China Automotive Engineering Research Institute Co (601965) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 14.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 10, 2026, revised from ¥21.05 to ¥13.61 (−35.3%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +17.1% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥7.19 to ¥19.65). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.75 – ¥25.55 · fair‑value band ¥7.19 – ¥19.65 · the ¥14.14 price screens above the ¥13.61 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
Analysis
China Automotive Engineering Research Institute Co (601965) currently trades at ¥14.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.61, implying the stock looks roughly 3.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Automotive Engineering Research Institute Co generated revenue of 4.9B CNY at a net margin of 21.5%. Revenue declined 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.19 (bear case) to ¥19.65 (bull case); at ¥14.14, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -4%, 601965 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥20.62) versus Asset-Based (¥5.23). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Automotive Engineering Research Institute Co., Ltd. provides various technical services for automobiles in China. It develops automotive and related product technologies; and offers research and development, testing and evaluation, product certification, software tools, and testing equipment and technical consulting services for automobiles.
Full company description
China Automotive Engineering Research Institute Co., Ltd. provides various technical services for automobiles in China. It develops automotive and related product technologies; and offers research and development, testing and evaluation, product certification, software tools, and testing equipment and technical consulting services for automobiles. The company offers technical support and services, such as industry development planning, research on regulations and standards, and industry management; and government think tanks, indexes, software data based on government services and unique industry data sources, brand promotion, and other multi-data services. In addition, it researches, develops, produces, and sells engineering, sanitation, and logistics vehicles; gas vehicle systems and components; new energy technology services; and rail vehicle transmission systems, braking systems, and components. The company was formerly known as China Automotive Engineering Research Institute Corporation and changed its name to China Automotive Engineering Research Institute Co., Ltd. in 2010. China Automotive Engineering Research Institute Co., Ltd. was founded in 1965 and is based in Chongqing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Automotive Engineering Research Institute Co reported revenue of ¥5.0B in FY2025 versus ¥3.8B in FY2021, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.1B in FY2025, compounding +11.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $179.76 | $224.63 | +25% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$80.55 | HK$50.85 | -37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 425,000 KRW | 616,918 KRW | +45% |
| General Motors Company GM | $77.72 | $56.93 | -27% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 2,944 MXN | +54% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | $376.64 | $228.05 | -39% |
| Ford Motor Company F | C$11.86 | C$4.00 | -66% |
| Mercedes-Benz Group BENZ | C$20.44 | C$35.15 | +72% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW | 2,149 CZK | 7,191 CZK | +235% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹13,803 | ₹8,236 | -40% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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