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Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd stock ¥4.14, price ¥7.79, upside -46.9%, quality 27 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · CN · ISIN CNE100004439

Thin data Oct 26, 2026

Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd

605366 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 47% below what the stock costs today.

Moderate debt

Fair value ¥4.14 · Strongly overvalued (−46.9%)

Quality 27/100

Weak Growth (revenue 3y −6.4 %/yr in CNY)

Loss-making · -9.9% net margin (TTM)

Negative free cash flow

Trails peers (1/11)

Narrow moat 14/100

Thin data

⟳ Cyclical

26 models, one by oneBear ¥2.33 to bull ¥5.94 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 27/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.85 – ¥18.86 · fair‑value band ¥2.33 – ¥5.94 · the ¥7.79 price screens above the ¥4.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.

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Company profile

Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co., Ltd. engages in the research, manufacture, and sale of silicon-based materials, such as functional silanes, nano-silicon materials, and other chemical additives in China and internationally.

Show moreShow less

The company provides saline coupling agents comprising sulfur, amino, chloroalkyl, thiocyanato, acyloxy, choloro, alkyl, phenyl, epoxy, and vinyl silane coupling agents.

It also offers anti-reversion agents, chlorosilane, silicate ester, fumed silica, antioxidants, anti-adhesion agents, antiozonant wax, and processing agents.

In addition, the company provides thermal and sound insulation materials, including aerogel insulation blankets, coatings, and slurries, as well as nanoporous thermal insulation materials and aerogel particles. Further, it offers solid and liquid silicone rubbers.

Its products are used in automobiles, rubber products, coatings and ink, glass fiber, artificial stone, photovoltaic films, construction, medicine, and medical industries, as well as tire manufacturers. Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co., Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is based in Jingdezhen, China.

Stock analysis

Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366) currently trades at ¥7.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.14, 46.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥1.24 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥7.79 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥0.6200, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥2.33 (bear) to ¥5.94 (bull), the price of ¥7.79 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was −146M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 6.0B CNY (≈ $904M) Small · P/S ratio 5.34 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.2300 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −9.9% · Return on equity −6.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% · Operating margin 0.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 14 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −47%, 605366 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥2.33 Fair Value ¥4.14 Bull ¥5.94

Price ¥7.79 · Upside -46.9%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Best data coverage

Gordon GGM ¥0.2000 ¥0.3200 ¥0.4600 68

DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2000 ¥0.2800 ¥0.3700 67

EV/EBITDA ¥0.3500 ¥0.6200 ¥0.8900 65

All 4 models by family

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM ¥0.2000 ¥0.3200 ¥0.4600 68

DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2000 ¥0.2800 ¥0.3700 67

Multiples

EV/EBITDA ¥0.3500 ¥0.6200 ¥0.8900 65

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ¥0.9300 ¥1.24 ¥1.85 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 5

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 11

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 4

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 78

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 43

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 50

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Momentum 45

Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 43

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 47

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100

Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Revenue growth 1 year

−5.9%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−6.4%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+9.1%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+9.1%

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

16.4% (2020) → −8.4% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

605366 screens overvalued: fair value 47% below the price. Compare with Saudi Basic Industries Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 335 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −46.9% · Below median

Profitability

Return on assets −3.4% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (12 months) −9.9% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (12 months) 0.4% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 21.6% · Above median

Dividend yield (12 months) 0.2% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.51× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.95× · Priciest 25%

P/S (12 months) 4.00× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 9

FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 64

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23

HEALTH (low debt)75 · sector 94

DIVIDEND (yield)5 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346	¥15.22	¥43.28	+184%	vs 605366
LG Chem, Ltd 051910	255,500 KRW	587,755 KRW	+130%	vs 605366
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989	¥22.18	¥40.44	+82%	vs 605366
Zangge Mining Company 000408	¥67.22	¥73.94	+10%	vs 605366
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160	¥29.72	¥19.31	−35%	vs 605366
Dow Inc DOW	$32.61	$20.98	−36%	vs 605366
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010	43.72 SAR	24.66 SAR	−44%	vs 605366
Jiangsu Eastern Shenghong Co 000301	¥12.13	¥3.06	−75%	vs 605366
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326	76.20 TWD	17.66 TWD	−77%	vs 605366
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493	¥11.63	¥2.39	−79%	vs 605366

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Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥4.14 −47%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605366" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">¥4.14</b> <span style="color:var(--red);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−47%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/605366

Frequently asked questions

Is Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Oct 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.14 versus a price of ¥7.79, about −47% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 605366?

Our model-based fair value for Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd is ¥4.14 (as of Oct 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.79.

What is the quality score of 605366?

Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.14 (as of Oct 26, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.33, optimistic scenario ¥5.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ¥4.14, about −47% upside versus a price of ¥7.79 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.33, optimistic scenario ¥5.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366)?

Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 26, 2026).

Does Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd pay a dividend?

Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.23% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 26, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd it is ¥4.14 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026), against a price of ¥7.79. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Oct 26, 2026, 605366 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥7.79, fair value ¥4.14, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 605366?

No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.79); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.14). For Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd the two are ¥3.65 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd worth?

The market values Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd at about 6.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 26, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.79; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.14 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 605366?

Our models span a range for Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.33, base ¥4.14, optimistic ¥5.94 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026, price ¥7.79). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366)?

Balance-sheet figures for Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (as of Oct 26, 2026): return on equity −6.3%, debt of 0.51 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 605366 from its 52-week high?

Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd trades at ¥7.79, about 46% below its 52-week high of ¥14.38 and 32% above the low of ¥5.88 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.14 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd?

From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, Rongsheng Petrochemical Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Oct 26, 2026: price ¥7.79, calculated fair value ¥4.14 (−47%), Quality Score 27/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 605366 calculated?

We run Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 12.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366)?

The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was ¥7.79. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.14, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥2.33 to ¥5.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366)?

The market capitalisation of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd is 6.0B CNY (≈ $904M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd is 5.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366)?

Earnings per share at Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd are ¥−0.2300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366)?

The dividend yield of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366)?

The net margin of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd is −9.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd is −6.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366)?

The operating margin of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366)?

Revenue at Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd is growing +21.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366)?

Earnings per share at Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd are growing −76.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366) generate?

The free cash flow of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd is −519M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd (605366) carry?

The net debt of Jiangxi Hungpai New Material Co Ltd is 364M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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