Ningbo Gaofa Automotive Control System Co (603788) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price +3.6% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (¥8.65 to ¥20.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.91 – ¥21.60 · fair‑value band ¥8.65 – ¥20.60 · the ¥14.08 price screens above the ¥12.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Ningbo Gaofa Automotive Control System Co (603788) currently trades at ¥14.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.78, implying the stock looks roughly 9.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo Gaofa Automotive Control System Co generated revenue of 1.6B CNY at a net margin of 13.9%. Revenue declined 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 50.8M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥8.65 (bear case) to ¥20.60 (bull case); at ¥14.08, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -9%, 603788 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥17.53) versus Growth DCF (¥3.61). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ningbo Gaofa Automotive Control System Co., Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells automotive control products for the automotive industry in China.
Full company description
Ningbo Gaofa Automotive Control System Co., Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells automotive control products for the automotive industry in China. It offers electronic changers and actuators, AT/CVT/DCT/AMT shifters, electronic accelerator pedals/brake pedals, cable and variable speed control flexible shafts, variable speed control mechanisms, vehicle-level electrical compressors for air conditioning, and automotive controllers and cables. Ningbo Gaofa Automotive Control System Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ningbo Gaofa Automotive Control System Co reported revenue of ¥1.6B in FY2025 versus ¥942M in FY2021, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥216M in FY2025, compounding +10.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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