Stagwell Inc (STGW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Stagwell Inc stock $2.62, price $11.64, that is 77.5% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Stagwell Inc
STGW · USOur calculation puts a fair price 77% below what the stock costs today.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.02 – $11.64 · fair‑value band $2.21 – $4.85 · the $11.64 price screens above the $2.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Company profile
Stagwell Inc. provides digital transformation, marketing, media and commerce, marketing cloud, and communications services in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
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The company offers creative, research, experiential, and social media solutions designed to build and elevate brands; and consumer insights through advanced research methodologies, creating immersive experiential marketing programs and social engagement strategies that connect brands with audiences across digital platforms.
It also designs, implements, and activates digital ecosystems that enable brand and customer experiences through the integration of strategy, design, and technology; provides managed services, staff augmentation, and engineering expertise across various delivery models, offering system integration, full-stack development, and ongoing platform management; and provides digital transformation that connects digital ecosystems to physical experiences through innovative, technology-driven customer engagements.
In addition, the company offers integrated AI-based data solutions that drive audience engagement and business growth through media buying, owned media platforms, commerce enablement, and customer relationship management strategies; specialized media platforms and translation services to support targeted communication and market expansion; an edge set of solutions designed to help organizations build, protect, and enhance their reputation across diverse audiences and channels; and expertise in targeted communications, crisis management, and stakeholder engagement services.
Further, the company provides a suite of technology solutions for in-house marketers and combining SaaS and DaaS offerings. Stagwell Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Stock analysis
Stagwell Inc (STGW) currently trades at $11.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.62, 77% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $14.20 per share, and 6 of the 20 models we run sit above the $11.64 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.39, and 14 of the 20 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $2.21 (bear) to $4.85 (bull), the price of $11.64 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Stagwell Inc reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +18.6%/yr. Reported net income was $29.1M in FY2025, compounding +8.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.9B Mid · P/E ratio 388.0 · P/S ratio 0.93 · EPS (TTM) $0.0300 · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity 1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 7.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades at its 52-week high and 165% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −77%, STGW screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 22 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $117,600, on May 13, 2026. Over the same period, 2 people sold shares worth $653,893.
- SaleDesiree G RogersDirector12,000 shares at $10.78$129,373Nov 3, 2026
- SaleFrank P LanutoOfficer62,000 shares at $8.46$524,520Jul 31, 2026
- BuyMark Jeffery PennChief Executive Officer, Director, 10% owner20,000 shares at $5.88$117,600May 13, 2026
- SaleBradley J. GrossDirector2,163,790 shares at $6.04$13.1MMay 4, 2026
Plus 14 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
STGW screens overvalued: fair value 77% below the price. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →
Recent news
- Stagwell (STGW) Reiterated Guidance After Mixed Results, Is The Stock Fully Valued?
- Stagwell Inc. (STGW) Reports Equity Inducement Grants Under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5635(c)(4)
- Stagwell Media Names Kate Richling as Chief Brand and Communications Officer
- Stagwell (STGW) Announces November and December Investor Conference Schedule
Compare Stagwell Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 170 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Communication Services sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Debt-to-equity by industry
- Price/FCF by industry
- Piotroski F-Score screener with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: Communication Services
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trade Desk, Inc TTD | $12.93 | $38.79 | +200% | vs STGW |
| Publicis Groupe S.A PUB | €102.95 | €145.63 | +41% | vs STGW |
| Omnicom Group OMC | $86.37 | $113.06 | +31% | vs STGW |
| AppLovin Corporation APP | $391.22 | $430.34 | +10% | vs STGW |
| Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 | ¥5.55 | ¥6.11 | +10% | vs STGW |
| Magnite, Inc MGNI | $27.39 | $30.13 | +10% | vs STGW |
| Ströer SE SAX | €38.92 | €42.81 | +10% | vs STGW |
| JCDecaux SE DEC | €26.66 | €20.99 | −21% | vs STGW |
| Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 | ¥34.54 | ¥11.05 | −68% | vs STGW |
| Leo Group 002131 | ¥4.26 | ¥1.06 | −75% | vs STGW |
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Key figures of Stagwell Inc
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