Beijing North Star Company (601588) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · CN · Market cap 5.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 10, 2026, revised from ¥0.3800 to ¥0.3400 (−10.5%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price +4.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 80% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥0.3400 to ¥1.25). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.26 – ¥3.05 · fair‑value band ¥0.3400 – ¥1.25 · the ¥1.68 price screens above the ¥0.3400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
Analysis
Beijing North Star Company (601588) currently trades at ¥1.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.3400, implying the stock looks roughly 79.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing North Star Company generated revenue of 6.1B CNY at a net margin of -46.3%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -30.0%. Net debt stands at 8.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥0.3400 (bear case) to ¥1.25 (bull case); at ¥1.68, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -80%, 601588 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥3.95) versus DCF Models (¥0.3300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Beijing North Star Company Limited engages in real estate development, property leasing, and hotel and property management in the People's Republic of China. It operates through the Real Estate Development; Convention and Exhibition and Commercial Properties; and Other segments.
Full company description
Beijing North Star Company Limited engages in real estate development, property leasing, and hotel and property management in the People's Republic of China. It operates through the Real Estate Development; Convention and Exhibition and Commercial Properties; and Other segments. The company is involved in the development and sale of residential properties; trading activities; multimedia information network development, system integration, and software development; and operation of rental apartments, office buildings, conference centers, and hotels. It also provides convention and exhibition services; hotel services; commercial and property management services; and hotel and restaurant management consulting services. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Beijing North Star Company reported revenue of ¥6.1B in FY2025 versus ¥22.1B in FY2021, a compound −27.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥3.0B in FY2025.
601588 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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