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Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A ¥5.04, price ¥12.69, upside -60.3%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · CN · ISIN CNE100002V69

SF Some data Sep 24, 2026

Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A

603466 · SHG

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ¥5.04 · Strongly overvalued (−60%)
!Quality 64/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·0.16% dividend yield
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 3 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥22.16 ¥6.58 Fair Value ¥5.04 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.58 – ¥22.16 · fair‑value band ¥4.22 – ¥5.90 · the ¥12.69 price screens above the ¥5.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology Co., Ltd. engages in research and development of digital new media technologies in China. It is also involved in production, distribution, and management of digital content.

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Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology Co., Ltd. engages in research and development of digital new media technologies in China. It is also involved in production, distribution, and management of digital content. In addition, the company various provides, such as digital cultural and creative content application, digital technology, digital creative product exhibition and display, literary and artistic creation, conference and exhibition, project planning and public relations, information consulting and system integration, market and marketing planning, artificial intelligence industry application system integration, data processing, photography and video production, and engineering management services, as well as technical services, technical development, technical consultation, technical exchange, technology transfer, and technology promotion services. Further, it engages in digital cultural and creative software development; sales of digital cultural and creative technology equipment; organizing cultural and artistic exchange activities; entertainment exhibitions; animation and game development; advertising design and agency; advertising production: digital advertising design and agency; scenic area management; leisure and sightseeing activities; sales of arts and crafts and etiquette items, building decoration materials, metal fittings for construction, mechanical and electrical equipment, technical glass products, metal matrix composites and ceramic matrix composites, and basic materials for 3D printing; and manufacturing of computer hardware and software and peripheral equipment, audio equipment, network equipment, internet equipment, and amusement equipment. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co., Ltd. Shanghai Fengyuzhu Culture Technology Co., Ltd. was found in 2003 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Stock analysis

Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466) currently trades at ¥12.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.04, implying the stock looks roughly 151.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥5.78 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥12.69 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.34, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥4.22 (bear) to ¥5.90 (bull), the price of ¥12.69 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A reported revenue of 1.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −13.3%/yr. Reported net income was −18.4M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 7.5B CNY (≈ $1.1B) · P/S ratio 4.28 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0300 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −1.1% · Return on equity −0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9% · Operating margin 15.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 20% fair-value upside, at −60%, 603466 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥4.22 Fair Value ¥5.04 Bull ¥5.90
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥4.97 ¥7.02 ¥9.98 81
Growth DCF ¥4.95 ¥6.81 ¥9.36 79
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.14 ¥5.70 ¥7.55 76
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.97 ¥7.02 ¥9.98 81
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.10 ¥5.61 ¥7.57 73
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.14 ¥5.70 ¥7.55 76
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.34 ¥5.78 ¥7.79 67
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.43 ¥5.84 ¥7.78 69
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥3.17 ¥3.42 ¥3.62 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.62 ¥2.92 ¥4.02 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.62 ¥2.66 ¥3.12 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥4.35 ¥5.33 ¥6.31 66
EV/EBITDA ¥3.87 ¥4.70 ¥5.52 67
EV/Revenue ¥3.64 ¥4.59 ¥5.55 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.74 ¥2.34 ¥3.49 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.95 ¥6.81 ¥9.36 79
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.10 ¥5.63 ¥7.52 73
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥3.17 ¥3.42 ¥3.78 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.0% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
17.4% (2020) → 8.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.7% a year for the price.

603466 screens 152% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 195 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −60% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −22% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.26× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.54× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.71× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 6.1× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 8
HEALTH (low debt)87 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)3 · sector 59

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A · Fair Value
¥5.04 −152%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603466

Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.04 versus a price of ¥12.69, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603466?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A is ¥5.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥12.69.
What is the quality score of 603466?
Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.22, optimistic scenario ¥5.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.04, about −60% upside versus a price of ¥12.69 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.22, optimistic scenario ¥5.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466)?
Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A pay a dividend?
Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A would have to grow free cash flow by +24.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -5.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 603466 use?
Our models discount Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A at 11.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.94, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A that is +24.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A grew -5.9 % a year. The price currently implies +24.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (+24.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.46 %: that much free cash flow Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A it is ¥5.04 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥12.69. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 603466 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥12.69, fair value ¥5.04, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603466?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥12.69); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.04). For Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A the two are ¥7.65 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A worth?
The market values Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A at about 7.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥12.69; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603466?
Our models span a range for Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A: cautious scenario ¥4.22, base ¥5.04, optimistic ¥5.90 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥12.69). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.7%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603466 from its 52-week high?
Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A trades at ¥12.69, about 8% below its 52-week high of ¥13.72 and 43% above the low of ¥8.85 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥12.69, calculated fair value ¥5.04 (−60%), Quality Score 64/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603466 calculated?
We run Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥5.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥12.69. Our model-based fair value is ¥5.04, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466) come from?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A grew +5.6 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.6 %, EBIT margin +2.7 %, tax rate +1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A

How large is the market capitalisation of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466)?
The market capitalisation of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A is 7.5B CNY (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A is 4.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A are ¥−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466)?
The dividend yield of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466)?
The net margin of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A is −1.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A is −0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466)?
The operating margin of Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A is 15.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466)?
Revenue at Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A is growing −21.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A (603466) hold?
Shanghai Fengyuzhu Exhibition Co Ltd Class A holds more cash than debt, 1.0B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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