Mengtian Home Group (603216) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 5.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price +3.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 69% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range ¥7.49 – ¥57.60 · fair‑value band ¥4.80 – ¥8.00 · the ¥20.65 price screens above the ¥6.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Mengtian Home Group (603216) currently trades at ¥20.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.40, implying the stock looks roughly 69.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Mengtian Home Group generated revenue of 1.0B CNY at a net margin of 6.1%. Revenue declined 17.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 78.9. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.80 (bear case) to ¥8.00 (bull case); at ¥20.65, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -69%, 603216 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.39) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.91). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mengtian Home Group Inc. designs, develops, produces, and sells customized wooden furniture in China. Its products include wooden doors, wall panels, and cabinets. The company offers home furnishing and furniture products. It offers its products under Mengtian brand name. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Jiaxing, China.
Full company description
Mengtian Home Group Inc. designs, develops, produces, and sells customized wooden furniture in China. Its products include wooden doors, wall panels, and cabinets. The company offers home furnishing and furniture products. It offers its products under Mengtian brand name. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Jiaxing, China. Mengtian Home Group Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Zhejiang Mengtian Holding Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mengtian Home Group reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥1.5B in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥64.8M in FY2025, compounding −22.9%/yr from FY2021.
603216 screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Midea Group →
Peer Group
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Midea Group 000333 | ¥82.71 | ¥107.22 | +30% |
| Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 | ¥38.25 | ¥88.02 | +130% |
| Haier Smart Home Co 600690 | ¥21.46 | ¥36.04 | +68% |
| King Slide Works Co 2059 | 8,655 TWD | 1,917 TWD | -78% |
| Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 | ¥155.59 | ¥38.95 | -75% |
| SharkNinja, Inc SN | $154.53 | $89.07 | -42% |
| Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 | ¥26.33 | ¥48.03 | +82% |
| Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 | ¥43.85 | ¥44.84 | +2% |
| COWAY Co 021240 | 96,700 KRW | 112,530 KRW | +16% |
| Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 | ¥50.13 | ¥54.11 | +8% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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