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Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co (605366) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 6.4B CNY

JH Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co 605366 · SHG
Price¥8.22
Fair Value¥8.37
Upside+1.8%
Quality27/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -11.8% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥4.72 – ¥12.01 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 11, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 11, 2026, revised from ¥0.6200 to ¥8.37 (+1,249.7%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −20.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥4.72 to ¥12.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥18.86 ¥4.85 Fair Value ¥8.37 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.85 – ¥18.86 · fair‑value band ¥4.72 – ¥12.01 · the ¥8.22 price screens below the ¥8.37 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co (605366) currently trades at ¥8.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.37, implying the stock looks roughly 1.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co generated revenue of 1.4B CNY at a net margin of -11.8%. Revenue grew 9.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.0%. Net debt stands at 364M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.72 (bear case) to ¥12.01 (bull case); at ¥8.22, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 2%, 605366 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥0.2100 ¥0.3700 ¥0.5500 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2100 ¥0.3100 ¥0.4200 61
EV/EBITDA ¥0.6800 ¥0.9500 ¥1.23 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2100 ¥0.3700 ¥0.5500 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2100 ¥0.3100 ¥0.4200 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥0.6800 ¥0.9500 ¥1.23 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.32 ¥1.77 ¥2.64 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥1.77) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.3100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.8%
Net margin -11.8%
Return on equity -7.0%
Free cash flow −519M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -9.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.2600
EPS growth (YoY) -76.5%
Net debt 364M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 47
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co., Ltd. engages in the research, manufacture, and sale of silicon-based materials, such as functional silanes, nano-silicon materials, and other chemical additives in China and internationally.

Full company description

Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co., Ltd. engages in the research, manufacture, and sale of silicon-based materials, such as functional silanes, nano-silicon materials, and other chemical additives in China and internationally. The company provides saline coupling agents comprising sulfur, amino, chloroalkyl, thiocyanato, acyloxy, choloro, alkyl, phenyl, epoxy, and vinyl silane coupling agents. It also offers anti-reversion agents, chlorosilane, silicate ester, fumed silica, antioxidants, anti-adhesion agents, antiozonant wax, and processing agents. In addition, the company provides thermal and sound insulation materials, including aerogel insulation blankets, coatings, and slurries, as well as nanoporous thermal insulation materials and aerogel particles. Further, it offers solid and liquid silicone rubbers. Its products are used in automobiles, rubber products, coatings and ink, glass fiber, artificial stone, photovoltaic films, construction, medicine, and medical industries, as well as tire manufacturers. Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co., Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is based in Jingdezhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co reported revenue of ¥1.4B in FY2025 versus ¥1.3B in FY2021, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥146M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 21/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.4B CNY
Latest YoY
−5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.1%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.1%
Revenue +2.0%/yr
FY21 ¥1.3B
FY22 ¥1.7B
FY23 ¥1.4B
FY24 ¥1.5B
FY25 ¥1.4B
Net income
FY21 ¥168M
FY22 ¥352M
FY23 ¥65.0M
FY24 −¥30.9M
FY25 −¥146M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605366

Peer Group

Chemicals · 341 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +2% · Above median
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.51× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.47× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.67× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 32.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 36 · sector 0
FUTURE 49 · sector 21
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 75 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co (605366) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.37 versus a price of ¥8.22, about +2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 605366?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co is ¥8.37 (as of Aug 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.22.
What is the quality score of 605366?
Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co (605366)?
Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 605366?
The net profit margin of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co is about -11.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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