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Data-driven stock valuation

CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$42.1B (≈ $5.4B)

At a glance

CS CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. 6166 · HK
PriceHK$120.20
Fair ValueHK$19.50
Upside−83.8%
Quality41/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 517% above our fair value of HK$19.50.

As of Aug 19, 2026, the fair value of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. is HK$19.50 per share against a price of HK$120.20, so the fair value sits 84% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.7% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.27% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 42/100
!Weak on past: 23 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 5 out of 100
Evidence: High Range HK$14.87 to HK$23.37

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 19, 2026, revised from HK$16.65 to HK$19.50 (+17.1%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +42.0% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$23.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (10 months)

HK$160.20 HK$61.80 Fair Value HK$19.50 Oct 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

10‑month range HK$61.80 – HK$160.20 · fair‑value band HK$14.87 – HK$23.37 · the HK$120.20 price screens above the HK$19.50 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166) currently trades at HK$120.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$19.50, implying the stock looks roughly 516.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$20.86 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the HK$120.20 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$5.71, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. generated revenue of HK$5.2B at a net margin of 6.7%. Revenue grew 44.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$2.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Scenario range: HK$14.87 (bear) to HK$23.37 (bull), the price of HK$120.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −84%, 6166 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.4034 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence HK$15.69 HK$15.47 HK$13.62 76
EPV HK$18.32 HK$19.14 HK$19.86 74
ROIC Compounder HK$18.32 HK$19.14 HK$19.86 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$5.11 HK$28.73 HK$39.90 63
Lynch FV HK$8.05 HK$11.49 HK$14.94 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$8.05 HK$11.49 HK$14.94 57
EPV HK$18.32 HK$19.14 HK$19.86 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$3.26 HK$6.77 HK$10.75 66
DDM Multi-Stage HK$3.26 HK$5.71 HK$7.11 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$15.79 HK$21.05 HK$26.31 63
P/S Multiple HK$9.59 HK$12.78 HK$15.98 58
P/B Multiple HK$9.59 HK$12.78 HK$15.98 55
EV/EBIT HK$23.73 HK$27.17 HK$30.61 66
EV/EBITDA HK$32.01 HK$38.21 HK$44.41 67
EV/Revenue HK$18.63 HK$20.86 HK$23.10 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$10.63 HK$14.24 HK$21.25 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence HK$15.69 HK$15.47 HK$13.62 76
ROIC Compounder HK$18.32 HK$19.14 HK$19.86 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$13.97 HK$19.96 HK$25.95 67

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$20.86) versus Dividend Discount (HK$5.71). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 85.4 as of Jul 2, 2026
P/S ratio 4.66 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$0.9116 price ÷ EPS = P/E 85.4
Dividend yield 0.3% payout 35.7%
Net margin 5.5% FY2025
Return on equity 5.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 17.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$5.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +44.0% 3y avg +8.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +183%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −HK$1.4B FY2025
Net cash HK$2.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 28
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, and sale of edge computing, industrial interconnection, and high-speed optical module products in China and internationally.

Full company description

CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, production, and sale of edge computing, industrial interconnection, and high-speed optical module products in China and internationally. The company offers terminal equipment, including telecom broadband, wireless networks, and small base stations for telecommunications, data communications, and enterprise networks. It also provides a range of optical transceiver solutions for data centers, high-performance computing, telecommunications, 5G wireless networks, and other applications; wired access network products, such as XGS-PON, 10G EPON, single family units, residential gateway units, and multiple dwelling units; and wireless access products comprising routers/gateways, data switches, wireless access points (AP), AC controllers, and LTE 4G/5G small cells, as well as indoor and outdoor APs, outdoor CPE, and Wi-Fi mesh home gateway products. In addition, the company offers carrier-grade ethernet switches for SMBs, enterprises, and service providers; and edge computing solutions for use in industrial IoT, telematics, 5G infrastructure, network security, and other applications. It exports its products. CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 4.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +13.4%/yr. Reported net income was 263M CNY in FY2025, compounding +40.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$4.8B
Latest YoY
+32.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
≈ +14.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+14.6%
Dividend yield0.3%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 14.6% vs 10Y 8.7%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.64.4% (2020) → 4.2% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop93% (2021) · in HKD
⚠ Final year 2025 sits 89% above trend (one-off), rate approximate
Revenue +13.4%/yr
FY21 2.9B CNY
FY22 3.8B CNY
FY23 3.1B CNY
FY24 3.7B CNY
FY25 4.8B CNY
Net income +40.7%/yr
FY21 67.3M CNY
FY22 171M CNY
FY23 95.0M CNY
FY24 167M CNY
FY25 263M CNY

6166 screens 517% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. · Fair Value
HK$19.50 −517%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6166.HK

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 299 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −91% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 44% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 85.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 5.66× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 8.08× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 60.3× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 37
PAST23 · sector 15
HEALTH99 · sector 98
DIVIDEND5 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $109.20 $61.53 −44%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥866.12 ¥171.09 −80%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥61.83 ¥28.65 −54%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥429.90 ¥176.99 −59%
Nokia Oyj NOK $10.03 $3.80 −62%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $491.24 $236.33 −52%
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 601869 ¥400.03 ¥201.38 −50%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥276.25 ¥43.67 −84%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,270 TWD 1,135 TWD −50%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $10.13 $19.85 +96%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$19.50 versus a price of HK$120.20, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6166?
Our model-based fair value for CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. is HK$19.50 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$120.20.
What is the quality score of 6166?
CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$19.50 (as of Aug 19, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$14.87, optimistic scenario HK$23.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$19.50, about −84% upside versus a price of HK$120.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$14.87, optimistic scenario HK$23.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. (6166)?
CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$5.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 6166?
The net profit margin of CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. is about 6.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
CIG Shanghai Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.27% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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