 12.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.2%. Net debt stands at 11.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.72 (bear case) to ¥2.86 (bull case); at ¥3.03, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -29%, 601228 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥2.24) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.7700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Guangzhou Port Company Limited engages in the water transportation industry in China. The company engages in the operation of hub port and container trunk port; Roll-on/roll-off vehicle, petrochemicals, coal, steel, grain, and automobiles, warehousing, domestic, and international freight forwarding and shipping agency, as well as tugboat services for …

Full company description

Guangzhou Port Company Limited engages in the water transportation industry in China. The company engages in the operation of hub port and container trunk port; Roll-on/roll-off vehicle, petrochemicals, coal, steel, grain, and automobiles, warehousing, domestic, and international freight forwarding and shipping agency, as well as tugboat services for domestic and international vessels entering and leaving the port, waterway cargo transportation, and logistics services. Its fleet comprises tugboats, a shuttle bus fleet, and a port railway connecting to the inland hinterland. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Guangzhou, China. Guangzhou Port Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Guangzhou Port Group Co.,Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangzhou Port Company reported revenue of ¥13.9B in FY2025 versus ¥12.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥822M in FY2025, compounding −7.8%/yr from FY2021.

601228 screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.