Guosheng Shian Technology Co (603778) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 12.0B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 46% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The model range is unusually wide (¥2.57 to ¥9.95). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.57 – ¥33.10 · fair‑value band ¥2.57 – ¥9.95 · the ¥10.72 price screens above the ¥5.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Guosheng Shian Technology Co (603778) currently trades at ¥10.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.75, implying the stock looks roughly 46.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guosheng Shian Technology Co generated revenue of 820M CNY at a net margin of -69.0%. Revenue grew 25.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -83.8%. Net debt stands at 191M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.57 (bear case) to ¥9.95 (bull case); at ¥10.72, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 260% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -46%, 603778 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥0.6200) versus Asset-Based (¥0.3200). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Guosheng Shian Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of photovoltaic cells and other battery components in China and internationally.

Full company description

Guosheng Shian Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of photovoltaic cells and other battery components in China and internationally. It is involved in photovoltaic power station EPC business which provide owners feasibility studies, scheme design, material procurement, equipment installation, engineering construction, operation and maintenance services. The company also engages in garden engineering construction, garden landscape design, cultural tourism operations, environmental protection technology, and other businesses. In addition, it is involved in the construction municipal greening, greenhouse landscape, real estate landscape, ecological wetland, ecological restoration, and other businesses, as well as seedling planting and maintenance businesses. The company was formerly known as Beijing Qianjing Landscape Co.,Ltd and changed its name to Guosheng Shian Technology Co., Ltd. in November 2023. Guosheng Shian Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2002 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guosheng Shian Technology Co reported revenue of ¥796M in FY2025 versus ¥177M in FY2021, a compound +45.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥573M in FY2025.

603778 screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.