Tian Yuan Group Holdings Ltd (6119) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$264M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
A solid business, screening 68% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.4300 to HK$0.9200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2183 – HK$0.7000 · fair‑value band HK$0.4300 – HK$0.9200 · the HK$0.4400 price screens below the HK$0.7400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Tian Yuan Group Holdings Ltd (6119) currently trades at HK$0.4400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7400, implying the stock looks roughly 68.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tian Yuan Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$263M at a net margin of 5.2%. Revenue declined 15.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$32.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4300 (bear case) to HK$0.9200 (bull case); at HK$0.4400, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 68%, 6119 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.7800) versus Growth DCF (HK$0.2800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tian Yuan Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides bulk and general cargo uploading and unloading, and related ancillary port services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments, Cargo Handling and Ancillary Services, and Sales of Oil Products.
Full company description
Tian Yuan Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides bulk and general cargo uploading and unloading, and related ancillary port services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments, Cargo Handling and Ancillary Services, and Sales of Oil Products. It primarily handles bulk cargo, such as coal, quartz sand, oil products, grains, asphalt, and kaolinite, as well as a portion of break bulk cargo and neo-bulk cargo. The company also offers value-added port services, which include storage services at oil tanks and grain barns, as well as leasing of shovel trucks; engages in the supply and sale of oil products; and trades in oil futures. In addition, it operates Tianyuan and Zhengyuan terminals in the Shuidong port area of the Port of Maoming. The company serves cargo purchasers and sellers, as well as their agents. Tian Yuan Group Holdings Limited was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Maoming, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Tian Yuan Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$297M in FY2024 versus HK$174M in FY2020, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$21.0M in FY2024, compounding +0.3%/yr from FY2020.
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Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 232 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,658 | ₹1,041 | -37% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 16,810 | kr 3,033 | -82% |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥15.25 | ¥49.90 | +227% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 21,350 KRW | 33,795 KRW | +58% |
| JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA | ₹346.60 | ₹126.31 | -64% |
| Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 | 87.10 TWD | 212.79 TWD | +144% |
| PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk, a shipping company, TCPI | 3,640 IDR | 368.32 IDR | -90% |
| Pan Ocean Co 028670 | 5,630 KRW | 11,840 KRW | +110% |
| Sociedad Matriz SAAM S.A SMSAAM | 136.33 CLP | 146.31 CLP | +7% |
| PT Ancara Logistics Indonesia Tbk ALII | 795.00 IDR | 350.80 IDR | -56% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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