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Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A ¥3.19, price ¥8.72, upside -63.5%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · CN · ISIN CNE100005ZZ8

JU Some data Sep 24, 2026

Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A

603291 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥3.19 · Strongly overvalued (−63%)
!Quality 43/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −1.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·2.29% dividend yield
!Trails peers (1/14)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 23 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥21.23 ¥7.72 Fair Value ¥3.19 Mar 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

42‑month range ¥7.72 – ¥21.23 · fair‑value band ¥3.19 – ¥5.27 · the ¥8.72 price screens above the ¥3.19 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Jiangsu United Water Technology Co.,Ltd. owns and operates water supply and wastewater treatment facilities in China. It also provides engineering services related to water supply infrastructure and industrial wastewater pretreatment facilities. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Stock analysis

Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291) currently trades at ¥8.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.19, implying the stock looks roughly 173.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥4.07 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the ¥8.72 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.77, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥3.19 (bear) to ¥5.27 (bull), the price of ¥8.72 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A reported revenue of 1.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was 101M CNY in FY2025, compounding −7.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 3.7B CNY (≈ $551M) · P/E ratio 34.9 · P/S ratio 3.21 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2500 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 9.2% · Return on equity 5.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −63%, 603291 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥3.19 Fair Value ¥3.19 Bull ¥5.27
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0367 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF n/a ¥0.1100 ¥0.5100 74
Residual Income ¥3.18 ¥3.23 ¥3.04 73
Owner Earnings ¥1.52 ¥2.26 ¥3.51 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF n/a ¥0.1100 ¥0.5100 74
Owner Earnings ¥1.52 ¥2.26 ¥3.51 72
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.18 ¥2.49 ¥4.40 66
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.46 ¥4.70 ¥7.67 70
5Y P/E Exit ¥0.9700 ¥2.13 ¥3.51 65
10Y Revenue Exit ¥0.5200 ¥1.37 ¥2.31 61
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.30 ¥2.62 ¥4.06 64
10Y P/E Exit ¥0.4800 ¥1.16 ¥1.83 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.63 ¥1.99 ¥2.24 65
EPV ¥1.45 ¥1.77 ¥2.04 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.67 ¥1.80 ¥1.99 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.67 ¥1.99 ¥2.40 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.23 ¥4.31 ¥5.39 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.05 ¥4.07 ¥5.09 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.05 ¥4.07 ¥5.09 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.30 ¥4.71 ¥6.12 65
EV/EBITDA ¥5.39 ¥7.50 ¥9.61 67
EV/Revenue ¥2.49 ¥3.96 ¥5.43 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.14 ¥2.87 ¥4.28 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF n/a ¥0.1200 ¥0.4700 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.18 ¥3.23 ¥3.04 73
ROIC Compounder ¥1.45 ¥1.77 ¥2.04 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.30 ¥3.28 ¥4.27 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 49
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−6.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 14%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

603291 screens 174% overvalued. Compare with American Water Works Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Water · 65 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −64% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −15% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.29× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 34.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.04× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 3.47× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 57.0× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 12.3× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 6
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 29
PAST (return on equity)23 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 66
DIVIDEND (yield)46 · sector 48

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
American Water Works Company AWK $133.06 $65.80 −51%
SBS SBS $5.39 $7.68 +42%
Essential Utilities, Inc WTRG $40.18 $23.28 −42%
Guangdong Investment Limited 0270 HK$8.67 HK$12.82 +48%
Grandblue Environment Co 600323 ¥28.90 ¥57.09 +98%
American States Water Company AWR $84.39 $38.40 −54%
Chengdu Xingrong Environment Co 000598 ¥7.06 ¥9.09 +29%
California Water Service Group CWT $47.29 $25.75 −46%
Chongqing Water Group 601158 ¥3.99 ¥1.76 −56%
H2O America, through its subsidiaries, HTO $62.92 $29.35 −53%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603291

Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.19 versus a price of ¥8.72, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603291?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A is ¥3.19 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥8.72.
What is the quality score of 603291?
Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.19 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.19, optimistic scenario ¥5.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.19, about −63% upside versus a price of ¥8.72 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.19, optimistic scenario ¥5.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A pay a dividend?
Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.29% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +1.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 603291 use?
Our models discount Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A grew +1.5 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.26 %: that much free cash flow Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A it is ¥3.19 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥8.72. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 603291 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥8.72, fair value ¥3.19, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603291?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥8.72); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.19). For Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A the two are ¥5.53 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A worth?
The market values Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A at about 3.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥8.72; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.19 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603291?
Our models span a range for Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A: cautious scenario ¥3.19, base ¥3.19, optimistic ¥5.27 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥8.72). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 603291?
Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 34.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥3.19 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 3.5, EV/EBITDA 12.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.8%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603291 from its 52-week high?
Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A trades at ¥8.72, about 30% below its 52-week high of ¥12.47 and 13% above the low of ¥7.72 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.19 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value American Water Works Company, SBS, Essential Utilities, Inc, Guangdong Investment Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥8.72, calculated fair value ¥3.19 (−63%), Quality Score 43/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603291 calculated?
We run Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.19, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥8.72. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.19, about −63% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.27). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A

How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A is 3.7B CNY (≈ $551M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A is 3.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A are ¥0.2500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 34.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
The dividend yield of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A is 2.3% (payout 80.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
The net margin of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A is 9.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A is 5.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A is 6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
The operating margin of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A is 15.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
Revenue at Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A is growing −15.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A are growing +18.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A (603291) carry?
The net debt of Jiangsu United Water Technology Co. Ltd. Cl A is 698M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 72.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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