Gemilang International Ltd (6163) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Gemilang International Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1720 – HK$0.9000 · fair‑value band HK$0.0999 – HK$0.1799 · the HK$0.6950 price screens above the HK$0.1599 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Gemilang International Limited, an investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and sells bus bodies in Malaysia, Singapore, New Zealand, Hong Kong, the United States of America, Australia, and internationally.
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Gemilang International Limited, an investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and sells bus bodies in Malaysia, Singapore, New Zealand, Hong Kong, the United States of America, Australia, and internationally. It operates through Sales of bus bodies and kits; Sales of parts and provision of relevant services; Rental of motor vehicles; and Other segments. The company offers single deck, double deck, and articulated city buses, as well as single deck, double deck, and high deck coaches; and assembles buses. It is also involved in the sale and fabrication of body works for buses; trading of body kits; dealing of spare parts and related products; provision of after-sales and maintenance services; rental and leasing of motor vehicles; and trading of film and related intellectual property rights. The company provides its products and services to public and private bus transportation operators, chassis principals and their purchasing agents, bus assemblers, and manufacturers. It exports its products. Gemilang International Limited was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Senai, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Gemilang International Ltd (6163) currently trades at HK$0.6950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1599, implying the stock looks roughly 334.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$0.0400 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the HK$0.6950 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$0.0200, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0999 (bear) to HK$0.1799 (bull), the price of HK$0.6950 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Gemilang International Ltd reported revenue of $26.0M in FY2025 versus $33.5M in FY2021, a compound −6.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$438K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$186M (≈ $23.7M) · P/S ratio 4.56 · Net margin −1.7% · Return on equity −2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin 4.4% · Revenue (TTM) HK$27.6M · Revenue growth (YoY) +13.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades near its 52-week high and 280% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −77%, 6163 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.0999Fair Value HK$0.1599Bull HK$0.1799
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.6% (2020) → 0.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Gemilang International Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 657 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth14% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.05× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.58× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA18.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)69· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 36
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gemilang International Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6163.HK
Frequently asked questions
Is Gemilang International Ltd (6163) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1599 versus a price of HK$0.6950, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6163?
Our model-based fair value for Gemilang International Ltd is HK$0.1599 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.6950.
What is the quality score of 6163?
Gemilang International Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gemilang International Ltd (6163)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1599 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0999, optimistic scenario HK$0.1799. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gemilang International Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1599, about −77% upside versus a price of HK$0.6950 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0999, optimistic scenario HK$0.1799. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gemilang International Ltd (6163)?
Gemilang International Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$27.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Gemilang International Ltd (6163)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gemilang International Ltd it is HK$0.1599 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of HK$0.6950. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gemilang International Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 6163 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.6950, fair value HK$0.1599, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6163?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.6950); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1599). For Gemilang International Ltd the two are HK$0.5351 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gemilang International Ltd worth?
The market values Gemilang International Ltd at about HK$186M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.6950; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1599 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6163?
Our models span a range for Gemilang International Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0999, base HK$0.1599, optimistic HK$0.1799 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price HK$0.6950). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gemilang International Ltd (6163)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gemilang International Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −2.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6163 from its 52-week high?
Gemilang International Ltd trades at HK$0.6950, about 48% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4700 and 280% above the low of HK$0.1830 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1599 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gemilang International Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gemilang International Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price HK$0.6950, calculated fair value HK$0.1599 (−77%), Quality Score 46/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6163 calculated?
We run Gemilang International Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1599, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Gemilang International Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Gemilang International Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1799). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0999 to HK$0.1799) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Gemilang International Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Gemilang International Ltd (6163)?
The market capitalisation of Gemilang International Ltd is HK$186M (≈ $23.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gemilang International Ltd (6163)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gemilang International Ltd is 4.56 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Gemilang International Ltd (6163)?
The net margin of Gemilang International Ltd is −1.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gemilang International Ltd (6163)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gemilang International Ltd is −2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gemilang International Ltd (6163)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gemilang International Ltd is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gemilang International Ltd (6163)?
The operating margin of Gemilang International Ltd is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gemilang International Ltd (6163)?
Revenue at Gemilang International Ltd is growing +13.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gemilang International Ltd (6163)?
Earnings per share at Gemilang International Ltd are growing −72.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Gemilang International Ltd (6163) generate?
The free cash flow of Gemilang International Ltd is −HK$3.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Gemilang International Ltd (6163) carry?
The net debt of Gemilang International Ltd is HK$9.6M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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