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Nanjing Securities Co (601990) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CN · Market cap 29.7B CNY

NS Nanjing Securities Co 601990 · SHG
Price¥6.74
Fair Value¥3.78
Upside-43.9%
Quality33/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 39.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.92% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/12)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.84 – ¥4.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated today

Share price +1.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 44% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥11.45 ¥6.35 Fair Value ¥3.78 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.35 – ¥11.45 · fair‑value band ¥2.84 – ¥4.73 · the ¥6.74 price screens above the ¥3.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.

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Analysis

Nanjing Securities Co (601990) currently trades at ¥6.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.78, implying the stock looks roughly 43.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nanjing Securities Co generated revenue of 2.8B CNY at a net margin of 39.7%. Revenue declined 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. Net debt stands at 2.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.84 (bear case) to ¥4.73 (bull case); at ¥6.74, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -44%, 601990 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple ¥3.34 ¥4.45 ¥5.56 55
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.62 ¥3.51 ¥5.24 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple ¥3.34 ¥4.45 ¥5.56 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.62 ¥3.51 ¥5.24 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥4.45) versus Asset-Based (¥3.51). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.8B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.4%
Net margin 39.7%
Return on equity 5.2%
Free cash flow −3.4B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 24.1
More key figures
Operating margin 52.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2800
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -12.5%
Net debt 2.9B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 9
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nanjing Securities Co., Ltd. provides securities finance and other related services in China. The company's securities and futures brokerage business include securities agency trading, futures IB, margin trading, agreed repurchase and stock pledged repurchase, and commodity and financial futures brokerage businesses.

Full company description

Nanjing Securities Co., Ltd. provides securities finance and other related services in China. The company's securities and futures brokerage business include securities agency trading, futures IB, margin trading, agreed repurchase and stock pledged repurchase, and commodity and financial futures brokerage businesses. It also engages in the securities investment business, such as equity securities, bond and related derivatives, and equity derivatives investment businesses; and investment banking business, including bond sale, equity financing, bond and structured financing, and related financial advisory businesses. In addition, the company is involved in the asset management and investment management business, including collective, directional, and special asset management, as well as private equity fund management businesses. Nanjing Securities Co., Ltd. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Nanjing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nanjing Securities Co reported revenue of ¥2.8B in FY2025 versus ¥3.4B in FY2021, a compound −5.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.1B in FY2025, compounding +2.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 21/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.8B CNY
Latest YoY
−25.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+28.9%
Revenue −5.1%/yr
FY21 ¥3.4B
FY22 ¥2.7B
FY23 ¥3.2B
FY24 ¥3.8B
FY25 ¥2.8B
Net income +2.5%/yr
FY21 ¥977M
FY22 ¥646M
FY23 ¥677M
FY24 ¥1.0B
FY25 ¥1.1B

601990 screens 44% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nanjing Securities Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601990

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 425 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −44% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 40% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 52% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.29× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 10.75× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 96
PAST 21 · sector 30
HEALTH 98 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 38 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0400 -85%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,750 KRW 31,645 KRW -18%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 117,000 KRW 87,706 KRW -25%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 239,000 KRW 318,825 KRW +33%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nanjing Securities Co (601990) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.78 versus a price of ¥6.74, about −44% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601990?
Our model-based fair value for Nanjing Securities Co is ¥3.78 (as of Aug 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥6.74.
What is the quality score of 601990?
Nanjing Securities Co has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nanjing Securities Co (601990)?
Nanjing Securities Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 10, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601990?
The net profit margin of Nanjing Securities Co is about 39.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 39.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nanjing Securities Co pay a dividend?
Nanjing Securities Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.96% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 10, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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