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Industrial Securities Co (601377) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CN · Market cap 50.9B CNY

IS Industrial Securities Co 601377 · SHG
Price¥5.89
Fair Value¥5.06
Upside-14.1%
Quality56/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 26.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.54% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range ¥3.24 – ¥5.40 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 10, 2026, revised from ¥5.65 to ¥5.06 (−10.4%) since Jul 25, 2026. Share price −2.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 14% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥10.74 ¥4.86 Fair Value ¥5.06 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.86 – ¥10.74 · fair‑value band ¥3.24 – ¥5.40 · the ¥5.89 price screens above the ¥5.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

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Analysis

Industrial Securities Co (601377) currently trades at ¥5.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.06, implying the stock looks roughly 14.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Industrial Securities Co generated revenue of 11.9B CNY at a net margin of 26.4%. Revenue grew 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. Net debt stands at 159B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.24 (bear case) to ¥5.40 (bull case); at ¥5.89, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -14%, 601377 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥40.71 ¥76.03 ¥137.94 80
Residual Income ¥5.00 ¥5.09 ¥4.93 76
Gordon GGM ¥1.38 ¥2.86 ¥4.54 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥3.05 ¥7.73 ¥16.25 31
5Y P/E Exit ¥13.54 ¥18.78 ¥24.12 38
10Y P/E Exit ¥22.35 ¥30.66 ¥41.18 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.26 ¥11.74 ¥16.24 54
Lynch FV ¥3.22 ¥4.59 ¥5.97 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.38 ¥2.86 ¥4.54 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.38 ¥2.41 ¥3.01 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.24 ¥4.32 ¥5.40 63
P/B Multiple ¥4.24 ¥5.65 ¥7.06 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.24 ¥4.34 ¥6.48 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥40.71 ¥76.03 ¥137.94 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.00 ¥5.09 ¥4.93 76

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥76.03) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.41). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 11.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.6%
Net margin 26.4%
Return on equity 6.2%
Free cash flow 27.8B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 17.5
More key figures
Operating margin 41.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3500
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +51.9%
Net debt 159B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 44
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Industrial Securities Co.,Ltd. operates as a securities company in China and internationally. It operates through Wealth Management Business, Institutional Services Business, and Proprietary Investment Business segments.

Full company description

Industrial Securities Co.,Ltd. operates as a securities company in China and internationally. It operates through Wealth Management Business, Institutional Services Business, and Proprietary Investment Business segments. The company provides securities and futures brokerage services, such as buying and selling stocks, funds, bonds, futures, options; sales of financial products; fund investment advisory services; margin trading; stock-pledged repurchase; and equity incentive financing. It also offers asset management, fund asset management, and private equity fund management services; securities research and sales trading services, asset custody and fund services, and institutional trading services; as well as equity financing, debt financing, financial advisory services, financing for small and medium-sized enterprises, and regional equity market services. In addition, it provides proprietary investment and trading of various products, including stocks, bonds, derivatives, equities, and alternative investments. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Fuzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Industrial Securities Co reported revenue of ¥18.2B in FY2025 versus ¥21.9B in FY2021, a compound −4.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.9B in FY2025, compounding −11.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
18.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+14.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+7.7%
Revenue −4.6%/yr
FY21 ¥21.9B
FY22 ¥13.6B
FY23 ¥14.0B
FY24 ¥15.9B
FY25 ¥18.2B
Net income −11.8%/yr
FY21 ¥4.7B
FY22 ¥2.6B
FY23 ¥2.0B
FY24 ¥2.2B
FY25 ¥2.9B

601377 screens 14% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Industrial Securities Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601377

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 425 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −14% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 26% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 41% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.58× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.91× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.28× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 15 · sector 9
FUTURE 38 · sector 96
PAST 25 · sector 30
HEALTH 71 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 51 · sector 36

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0400 -85%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,750 KRW 31,645 KRW -18%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 117,000 KRW 87,706 KRW -25%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 239,000 KRW 318,825 KRW +33%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Industrial Securities Co (601377) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.06 versus a price of ¥5.89, about −14% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601377?
Our model-based fair value for Industrial Securities Co is ¥5.06 (as of Aug 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.89.
What is the quality score of 601377?
Industrial Securities Co has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Industrial Securities Co (601377)?
Industrial Securities Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 10, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601377?
The net profit margin of Industrial Securities Co is about 26.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 26.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Industrial Securities Co pay a dividend?
Industrial Securities Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.50% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 10, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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