Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors

Stagwell Inc (STGW) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Stagwell Inc $2.19, price $8.48, upside -74.1%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Communication Services · US · ISIN US85256A1097

Some data Sep 24, 2026

Stagwell Inc

STGW · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $2.19 · Strongly overvalued (−74%)

!Quality 34/100

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +26.8 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 0.6% net margin (TTM)

!High debt · generates free cash flow

!Trails peers (5/14)

!Narrow moat 21/100

!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 11 out of 100

!Weak on balance sheet: 15 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear $1.80 to bull $4.06 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 34/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.02 – $10.61 · fair‑value band $1.80 – $4.06 · the $8.48 price screens above the $2.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Stagwell Inc. provides digital transformation, marketing, media and commerce, marketing cloud, and communications services in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally.

Stagwell Inc. provides digital transformation, marketing, media and commerce, marketing cloud, and communications services in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers creative, research, experiential, and social media solutions designed to build and elevate brands; and consumer insights through advanced research methodologies, creating immersive experiential marketing programs and social engagement strategies that connect brands with audiences across digital platforms. It also designs, implements, and activates digital ecosystems that enable brand and customer experiences through the integration of strategy, design, and technology; provides managed services, staff augmentation, and engineering expertise across various delivery models, offering system integration, full-stack development, and ongoing platform management; and provides digital transformation that connects digital ecosystems to physical experiences through innovative, technology-driven customer engagements. In addition, the company offers integrated AI-based data solutions that drive audience engagement and business growth through media buying, owned media platforms, commerce enablement, and customer relationship management strategies; specialized media platforms and translation services to support targeted communication and market expansion; an edge set of solutions designed to help organizations build, protect, and enhance their reputation across diverse audiences and channels; and expertise in targeted communications, crisis management, and stakeholder engagement services. Further, the company provides a suite of technology solutions for in-house marketers and combining SaaS and DaaS offerings. Stagwell Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Stock analysis

Stagwell Inc (STGW) currently trades at $8.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.19, implying the stock looks roughly 286.7% overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $10.15 per share, and 7 of the 22 models we run sit above the $8.48 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.37, and 15 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $1.80 (bear) to $4.06 (bull), the price of $8.48 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Stagwell Inc reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +18.6%/yr. Reported net income was $29.1M in FY2025, compounding +8.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $2.2B · P/E ratio 121.1 · P/S ratio 1.21 · EPS (TTM) $0.0700 · Net margin 1.0% · Return on equity 2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% · Operating margin 2.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 20% fair-value upside, at −74%, STGW screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.80 Fair Value $2.19 Bull $4.06

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0512 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF $8.70 $17.65 $31.28 77

Growth DCF $8.49 $16.38 $27.66 76

Owner Earnings $7.71 $16.02 $28.66 73

All 22 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF $8.70 $17.65 $31.28 77

Owner Earnings $7.71 $16.02 $28.66 73

5Y Revenue Exit $3.72 $8.39 $14.43 69

5Y EBITDA Exit $8.39 $17.99 $29.88 72

5Y P/E Exit $1.25 $3.33 $5.46 68

10Y Revenue Exit $5.32 $10.15 $17.02 64

10Y EBITDA Exit $8.32 $16.56 $28.78 65

10Y P/E Exit $4.00 $6.78 $10.19 63

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $0.8000 $3.66 $5.02 64

Lynch FV $0.9600 $1.37 $1.78 61

PEG = 1.0 $0.9600 $1.37 $1.78 57

Multiples

P/E Multiple $1.94 $2.58 $3.23 63

P/S Multiple $1.50 $2.00 $2.49 58

P/B Multiple $1.50 $2.00 $2.49 55

EV/EBIT $2.77 $5.34 $7.90 63

EV/EBITDA $9.51 $14.33 $19.14 66

EV/Revenue $0.9100 $3.41 $5.91 49

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $1.57 $2.10 $3.13 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF $8.49 $16.38 $27.66 76

Rev-Margin DCF $3.72 $8.45 $14.56 69

Economic Profit

Residual Income $2.18 $2.09 $1.71 71

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E $1.58 $2.26 $2.94 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 31

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 48

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 68

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 10

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 71

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 27

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 86

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 90

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 0

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100

Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Revenue growth 1 year

+2.4%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+2.7%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+26.8%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.2% a year

Revenue growth 34 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+16.0%

’14

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’16

’17

’18

’19

’20

’21

’22

’23

’24

’25

What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.

−53.0%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−53.0%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 6%

2025 sits 464% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

+7.9%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.

+4.4%

Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.

After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.4% a year for the price and +2.0% for the forecasts.

Forecast 2026 (sales)+9.9%

Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.3%

Projected 2028 (sales)+3.1%

Projected 2029 (sales)+3.0%

Projected 2030 (sales)+2.8%

STGW screens 287% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 191 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Above median

Return on assets 2% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 8% · Above median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 1.71× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 121.1× · Priciest 25%

P/B 2.89× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.

P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Pricier than median

P/FCF 9.1× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 10.8× · Pricier than median

PEG 0.32× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 30

FUTURE (revenue growth)40 · sector 11

PAST (return on equity)11 · sector 8

HEALTH (low debt)15 · sector 98

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 59

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Stagwell Inc · Fair Value
$2.19 −287%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STGW" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Stagwell Inc · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">$2.19</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−287%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Stagwell Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STGW

Frequently asked questions

Is Stagwell Inc (STGW) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.19 versus a price of $8.48, about −74% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of STGW?

Our model-based fair value for Stagwell Inc is $2.19 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.48.

What is the quality score of STGW?

Stagwell Inc has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Stagwell Inc (STGW)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.19 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.80, optimistic scenario $4.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Stagwell Inc stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $2.19, about −74% upside versus a price of $8.48 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.80, optimistic scenario $4.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Stagwell Inc (STGW)?

Stagwell Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

What growth is priced into Stagwell Inc (STGW)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Stagwell Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +7.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +26.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of STGW use?

Our models discount Stagwell Inc at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.25, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Stagwell Inc that is +7.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Stagwell Inc (STGW) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Stagwell Inc grew +26.8 % a year. The price currently implies +7.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Stagwell Inc (STGW) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Stagwell Inc (+7.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Stagwell Inc (STGW)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.02 %: that much free cash flow Stagwell Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Stagwell Inc (STGW)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Stagwell Inc it is $2.19 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $8.48. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Stagwell Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, STGW trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.48, fair value $2.19, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of STGW?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.48); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.19). For Stagwell Inc the two are $6.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Stagwell Inc worth?

The market values Stagwell Inc at about $2.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $8.48; our models calculate a fair value of $2.19 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STGW?

Our models span a range for Stagwell Inc: cautious scenario $1.80, base $2.19, optimistic $4.06 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $8.48). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of STGW?

Stagwell Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 121.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.19 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 2.9, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 10.8.

What is the PEG ratio of STGW?

The PEG ratio of Stagwell Inc is 0.32 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.

How solid is the balance sheet of Stagwell Inc (STGW)?

Balance-sheet figures for Stagwell Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.9%, debt of 1.71 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is STGW from its 52-week high?

Stagwell Inc trades at $8.48, about 9% below its 52-week high of $9.35 and 93% above the low of $4.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.19 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Stagwell Inc?

From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Stagwell Inc stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $8.48, calculated fair value $2.19 (−74%), Quality Score 34/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of STGW calculated?

We run Stagwell Inc through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.19, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Stagwell Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Stagwell Inc (STGW)?

The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $8.48. Our model-based fair value is $2.19, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Stagwell Inc right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($1.80 to $4.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Stagwell Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Stagwell Inc (STGW)?

The market capitalisation of Stagwell Inc is $2.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Stagwell Inc (STGW)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Stagwell Inc is 1.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Stagwell Inc (STGW)?

Earnings per share at Stagwell Inc are $0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 121.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Stagwell Inc (STGW)?

The net margin of Stagwell Inc is 1.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Stagwell Inc (STGW)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Stagwell Inc is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Stagwell Inc (STGW)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Stagwell Inc is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Stagwell Inc (STGW)?

The operating margin of Stagwell Inc is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Stagwell Inc (STGW)?

Revenue at Stagwell Inc is growing +8.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Stagwell Inc (STGW)?

Earnings per share at Stagwell Inc are growing +65.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net debt does Stagwell Inc (STGW) carry?

The net debt of Stagwell Inc is $1.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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