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Zhewen Pictures Group (601599) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.5B CNY

ZP Zhewen Pictures Group 601599 · SHG
Price¥3.02
Fair Value¥2.52
Upside-16.6%
Quality72/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.89 – ¥3.14 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +6.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • Our model range runs from ¥1.89 (bear) to ¥3.14 (bull), base ¥2.52. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 72/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥5.64 ¥2.58 Fair Value ¥2.52 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.58 – ¥5.64 · fair‑value band ¥1.89 – ¥3.14 · the ¥3.02 price screens above the ¥2.52 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhewen Pictures Group (601599) currently trades at ¥3.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.52, implying the stock looks roughly 16.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhewen Pictures Group generated revenue of 3.2B CNY at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 806M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.89 (bear case) to ¥3.14 (bull case); at ¥3.02, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -17%, 601599 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.81 ¥5.01 ¥6.64 80
Residual Income ¥1.09 ¥1.18 ¥1.43 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.42 ¥4.73 ¥6.21 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.76 ¥5.11 ¥7.04 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.46 ¥3.18 ¥4.20 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.42 ¥4.71 ¥6.32 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.89 ¥5.57 ¥7.51 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.07 ¥4.07 ¥5.09 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.45 ¥4.63 ¥6.16 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.81 ¥5.22 ¥7.03 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.31 ¥4.21 ¥5.25 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.7800 ¥2.24 ¥2.95 54
Lynch FV ¥0.4600 ¥0.6600 ¥0.8500 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.4600 ¥0.6600 ¥0.8500 46
EPV ¥3.48 ¥3.87 ¥4.21 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.89 ¥2.52 ¥3.14 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.46 ¥1.94 ¥2.43 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.46 ¥1.94 ¥2.43 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.09 ¥6.45 ¥7.81 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.35 ¥5.46 ¥6.58 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.34 ¥4.34 ¥5.34 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.6500 ¥0.8700 ¥1.30 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.81 ¥5.01 ¥6.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.42 ¥4.73 ¥6.21 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.09 ¥1.18 ¥1.43 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.54 ¥4.01 ¥4.47 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.51 ¥2.16 ¥2.81 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥4.73) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.6600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.5%
Net margin 3.4%
Return on equity 7.7%
Free cash flow 302M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 30.2
More key figures
Operating margin 3.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1000
EPS growth (YoY) -33.3%
Net cash 806M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhewen Pictures Group co., ltd produces and sells yarns in China. It operates through Film and Television Industry; Textile Business; and Hotel Business segments. The company offers worsted, semi-worsted, fancy, and coarse yarns; and worsted fabrics.

Full company description

Zhewen Pictures Group co., ltd produces and sells yarns in China. It operates through Film and Television Industry; Textile Business; and Hotel Business segments. The company offers worsted, semi-worsted, fancy, and coarse yarns; and worsted fabrics. It also engages in the manufacture, processes, and sale of wool yarn, chemical fibers, knitwear, wool tops, fabric textiles, and garments; knitted and specialty yarns; clothing and apparel; textile and raw materials; and film and television production and distribution. In addition, the company possesses international equipment, such as Italian pre-spinning machines, German finger-spinning compact spinning and winding machines, Italian PAFA new twisting machines, French PB33LC combing machines, Dornier looms, and Italian washing and shrinking machines. Zhewen Pictures Group co.,ltd was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhewen Pictures Group reported revenue of ¥3.2B in FY2025 versus ¥2.5B in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥133M in FY2025, compounding +11.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.8%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+6.2%
Revenue +7.1%/yr
FY21 ¥2.5B
FY22 ¥2.7B
FY23 ¥2.9B
FY24 ¥3.0B
FY25 ¥3.2B
Net income +11.7%/yr
FY21 ¥85.3M
FY22 ¥81.8M
FY23 ¥101M
FY24 ¥120M
FY25 ¥133M

601599 screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhewen Pictures Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601599

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 309 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −17% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.32× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.08× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 25.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 11 · sector 11
FUTURE 8 · sector 0
PAST 31 · sector 14
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥91.75 ¥12.85 -86%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhewen Pictures Group (601599) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.52 versus a price of ¥3.02, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601599?
Our model-based fair value for Zhewen Pictures Group is ¥2.52 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.02.
What is the quality score of 601599?
Zhewen Pictures Group has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhewen Pictures Group (601599)?
Zhewen Pictures Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601599?
The net profit margin of Zhewen Pictures Group is about 3.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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