Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
9‑month range 19.45 SAR – 27.08 SAR · fair‑value band 15.91 SAR – 53.94 SAR · the 24.20 SAR price screens below the 29.47 SAR fair value. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Almasar Alshamil Education Company JSC operates as a provider of education services in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. It operates special education and care centers; care schools; clinics; and universities. The company also provides degree courses and vocational training. Additionally, it provides tertiary education and rehabilitation services.
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Almasar Alshamil Education Company JSC operates as a provider of education services in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. It operates special education and care centers; care schools; clinics; and universities. The company also provides degree courses and vocational training. Additionally, it provides tertiary education and rehabilitation services. The company was formerly known as Amanat Special Education and Care Investments LLC and changed its name to Almasar Alshamil Education Company JSC in October 2024. Almasar Alshamil Education Company JSC was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Almasar Alshamil Education Company JSC operates as a subsidiary of Amanat Special Education and Care Holdings Ltd.
Stock analysis
Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019) currently trades at 24.20 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 29.47 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 17.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 15.34 SAR per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the 24.20 SAR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 4.14 SAR, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 15.91 SAR (bear) to 53.94 SAR (bull), the price of 24.20 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co reported revenue of 142M SAR in FY2025 versus 36.9M SAR in FY2021, a compound +40.1%/yr. Reported net income was 34.7M SAR in FY2025, compounding +18.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.5B SAR (≈ $660M) · P/E ratio 17.2 · P/S ratio 4.19 · EPS (TTM) 1.41 SAR · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 24.4% · Return on equity 12.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 22%, 6019 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (1.67 SAR to 16.08 SAR). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 15.91 SARFair Value 29.47 SARBull 53.94 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.4774 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.5%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +28.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+25.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 16%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 102% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+35.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 138 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−85% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)25% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)29% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth22% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6019
Frequently asked questions
Is Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 29.47 SAR versus a price of 24.20 SAR, about +22% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 6019?
Our model-based fair value for Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co is 29.47 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 24.20 SAR.
What is the quality score of 6019?
Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 29.47 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 15.91 SAR, optimistic scenario 53.94 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 29.47 SAR, about +22% upside versus a price of 24.20 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 15.91 SAR, optimistic scenario 53.94 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co pay a dividend?
Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.02% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co would have to grow free cash flow by +35.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +40.1 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6019 use?
Our models discount Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co that is +35.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co grew +40.1 % a year. The price currently implies +35.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (+35.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.73 %: that much free cash flow Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co it is 29.47 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 24.20 SAR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 6019 trades below its calculated fair value: price 24.20 SAR, fair value 29.47 SAR, a gap of about +22% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6019?
No. The price is what the market pays today (24.20 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (29.47 SAR). For Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co the two are 5.27 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co worth?
The market values Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co at about 2.5B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 24.20 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 29.47 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6019?
Our models span a range for Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co: cautious scenario 15.91 SAR, base 29.47 SAR, optimistic 53.94 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 24.20 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6019?
Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.2 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 29.47 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 3.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019)?
Balance-sheet figures for Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 12.8%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6019 from its 52-week high?
Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co trades at 24.20 SAR, about 11% below its 52-week high of 27.21 SAR and 37% above the low of 17.70 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 29.47 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Physicswallah Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 24.20 SAR, calculated fair value 29.47 SAR (+22%), Quality Score 67/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6019 calculated?
We run Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 29.47 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co currently trades 22 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co right now?
The model range is unusually wide (15.91 SAR to 53.94 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019)?
The market capitalisation of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co is 2.5B SAR (≈ $660M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co is 4.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019)?
Earnings per share at Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co are 1.41 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019)?
The dividend yield of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co is 3.0% (payout 51.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019)?
The net margin of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co is 24.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co is 12.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019)?
The operating margin of Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co is 29.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019)?
Revenue at Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co is growing +22.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +43.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019)?
Earnings per share at Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co are growing +33.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co (6019) hold?
Al Masar Al Shamil Education Co holds more cash than debt, 4.2M SAR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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