Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd ¥6.22, price ¥13.73, upside -54.7%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.57 – ¥23.57 · fair‑value band ¥4.02 – ¥7.47 · the ¥13.73 price screens above the ¥6.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Keeson Technology Corporation Limited researches and develops, produces, and sells smart electric beds and memory foam home products in China. It offers intelligent electric beds, bed frames and beddings, mattresses, accessories, and other products. Keeson Technology Corporation Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Jiaxing, China.
Stock analysis
Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610) currently trades at ¥13.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.22, implying the stock looks roughly 120.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥6.54 per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥13.73 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.91, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥4.02 (bear) to ¥7.47 (bull), the price of ¥13.73 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Keeson Technology Corp Ltd reported revenue of 3.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +0.5%/yr. Reported net income was 105M CNY in FY2025, compounding −26.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 5.3B CNY (≈ $796M) · P/E ratio 52.8 · P/S ratio 1.83 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2600 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 3.5% · Return on equity 2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −55%, 603610 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥4.02Fair Value ¥6.22Bull ¥7.47
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0878 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.8% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−20.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−21.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−22% vs −1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 9%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 316 stocks
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Is Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.22 versus a price of ¥13.73, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603610?
Our model-based fair value for Keeson Technology Corp Ltd is ¥6.22 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.73.
What is the quality score of 603610?
Keeson Technology Corp Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥6.22 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.02, optimistic scenario ¥7.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Keeson Technology Corp Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥6.22, about −55% upside versus a price of ¥13.73 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.02, optimistic scenario ¥7.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610)?
Keeson Technology Corp Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Keeson Technology Corp Ltd pay a dividend?
Keeson Technology Corp Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.02% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Keeson Technology Corp Ltd it is ¥6.22 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥13.73. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Keeson Technology Corp Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 603610 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.73, fair value ¥6.22, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603610?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.73); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥6.22). For Keeson Technology Corp Ltd the two are ¥7.51 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Keeson Technology Corp Ltd worth?
The market values Keeson Technology Corp Ltd at about 5.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.73; our models calculate a fair value of ¥6.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603610?
Our models span a range for Keeson Technology Corp Ltd: cautious scenario ¥4.02, base ¥6.22, optimistic ¥7.47 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥13.73). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 603610?
Keeson Technology Corp Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 52.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥6.22 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 16.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610)?
Balance-sheet figures for Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 2.9%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603610 from its 52-week high?
Keeson Technology Corp Ltd trades at ¥13.73, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥21.27 and 10% above the low of ¥12.50 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥6.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Keeson Technology Corp Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, King Slide Works Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Keeson Technology Corp Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥13.73, calculated fair value ¥6.22 (−55%), Quality Score 55/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603610 calculated?
We run Keeson Technology Corp Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥6.22, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Keeson Technology Corp Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥13.73. Our model-based fair value is ¥6.22, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Keeson Technology Corp Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥4.02 to ¥7.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610)?
The market capitalisation of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd is 5.3B CNY (≈ $796M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd is 1.83 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610)?
Earnings per share at Keeson Technology Corp Ltd are ¥0.2600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 52.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610)?
The dividend yield of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd is 1.0% (payout 53.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610)?
The net margin of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd is 3.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610)?
The operating margin of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd is 8.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610)?
Revenue at Keeson Technology Corp Ltd is growing +10.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610)?
Earnings per share at Keeson Technology Corp Ltd are growing −23.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610) generate?
The free cash flow of Keeson Technology Corp Ltd is −25.7M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Keeson Technology Corp Ltd (603610) hold?
Keeson Technology Corp Ltd holds more cash than debt, 254M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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