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GuangDong GenSho Logistics Co (603813) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.8B CNY

Price¥39.90
Fair Value¥22.11
Upside-44.6%
Quality94/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥16.58 – ¥27.64

Analysis

GuangDong GenSho Logistics Co (603813) currently trades at ¥39.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥22.11 — implying the stock looks roughly 44.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

GuangDong GenSho Logistics Co.,LTD, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated logistics services in China. The company offers transportation and distribution services, including full and less-than-truckload road, e-commerce trunk, and container transportation, as well as customized operational plans, pickup, cold chain distribution, and transportation services for electrical appliances and electronic equipment; warehousing services; and digital supply chain. It also provides packaging manufacturing and trade; international freight forwarding; air logistics; and insurance services, as well as logistics equipment sale and rental. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.